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USD/CHF Intraday: Under Pressure

2012-10-31 12:57:16 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading in lower range. The rate is undermined by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD as risk appetite improves.
Preference: 
Sell below 0.9345 with targets 0.9285 and 0.9255.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9286 (Thursday's low)
S2 - 0.9255 (Oct. 23 low)
S3 - 0.9244-0.9234 band (Oct. 22 low-Oct. 19 low) 
Alternative scenario: 
In case market moves upward, buy above 0.934. The upside breakout of 0.9345 will open the way to 0.9365 and 0.9385.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9365
R2 - 0.9381-0.9386 (Monday's high-Friday's high)
R3 - 0.9418 (Oct. 11 high)
Technical Comment:
The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, but stochastics is turning bearish.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Intraday: Key Resistance at 79.75

2012-10-31 12:55:07 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY continues to range trade. The rate is underpinned by buying of yen crosses amid improved risk appetite as European stock markets staged broad-based gains on Tuesday (DAX up 1.13%; FTSE 100 up 0.95%) on better-than-expected corporate earnings, in particular Deutsche Bank AG and oil group BP; diminished worries over Spain and Italy; 2.0% rise in U.S. August S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite home price index. USD/JPY is also supported by demand from Japan importers and investment trusts. But USD/JPY upside is limited by Japan exporter sales; concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" in early 2013 that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession; uncertainty over outcome of next week’s Obama-Romney U.S. presidential election.
Preference:
Sell below 79.75 with targets 79.3 and 79.14.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.27 (Tuesday's low)
S2 - 79.14 (Oct. 19 low)
S3 - 78.91 (Oct. 18 low)   
Alternative scenario:
In case of upward movement BUY above 79.75. The upside penetration of 79.75 will call for 79.9 and 80.1.
Resistance Levels:    
R1 - 79.9
R2 - 80.1
R3 - 80.38 (Friday's four-month high)
Technical Comment:
The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, but stochastics is falling from overbought.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 31, 2012

2012-10-31 12:40:13 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5755                    R1: 1.5820

S2: 1.5704                    R2: 1.5881

S3: 1.5652                    R3: 1.5950

 

Technical Overview: 

 

With the break above resistance at 1.5787 yesterday we had our first good indication that the big expanded flat correction from 1.5967 had ended and a new powerful rally higher have begun. Now we are looking for support at 1.5755 to protect the downside for a break above 1.5793 and, more importantly, 1.5820 to confirm the next rally higher towards 1.5985. However, a break below 1.5955 will cause us to become more cautious, but it will take a break below 1.5704 to confirm that the c-wave decline from 1.6059 is still ongoing and a new low closer to 1.5652 should be seen.

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be long EUR from 1.5790. Move your stop up to 1.5700. If you are not long EUR already buy here or upon a break above 1.5820 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 31, 2012

2012-10-31 12:35:49 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 102.95                    R1: 103.39

S2: 102.58                    R2: 103.59

S3: 102.22                    R3: 103.92

 

Technical Overview:

The big question for today is whether red wave iii down have already begun or red wave ii is still unfolding? We prefer the scenario where red wave iii is already in motion slightly over the other scenario. The key to our scenario is resistance at 103.39. As long as this resistance protects the upside we should see a new decline below 102.17 for a continuation towards 101.45. However, if resistance at 103.39 is broken, that would indicate that red wave ii is still unfolding and we must accept a move a little higher towards 103.59 and maybe even 103.92 before the next downside pressure begins. As we said yesterday, it would take a break above 104.42 to invalidate our bearish count and a call for a new high above 104.59.

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be short EUR from 104.50 with a stop at break-even. If you are not short EUR already, then sell a break below 102.60 with a stop at 103.50.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/AUD Wave Analysis for October 31, 2012

2012-10-31 12:25:22 (читать в оригинале)

 

EUR/AUD Elliott Wave
For the last few days the EUR/AUD pair was trading in a sideways move, corrective (4) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (c) (coloured orange) was developing. During the Asian session we could observe descending movement towards the 1.2459 level and we can consider this move as the end of the D wave (coloured blue). Therefore, during the European and New York sessions the EUR/AUD pair did not manage to hold this level and the price pushed higher reaching 1.2526. We can consider this move as the end of the E wave (coloured blue) of the bigger (4) wave (coloured green). Today this currency pair is trading around 1.2495 level and we are expecting to see the price around 1.2419 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1 with take profit 1 at 1.2419 (100% of wave 1) and take profit 2 at 1.2362 (100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.2526 level as stop loss.


Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2425 (S2) 1.2451 (S1) 1.2467 (PP) 1.2493 (R1) 1.2519 (R2) 1.2535 (R3) 1.2561

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.2480 with stop loss 1.2526, take profit 1 at 1.2419, and take profit 2 at 1.2362 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com