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GbpChf Takes Out 1.5100, Expect A Pullback Before Further Rally

2012-10-29 17:12:02 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Analysis and Chart Setups:

After getting stopped out, it is necessary to re-evaluate the chart setup above before entering again. It is clear that 1.4700 support has held strong till now and it continues in the coming sessions as well. Bulls have taken out further the first intermediary resistance around 1.5100 level. The most probable move from here on should be a pullback towards 1.4900-1.4950 in the coming sessions. Therefore, it is recommended to stay away for now and wait for a pullback to materialize towards 1.4950 level to enter long positions. Intermediary support comes just above 1.4800.

Trading Recommendations:

Flat for now. Looking to go along near 1.4950.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for October 29 - November 2, 2012

2012-10-29 17:07:00 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):
R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
If the breaking news released may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):
If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: NZD is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
Fibonacci retracement is used to determine accurate psychological levels of support and resistance. The period of time should be taken into account.
Fibonacci is in a range trade; it looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down. If you sell or buy for a long term in this period, sure you will lose your profit.
Stop loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
As a rule, the market has a high volatile if the last day had a huge volatility.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Weekly Technical Levels for October 29 - November 2, 2012

2012-10-29 17:06:23 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):
R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
If the breaking news released may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):
If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: USD is an uptrend and CHF is a downtrend.
Fibonacci retracement is used to determine accurate psychological levels of support and resistance. The period of time should be taken into account.
Fibonacci is in a range trade; it looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down. If you sell or buy for a long term in this period, sure you will lose your profit.
Stop loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
As a rule, the market has a high volatile if the last day had a huge volatility.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD Analysis for October 29, 2012

2012-10-29 16:27:40 (читать в оригинале)

Daily

The New Zealand dollar has been trading in the range 76.4% - 0.8229 to 61.8% - 0.8083 of correctional levels of Fibonacci against the dollar for a couple of weeks. After the bullish engulfing pattern was formed the rate reversed to the level of correction 76.4%. As a result, a rebound and turn in favor of U.S. dollar may occur. Then, the drop towards the level of correction 61.8%, which has not been reached yet, may resume. The bearish harami, which was built, enables the pair to rebound from the level of correction 76.4%. The unexpected rate’s consolidation above the correctional level of Fibonacci 76.4% enables the rate to rise towards 100.0% - 0.8469 of Fibonacci.
4h

On the 4H chart, after the bullish harami was built, the rate consolidated above the correctional level of Fibonacci 38.2% - 0.8187. As a result, the pair has an opportunity to continue an upward move towards the level of correction 23.6% - 0.8251. However, a bearish candlestick formation shooting star was built; it may enable the pair to turn in favor of the U.S. dollar and a drop towards the level of correction 38.2% may start. If the rate does not break through the top of the formation, then the possibility of a drop increases. The consolidation of rates above the level of Fibonacci 23.6% enables the pair to continue growth towards the level of correction 0.0% - 0.8355; especially if it coincides with the consolidation of the rate above 76.4% of Fibonacci on a daily chart.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Wave Analysis for October 29, 2012

2012-10-29 14:11:17 (читать в оригинале)

Gold Elliott Wave
Last week gold was trading in a downward move, corrective wave (C) (coloured green) of the bigger wave (4) (coloured orange) was developing. During the Friday's Asian session we could observe strong descending movement from 1,714.10 towards the 1,700.10 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave (2) (coloured green). Therefore, when development of the impulsive (3) wave (coloured green) starts, this commodity retraces back to 1,717.80 level. Gold is trading around 1,711.10 level at the moment and we are expecting to see price higher today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with take profit 1 at 1,737.01 (161.8% of wave 1) and take profit 2 at 1,753.74 (261.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1,698.74 level as stop loss.

Support and Resistance
(S3) 1,683.7 (S2) 1,692.6 (S1) 1,702.2 (PP) 1,711.1 (R1) 1,720.7 (R2) 1,729.6 (R3) 1,739.2

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0355 with stop loss 1.0410 and take profit at 1.0209 are recommended. 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com