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USD/CHF: Bullish Bias Above 0.9315

2012-10-26 12:51:57 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading in higher range. The rate is supported by contagion on CHF/USD from weak EUR/USD. But USD/CHF gains tempered by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD amid lower risk aversion and positions adjustment before weekend.
Preference:
Buy above 0.9315 with targets 0.9375 and 0.94 in extension.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9371 (Oct. 15 high)
R2 - 0.94
R3 - 0.9431 (Oct. 10 high) 
Alternative scenario:
Sell below 0.9315, look for further downside with 0.9285 and 0.927 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9286 (Thursday's low)
S2 - 0.927
S3 - 0.9255 (Tuesday's low)
Technical Comment:
The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance. Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD & stochastics are bullish; five-day moving average is staging bullish crossover against 15-day MA.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Under Pressure

2012-10-26 12:49:23 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is consolidating after hitting four-month high of 80.38 this morning, as markets are waiting for 12:30 GMT U.S. 3Q advance estimate GDP. USD/JPY is underpinned by fears about impact of political stand-off over a JPY 38.3 trillion deficit-financing bill needed to keep the Japanese government funded. The Nikkei reported on Thursday that S&P had warned of serious implications for Japan's sovereign debt rating if there would be delay in the bill's passage. USD/JPY is also supported by weak JPY sentiment on expectations for aggressive monetary easing from Bank of Japan at its meeting on Tuesday and widening USD-JPY interest differential, demand from Japan importers. Yen-funded carry trades amid reduced risk aversion (VIX fear gauge eased 1.15% to 18.12; S&P rose 0.3% overnight) as U.K. reported unexpected growth of 1% in the third quarter, while U.S. jobless claims fell by 23,000 last week and U.S. durable goods orders jumped 9.9% in September (vs. +7.8% forecast). But risk sentiment dented by lower-than-expected 0.3% rise in U.S. September pending home sales (vs. +2.8% forecast); drop in Kansas City Fed manufacturing composite index to minus 4 this month from plus 2 in September; concerns over fiscally-strapped Spain and Greece; and Apple reporting below-forecast earnings after U.S. markets closed. USD/JPY gains also tempered by Japan exporter sales; concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession; and positions adjustment before weekend.
Preference:
Sell below 80.2 with targets 79.69 and 79.4 in extension.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.69 (Wednesday's low)
S2 - 79.4
S3 - 79.21-79.14 band (Monday's low-Oct. 19 low)  
Alternative scenario:
Buy Above 80.2, look for further upside with 80.35 and 80.6 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.35
R2 - 80.63 (June 25 high)
R3 - 81.00 
Technical Comment:
The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure. Stochastics stays elevated at overbought.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Prepares For A Rally. Buing Intraday Dips Recommended

2012-10-26 12:41:28 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

It seems that silver is retracing yesterday’s rally through 32.25 levels. It is expected that 31.50 level should be held as well as intermediary support; while 30.20 level is strong support for the metal. Next resistance comes in at 32.50 level as it was depicted above. Immediate bullish target for the metal is getting past the 32.50 level before taking on the lined up resistance levels till 35.00. A bullish reversal from here on (31.50 level should be held now), would take the metal comfortably past the 35.00 level towards 37.00 and higher. Long for now.

Trading Recommendations:

Stay long for now, stop at 31.00, and target open. Intraday dips are buying opportunities.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Gold Setting Up For A Rally. Buy On Dips

2012-10-26 12:37:22 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

Believe it or not, gold maybe setting up for an aggressive rally taking out resistances lined up higher. The bottom line is 1,690.00 and it should be held. Looking into the chart story for the last 24 hours; the yellow metal raced through 1,715.00 level during the present retracing. The lows are being held well till now and a positive/constructive reaction is expected. Immediate bullish target for gold is 1,730.00 level by today or Monday. It is further emphasized that 1,690/95 levels should be held for this count to be true. Bullish for now.

Trading Recommendations:

Hold long positions taken earlier. Stop at 1,680.00. Target open.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EurJpy Pullsback From Resistance, 104.75 Level Still Possible

2012-10-26 12:26:52 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

All right, the single currency respects resistance at 104.20/30 levels and pulls back. Fine till now, but it does not still confirm a bearish view, aggressively. It is still possible that the ongoing consolidation between 103.00 and 104.50 breaks out to fresh highs before a meaningful correction. It is humbly recommended, to cover short positions taken yesterday between 104.20/30, at least for now. Intermediary support stands at 103.00 at the moment and a break down would suggest a move lower towards 102.00 level, as it was discussed yesterday. But a bullish bounce at current levels around 103.20/30 levels would still take prices to 104.75 level before reversing. Exit short positions for now.

 

 

 

Trading Recommendations:

 

1. Exit short positions if they were taken yesterday.
2. Aggressive trade strategy would be to go long, stop at 102.90, and target above 104.50/60. Reverse on a stop trigger.
3. Conservative trade strategy would be to go short on a break of 103.00 or on a rally towards 104.70 level.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com