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GbpChf Breaks First Resistance at 1.5050 Level

2012-10-26 12:21:34 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

 

Yesterday was a bullish day for the single currency pair, racing through measured resistance R1, as it is depicted above. Looking into the developments that were seen for the last 24 hours, we are coming to the following conclusions.
1. 1.4700 Support remains intact, and the single currency pair races past first measured resistance at 1.5050 level.
2. Hourly Chart suggests that this rally in 5 waves is impulse. Move probable move should be a retracement towards 1.4920/50 levels.
3. One can expect higher levels above R2 i.e. 1.5250 and above; one retracement is done.
4. Intermediary support now is around 1.4800/20 levels.

 

 

 

 

Trading Recommendations:

 

1. Stop placed at 1.5100 is still intact, look for a pullback around 1.4950.
2. Exit short positions around 1.4950, switch to longs placing stop below 1.4800, and target 1.4250 plus. 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 26, 2012

2012-10-26 12:11:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 1.5777                    R1: 1.5813

S2: 1.5739                    R2: 1.5844

S3: 1.5697                    R3: 1.5884

 

Technical Overview: 

We missed our buying opportunity by only 6 small pips, as red wave iv became a little different in shape, than we first expected. Red wave ii was a combination of simple zig-zags, and therefore red wave iv should be either a kind of flat correction or a triangle. The triangle would likely have taken to long to develop, which is why we did not think it was the best option. Red wave iv most likely ended at 1.5844, which a break below 1.5777 will confirm. However, as long as support at 1.5777 is not broken to the downside, there is a small chance that we could see one last rally higher towards 1.5853 and just maybe even higher to 1.5883 to end red wave iv. Once we break below 1.5777 we know that red wave iv is over and one last decline towards the 1.5635 - 1.5652 area should be seen.

 

Trading Recommendation:

We will keep our EUR sell order at 1.5850 with 1.5930 stop. Take profit and the possible short EUR-position reverse to a long EUR-position at 1.5860 (10 pips higher than yesterday).

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 26, 2012

2012-10-26 11:47:54 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 103.52                   R1: 104.04

S2: 102.98                   R2: 104.42

S3: 102.34                   R3: 104.59

 

Technical Overview:  

The c-leg of the expanded flat correction became slightly bigger than expected. However, it does not change anything in the larger structure. With a high at 104.42 wave c became 2.618 times longer than wave a. It is an unusual large c-wave, but it did not break above the peak of wave 5 at 104.59. If it had broken above, then that would have changed the count, but as we did not observe the count we presented yesterday it is still our preferred count. In the short term, a break below 103.52 and more importantly 103.28 will confirm wave iii down. We said yesterday that after an expanded flat correction we would normally see an extended wave. We also expect wave iii to be extended and at least reach 1.618 times wave i, which would target 102.27, but we would not be surprised to see wave iii extend even more towards the 200% of wave i, which would target 101.75. It would also be very near the support-line back from the low at 94.10.

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be short EUR from 104.50 with 104.65 stop. If you are not short already sell a break below 103.52 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/CHF: Technical Analysis (Long Term) for October 26, 2012

2012-10-26 11:28:04 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:
At 1.2 / 1.206 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at the 1.2270 level. Stop loss is to be placed below 1.1850.

Overview:

EUR/CHF: The market is still showing signs of strength following the break above 1.2000, now it could rebuy at the spot of 1.2060. Therefore, it will turn to a strong support. In such case, a stronger rise should be seen towards 1.2270 resistance for confirmation. Moreover, the trend is still above 50% Fibonacci retracement level, thus it will be a good sign to buy above 1.2 (rebuy at 1.2060), and sell below 1.1950.

Types of Analysis:

- Fundamental analysis: the Swissie is also quoted amid the promise to “buy unlimited euro” in order to support this market.
- Technical analysis: on a daily chart the level of 1.2 coincides with the golden ratio (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels), then it indicates a bullish market.
- Sentiment analysis: psychological level is at 1.2000, in this case one should be patient to keep the trade till the end.
- Money management: always invest 3% - 7% of the capital (composite) per all trades, always risk (stop loss) 1% - 5% of the capital per all trades, and always trade high risk ratio - trade at least 1/2.
- Period: long-term.
- Stop loss must be set at 1.1950.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: (Bearish Market: 0.8233) Technical Analysis for October 26, 2012

2012-10-26 11:22:12 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8165. Thus, the kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8165. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above this strong support (0.8165) with the first targets at 0.8230 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for take profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 2 (0.8287). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8287, the market will show a further decline to the level of 0.8165 (it is the weekly pivot point) indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly support 1 at the level of 0.8103.

Weekly Pivot Points:

R3: 0.8344
R2: 0.8287
R1: 0.8222
PP: 0.8165
S1: 0.8100
S2: 0.8043
S3: 0.7978

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com