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GbpChf Resistance Starts From 1.4900/10 Levels

2012-10-22 13:01:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

A 4 Hour compressed view has been presented above. Sequence of lower lows and lower highs are being created since the recent swing high has begun. As depicted here, 1.4900/10 levels are immediate and 1.5050/70 are strong resistance respectively. Having taken out the support at 1.4900 level last week, the bears may be targeting 1.4700 level now. Intraday rallies towards 1.4900 are recommended levels to go further short. In the event that prices rise through and break 1.5050/70 levels, the bearish outlook will be delayed/negated. Bearish for now, looking for lower.

Trading Recommendations:

Stay short (remaining positions), move stop loss to break-even. Fresh short positions can be taken on a rally towards 1.49. Target 1.4700.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 22, 2012

2012-10-22 12:51:22 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5928                    R1: 1.5987

S2: 1.5905                    R2: 1.6061

S3: 1.5878                    R3: 1.6127

 

Technical Overview: 

 

We still think blue wave ii is in place at the 1.5906 low and we will see a break above important resistance at 1.5987 soon. Once resistance at 1.5987 gives away it would not take a long time to clear the top at 1.6059 too. We are still very confident, that a long-term rally higher towards 1.6967 is developing and it is just a time for the next big rally higher in blue wave iii begins.
As long as resistance at 1.5987 protects the upside, we could see a minor decline towards 1.5928, but that is all that can be considered right now. A break below 1.5913 will be a surprise to us. But a break below 1.5788 will invalidate our bullish call and indicate that a more complex correction started from the 1.6059 high.

 

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be long EUR from 1.5725 with 1.5860 stop. If you are not long EUR already you should buy at 1.5930 or a break above 1.5987 (one order cancels the other) with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 22, 2012

2012-10-22 12:41:44 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 103.38                   R1: 103.80

S2: 103.14                   R2: 104.19

S3: 102.95                   R3: 104.71

 

Technical Overview:  

It seems likely that we have seen a small wave iv of 5 end at 103.14 and now it should be headed towards the ideal target at 104.71 (where the blue arrow is located). Ideally, we will see 104.71 tests later today. Once we have seen a test of the ideal target at 104.71 we expect a top to be formed and the largest correction started since the 94.10 low. Saying largest correction we mean both price and time, which means the correction will be larger than 422 pips and it will take more than a month to develop. However, now we should concentrate on this last rally higher towards our target at 104.71. We think we have had the first good indications that we are on our way towards the target, but we would like to see a break above 103.80 to confirm wave v of 5 has indeed begun.

 

Trade Recommendation:

You should be long EUR from 102.85. Lift your stop to 103.10 and take profit and reverse your position to a sold EUR position at 104.50.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Technical Analysis

2012-10-22 12:27:16 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY continues to range trade. Japan September provisional trade statistics should be in the spotlight. USD/JPY is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid increased risk aversion (VIX fear gauge rose 13.51% to 17.06, S&P fell 1.66% on Friday) on weaker-than-expected 3Q earnings reports from U.S. blue-chip companies; 1.7% drop in U.S. September existing home sales; and disappointment after European Union heads of state concluded their two-day Brussels summit on Friday without clarity on when Spain will formally request a bailout or whether Greece will receive the next tranche of its bailout loan. USD/JPY is also weighed by lower U.S. Treasury yields; Japan exporter sales; and concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession. But USD/JPY downside is limited by weaker JPY sentiment on expectations that the Bank of Japan will ease monetary policy later this month and demand from Japan importers.
Preference:
The pair is breaking bullish channel, long positions are preferable. Buy above 79.1 with first targets 79.7 and if the rate goes further upside, the next target is 79.9.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 79.66 (Aug. 20 reaction high)
R2 - 79.97-80.00 (July 12 high-psychological level) 
R3 - 80.09 (July 5 high) 
Alternative scenario:
In case price goes below 79.1. Sell below 79.1. Look at further downside movement with 78.95 and 78.8 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 78.91 (Thursday's low)
S2 - 78.8*** intraday support
S3 - 78.61 (Wednesday's low)   
Comment:
The pair is breaking above its resistance and remains within a bullish channel. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish; five-day moving average is above 15-day MA and rising; but stochastics has turned bearish as the pair is overbought; and inside-day-range pattern completed on Friday.  

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis

2012-10-22 12:26:37 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading in a higher range. The rate is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD amid increased risk aversion. But USD/CHF gains tempered by CHF demand on EUR/CHF cross.
Preference:
Long positions above will be suitable in a scenario where technical indicators are showing bullish intraday indications. Buy above 0.9245 with the first target at 0.9305 and the second target at 0.9345 in extension.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9305
R2 - 0.9345
R3 - 0.9371 (Oct. 15 high)   
Alternative scenario:
In case market moves opposite, sell below 0.9245 and look at further downside move with 0.921 and 0.919 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9210 (Wednesday's low)
S2 - 0.9191 (May 8 low)
S3 - 0.9039 (May 1 reaction low) 
Comment:
The pair is facing a pullback on its support. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bearish, but stochastics has turned bullish as the pair is oversold.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com