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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-10-17 14:44:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.6140 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.6140 with the 1st objective at 1.6080 and then at 1.6060. A breakthrough of 1.6160 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6140 with the 1st objective at 1.6200 and then at 1.6220. A breakthrough of 1.6120 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-10-17 14:42:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1.3130 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a more violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.3130 with the 1st objective at 1.3070 and then at 1.3050. A breakthrough of 1.3150 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we recommend a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.3130 with the 1st objective at 1.3190 and then at 1.3210. A breakthrough of 1.3110 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Wave Analysis for October 17, 2012

2012-10-17 14:36:55 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CAD Elliott Wave
For the last few days the USD/CAD pair was trading in an upward move, corrective wave (y) (coloured green) of the bigger wave (2) (coloured orange) is developing. Yesterday, during the European and New York sessions we could observe strong ascending movement from 0.98001 towards the 0.9877 level and we can consider this move as the end of the (2) wave (coloured orange). Therefore, during the second half of the NY and today's Asian session the USD/CAD pair started pushing lower when developing of the impulsive wave (3) starts. We are expecting to see this major currency reaching 0.9730 level in the next few days. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with Take Profit at 0.9730 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 0.9637 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9884 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Crude Oil Inventories data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9771 (S2) 0.9801 (S1) 0.9819 (PP) 0.9848 (R1) 0.9878 (R2) 0.9896 (R3) 0.9925
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9850 with Stop Loss 0.9884, Take Profit 1 at 0.9730 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9637 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Wave Analysis for October 17, 2012

2012-10-17 14:33:32 (читать в оригинале)

GOLD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis gold was trading in an upward move, corrective 4 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (C) (coloured green) is developing. Yesterday during the Asian and European sessions we could observe ascending movement from 1734.06 towards the level of 1.743.45. Therefore, during the New York session gold continued trading in a bullish mood and price reached a new daily high at 1747.39 level. Today this commodity finishes development of the 4 wave at 1752.72 level. Now we are expecting to see price under 1728.50 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 4, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 4 with Take Profit at 1728.57 (100% of wave 4). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1757.05 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Crude Oil Inventories data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1727.1 (S2) 1731.6 (S1) 1740.6 (PP) 1745.1 (R1) 1754.1 (R2) 1758.6 (R3) 1767.6
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1744.60 with Stop Loss 1757.05 and Take Profit at 1728.57 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis

2012-10-17 14:29:19 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating with bearish bias after hitting five-month low of 0.9211 this morning. The rate is undermined by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD amid positive risk sentiment.
Preference: 
Technical indicators showing the bearish trend so today short is preferable position. Recommended trade is the following one: sell below 0.927 with first target 0.9215 and after that 0.919 in extension.
Support Levels:
0.9215
0.9191 (May 8 low)
0.9175 (May 1 reaction low)  
Alternative scenario:
In case market crosses the pivot point of 0.927 adjust your position in the following way: above 0.927 look for further upside with 0.9315 and 0.934 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
0.9315
0.9337 (Tuesday's high)
0.9371 (Monday's high)  
Comment:
The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure. Daily chart is negative-biased as stochastics is bearish; MACD is staging bearish crossover against its exponential moving average.  

 
 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com