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ERU/USD Target in Sight 1.3030 - For October 12/ 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-10-12 19:30:50 (читать в оригинале)

 

The EUR/USD pair rose during the trading session on Thursday after finding support at 1.2823 just above the 200 day moving average periods and after bouncing above the triangle technical pattern.
The Euro is moving only by speculation. For example, there are rumours that Spain inches closer to seeking a sovereign bailout, it should be also noted that S&P downgraded Spain's credit rating.
On the other hand, if the Euro breaks below the triangle pattern or is trading below the 200 day moving average, that would be a bearish signal. So we begin to sell strongly this pair.
As for buying this pair, we recommend the target of 1.3030, the bearish channel. If the top edges bankruptcy, we can buy it back at the level of 1.3245.

 

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GBP/USD Bullish Outlook - For October 12/ 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-10-12 19:15:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

The British Pound managed to overcome the resistance of 1.6050 as we mentioned in yesterday's analysis. The pair is now in front of the downtrend line. The nearest resistance is at 1.6140 below this level the market will continue to pressure the low. A return to 1.6064 will give us the opportunity to buy this pair again, with objectives to 1.6140.
The Trend indicator is showing bullish mood.

If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

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Fundamental Analysis For October 12/2012

2012-10-12 19:14:28 (читать в оригинале)

 

European currencies are gaining momentum at the end of the week against the dollar but without leaving narrow price range.
During the American trading session the euro may come back to 1.30, while the British pound may slash to 1.61.
There is no important news which could be considered from a fundamental point of view. There are rumours that Spain inches closer to seeking a sovereign bailout. Spanish bond spreads could surge if Spain’s premier Rajoy continues to drag his feet on a bail-out request. S&P downgraded Spain's credit rating and the measure could force Spain to ask for bailout which apparently would be well received by the markets. European currencies rose during the last few hours; it reflects the investors discount the Spanish request for help.
However, there are no concrete facts that influence exchange rates in these hours. Next week there will be held a meeting of the EU leaders. There are many expectations concerning the summit. Such events do not have a defined outcome as usual; it is used to save time and it is full with good intentions and announcements. Thus, current situation is ambiguous; the markets can be mixed these days.
The Michigan sentiment index was published at 9:55 ET. U.S. wholesale inflation increased by 1.1%, the drop in initial jobless claims, following a very optimistic figure of unemployment rate last week are showing a modest but sustained U.S. economic recovery.

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for October 12, 2012

2012-10-12 17:05:22 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

After the USD/CAD pair broke below 0.9845. The market went to the downside reaching the price level of 0.9635 testing the lower limit of the depicted bearish long-term channel which expressed a considerable bullish strength.
The USD/CAD bullish movement managed to break above the upper limit of the depicted long-term channel (0.9725) which is considered to be a bullish signal in the long term with a possible bullish 123 reversal pattern appearing on the chart.
It is important to notice that USD/CAD broke below the established ascending bottoms around 0.9797 and 0.9780. It is the way for the pair to retest the broken bearish channel and 61.8% Fibonacci level of the newly established bullish swing around 0.9725 where price action should be watched for a valid BUY entry.
Price zone 0.9820-0.9850 is an intraday resistance zone. In order to resume the targets for the bullish patterns targeting around 0.9980 there should be a break above the intraday resistance zone.
Fixation below price level of 0.9650 invalidates the bullish scenario for the current situation.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for October 12, 2012

2012-10-12 17:03:01 (читать в оригинале)

 

The GBP/USD pair reacted strongly towards 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone confirming the bearish retracement scenario expected in the previous articles.
The bearish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern on the 4H chart, which was confirmed on Friday, enabled 1.6060 level as a full target for the pattern which got hit on Monday with further decline towards 1.6000.
The GBP/USD expressed daily closure below the lower limit of the depicted bullish channel which extended the current bearish movement towards 1.5970 which is providing considerable support for the pair.
Support: 1.6020, 1.5970, and 1.5920.
Resistance: 1.6125, 1.6160, 1.6260, and 1.6315.
The current price zone (the lower limit of the depicted 4H channel) is providing support until now and the pair is probably forming a short-term bullish Head & Shoulders pattern targeting 1.6105.
A long-term support is seen around the price level of 1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level). However, the recommended trade is to SELL the pair at retesting of the lower limit of the broken channel around 1.6160 with SL located above 1.6215.

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