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GBP/USD. Forecast for October 11, 2012

2012-10-11 13:31:16 (читать в оригинале)

 

The British pound has been developing rather freely; it is less dependent on market. Technically, an upturn is forming. On the H4 the price drop stopped at the level of 138.2% of Fibonacci. If a breakdown of 1.6035 level take place, then the level of 1.6067 may be reached; it is the area where the lows of September 13 and October 3 coincide as well as indicator lines. If it happens, then a medium-term upward move will develop higher 1.6300.
In case of yesterday’s low is broken down the following targets opens 1.5947, 1.5925, and 1.5901. This scenario is highly probable as German Chancellor Angela Merkel had blocked merger of major aircraft manufacturers British BAE Systems and pan-European corporation EADS. The deal had been giving optimism to British investors for three weeks.

 

  

Юрий Зайцев участвует в конкурсе "Аналитик года", проголосуйте за него, если вам понравилась данная статья.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for October 11,2012

2012-10-11 12:21:06 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the AUD/USD pair was trading in an upward move, developing corrective wave (y) (coloured purple) of the bigger wave 4 (coloured blue). During the Asian and European sessions we could observe aggressive ascending movement from 1.0183 towards 1.0262 level. Therefore, during the New York session the AUD/USD pair started pushing lower and price retrace back to 1.0210 level. This currency pair is trading around 1.0275 level at the moment and we are expecting to see price lower when developing of the final impulsive 5 wave (coloured blue) starts. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with Take Profit at 1.0108 (100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1.0340 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor AUD Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, MI Inflation Expectations and U.S. Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, FOMC Member Stein Speaks, and Crude Oil Inventories data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0146 (S2) 1.0177 (S1) 1.0177 (PP) 1.0226 (R1) 1.0257 (R2) 1.0276 (R3) 1.0306
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0260 with Stop Loss 1.0340 and Take Profit at 1.0108 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Wave Analysis for October 11,2012

2012-10-11 12:18:40 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CAD Elliott Wave
For the last few days the USD/CAD pair was trading in an upward move, developing final (Y) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (2) (coloured orange). Yesterday during the Asian and European sessions we could observe descending movement from 0.9797 towards 0.9768 level. Therefore, during the New York session the USD/CAD pair did not manage to hold this level and price started pushing higher reaching a new daily high at 0.9817 level. This major pair is developing impulsive (3) wave (coloured orange) at the moment and we are expecting to see price around 0.9593 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with Take Profit at 0.9645 (127.2% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 0.9593 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9835 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor U.S. Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, FOMC Member Stein Speaks, Crude Oil Inventories and CAD Trade Balance, and NHPI m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9752 (S2) 0.9770 (S1) 0.9782 (PP) 0.9800 (R1) 0.9818 (R2) 0.9830 (R3) 0.9848
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9790 with Stop Loss 0.9835, Take Profit at 0.9645, and Take Profit 2 at 0.9593 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis

2012-10-11 12:15:33 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is to trading with risks skewed higher. The rate is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD amid negative global risk sentiment. But USD/CHF gains tempered by CHF demand on soft EUR/CHF cross as euro zone remains the main cause of concern.
Preference:
Long positions above 0.938 with targets at 0.943 and 0.947 in extension.
Resistance Levels :
0.9431-0.9438 band (Wednesday's high-Oct. 1 high)
0.9473 (Sept. 11 high)
0.9485 (Sept. 10 high). 
Alternative scenario:
Below 0.938 look for further downside with 0.9365 & 0.932 as targets.
Support Levels:
0.9370 (Wednesday's low)
0.9318 (Tuesday's low)
0.9291 (Monday's low)
Comment:
A support base at 0.938 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilization. Daily chart positive-biased as MACD & stochastics is in bullish mode; bullish parabolic stop-and-reverse signal hit at 0.9428 Wednesday. 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY : Technical Analysis

2012-10-11 12:10:01 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is trading with bearish bias. The rate is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid diminished risk tolerance as worries are increasing over global economic slowdown and Standard & Poor's has downgraded Spain's credit rating cut to one level above junk status. USD/JPY also weighed by Japan exporter sales; lower U.S. Treasury yields. But USD/JPY losses tempered by demand from Japan importers.
Data focus:
1230 GMT U.S. September import and export price indexes, weekly jobless claims, and U.S. August trade balance.   
1630 GMT Fed's Plosser speech.
Preference:
Short positions below 78.35 with targets at 77.85 & 77.75 in extension.
Support Levels:
77.85
77.43 (Sept. 28 low)
77.13 (Sept. 13 low)
76.50 (Feb. 6 low)
Alternative scenario:
Above 78.35 look for further upside with 78.45 and 78.75 as targets.
Resistance Levels: 
78.37-78.44 band (Wednesday's high-Tuesday's high)
78.76 (Monday's high, matching 100-day moving average)
78.88 (Friday's high) 
79.23 (Sept. 19 high)  
Comment:
The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD bullish, but stochastics in bearish mode. 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com