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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-10-10 12:49:46 (читать в оригинале) 
The spot rate broke the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 100.60 leading to acceleration. A pull back on these levels is expected before reach the upper limit of its channel at 101.20.
Technical indicators provide buy signals supporting the assumption of a pull back in the short term. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the spot rate evolves on the levels of the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a pull back where we recommend a buy on the level of 100.60 with the 1st objective at 101.20 and then at 101.40. A breakthrough of 100.40 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 100.60 with the 1st objective at 100.00 and then at 99.80. A breakthrough of 100.80 will invalidate this scenario.
GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-10-10 12:46:32 (читать в оригинале)
Gold is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.758 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will reach the lower limit of its channel at 1.750.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but oversell zone is approaching and until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
Gold is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.758 with the 1st objective at 1.770 and then at 1.772. A breakthrough of 1.755 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell gold as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.758 with the 1st objective at 1.748 and then at 1.745. A breakthrough of 1.761 will invalidate this scenario.
GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-10-10 12:43:37 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.6030 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.6120.
Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.6030 with the 1st objective at 1.5970 and then at 1.5950. A breakthrough of 1.6050 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6030 with the 1st objective at 1.6090 and then at 1.6120. A breakthrough of 1.6010 will invalidate this scenario.
EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-10-10 12:41:21 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2840 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will reach the lower limit of its channel at 1.2740.
Technical indicators provide buy signals, oversell zone is approaching and until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline in recent days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.2840 with the 1st objective at 1.2900 and then at 1.2920. A breakthrough of 1.2820 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.2840 with the 1st objective at 1.2780 and then at 1.2760. A breakthrough of 1.2860 will invalidate this scenario.
AUD/USD Wave Analysis for October 10,2012
2012-10-10 12:08:54 (читать в оригинале).png)
AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move, developing impulsive 5 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger (3) wave (coloured green). During the early Asian session we could observe strong ascending movement from 1.0190 towards the 1.0246 level. Therefore, during the European and New York sessions the AUD/USD pair did not manage to hold this level and price started pushing lower reaching a new daily low at 1.0174 level. This currency pair is trading around 1.0215 level at the moment and we are expecting to see price lower for the next few days. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with Take Profit at 1.0068 (100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1.0250 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment and U.S. FOMC Member Yellen Speaks, 10 Year Bond Auction, Beige Book data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0137 (S2) 1.0164 (S1) 1.0181 (PP) 1.0209 (R1) 1.0236 (R2) 1.0253 (R3) 1.0281
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0200 with Stop Loss 1.0250 and Take Profit at 1.0068 are recommended.
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