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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis for October 9, 2012

2012-10-09 16:30:33 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:

• Strong level (Resistance) will be formed at 0.9430 providing a clear signal for sell deals with the target seen at the 0.9325 level. Stop-loss is to be placed above 0.9475.

• Strong level (Support) will be formed at 0.9320 providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at the 0.9403 level. Stop-loss is to be placed below 0.9245. 

 

Overview:

USD/CHF:

It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9320 and 0.9375, i.e. above the strong resistance level of 0.9430. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9430 and is presently approaching it to the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below 0.9430 level. Sell deals are recommended below 0.9430 with the first target seen at 0.9370 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards 0.9325 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9320. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9320. Therefore, it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behavior. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 0.9320 with the first target seen at 0.9365 level and further at 0.9403 level.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for October 9, 2012

2012-10-09 16:24:18 (читать в оригинале)

 

After the USD/CAD pair broke below 0.9845, the market went to the downside reaching the price level of 0.9635 testing the lower limit of the depicted bearish long-term channel which expressed a considerable bullish strength then.
The USD/CAD bullish movement managed to break above the upper limit of the depicted long-term channel (0.9725) which is considered a bullish signal in the long term.
It is important to notice that USD/CAD broke below the established ascending bottoms around 0.9797 and 0.9780. It opens the way for the pair to retest the broken bearish channel and 61.8% Fibonacci Level of the newly established bullish swing around 0.9725 where price action should be watched for a valid BUY entry.
Price Zone 0.9820-0.9850 is an intraday resistance zone, a break above which is necessary to resume the targets for the bullish 4H Head & Shoulders pattern around 0.9900.
Fixation below price level of 0.9650 invalidates the bullish scenario for the current situation.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for October 9, 2012

2012-10-09 16:00:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

Despite the indecisive movements last weeks, the GBP/USD pair reacted strongly towards 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone confirming the bearish retracement scenario expected in the previous articles.
The bearish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern on the 4H chart which was confirmed on Friday enabled 1.6060 level as a full target for the pattern which got hit yesterday with further decline.
Once more, GBP/USD expressed daily closure below the lower limit of the depicted bullish channel which may extend the current bearish movement at least towards 1.5970.
Support: 1.6020, 1.5959, and 1.5920.
Resistance: 1.6125, 1.6160, 1.6260, and 1.6315.
Intraday support around 1.6100 was broken down yesterday and 1.6020 corresponding to the lower limit of the 4H channel is being tested by today's daily candlestick.
A long-term support is seen around the price level of l and 1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level). However, the recommended trade is to SELL the pair at retesting of the lower limit of the broken channel around 1.6160 with SL located above 1.6215.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY : Technical Analysis

2012-10-09 14:29:52 (читать в оригинале)

USD/JPY is going to consolidate with bearish bias after hitting 4-day low of 78.08 Monday. The rate is undermined by flows to safe-haven JPY and unwinds of JPY-funded carry trades amid increased risk aversion (VIX fear gauge rose 5.44% to 15.11, S&P fell 0.35% overnight) as worries are increasing over global economic health after World Bank has cut its growth projections for East Asia and warned that slowing activity in China could be sharper and can last longer than market expectations. The IMF cut the growth forecast for the world economy and warned that  "risks for a serious global slowdown are alarmingly high." The market also affected by weak forecasts for U.S. 3Q earnings as reporting season kicks off Tuesday. Moreover, the persistent worries over debt-laden Europe are still valid. USD/JPY is also weighed by Japan exporter sales. But USD/JPY losses tempered by demand from Japan importers.

Data focus:

23:50 GMT Japan September international transactions in securities, August balance of payments, 2Q revised balance of payments,

05:00 GMT Japan September economy watchers survey, October BOJ monthly report,

11:30 GMT U.S. September NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism,

14:00 GMT U.S. September employment trends index,

14:00 GMT U.S. October IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index.    

Preference:  
Short positions below 78.45 with targets at 78.05 and 77.80 in extension.
Support Levels :
78.08 (Monday's low)
77.79 (Oct. 1 low)
77.43 (Sept. 28 low)
77.13 (Sept. 13 low).  
Alternative scenario:
Above 78.45 look for further upside with 78.65 and 78.85 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
78.65 *** intraday Resistance
78.88 (Friday's high)
79.23-79.33(Sept. 19 high-200-day moving average)
79.66 (Aug. 20 reaction high).    
Comment:  
the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 78.45.  

Ahsan Aslam  
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com 
Email : ahsan.aslam@analytics.instaforex.com  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Breaking Immediate Support Trendline. Look Lower From Here.

2012-10-09 13:30:57 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

Today's setup must be encouraging for the bears till now. As shown above, prices are breaking immediate line of support at the moment. This would have been confirmed by now on the smaller time frames. 32.50 level would be the immediate soft target for now. Resistance is fixed at 35.00/10 levels, while support is just below 33.50. Furthermore, looking into the entire wave structure, the rally that begun from 26.50 levels and more precisely after breaking out 28/29 levels, has enough room left for retracement. If you examine it closely, the trendline support and Fibonacci level (0.618) would be converging around price range of 30.00 in the coming sessions. If prices hold around 30.00/50, that would be best buying opportunity for the next bull run.

Trade Recommendations:

Stay short for now, stop above 35.00, target 32.50 and 30.00.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com