Кино oнлайн Голосов: 1 Адрес блога: http://protelemag.ru/load/ Добавлен: 2011-09-28 02:02:58 блограйдером petol

EUR/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for October 8 - 12, 2012

2012-10-08 16:00:28 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

 

Tip (s):

 

•  
• R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
• Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
• Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
• If the breaking news released may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.


•  

Observation (s):

•  
• If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Fibonacci retracement is used to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance. The period of time should be taking into account.
• Fibonacci is in a range trader: it looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down, if you sell or buy for a long term in this period, sure you'll lose your profit.
• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• As a rule, the market has a high volatile if the last day had a huge volatility.


•  

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

---

USD/CHF: Technical Analysis

2012-10-08 15:01:39 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:

USD/CHF is trading with risks skewed higher. However, the pair is underpinned by positive USD sentimen and broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD as risk appetite falls amid renewed concerns about Europe's debt problems.

Preference:
Short positions are placed below 0.935 with targets at 0.9295 and 0.9265 in extension.

Support Levels:

0.9295 *** intraday support
0.9265 (Friday's low)
0.9235 (Sept. 14 reaction low)
0.9191 (May 8 low).  

Alternative scenario:
Above 0.935 look for further upside with 0.9375 and 0.9395 as targets.

Resistance Levels :
0.9375 *** intraday Resistance
0.9399 (Wednesday's high, near 200-day moving average)
0.9438 (Oct. 1 high)
0.9473 (Sept. 11 high).  

Comment:
As long as 0.935 serves as resistance level, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, but stochastics is in bearish mode.  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

---

USD/JPY: Technical Analysis

2012-10-08 14:57:40 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:

USD/JPY is consolidating after hitting two-week high of 78.88 on Friday. Liquidity thins in Asia as Japan markets closed for holiday. USD/JPY is underpinned by positive USD Sentiment after U.S. September unemployment rate unexpectedly dipped to 7.8% from 8.1% (vs. forecast for no change), the lowest jobless rate since January 2009. The pair rate was also influenced by higher U.S. Treasury yields as well as sell-yen orders from Japan importers. But USD/JPY is  limited to the upside by buy-yen orders from Japan exporters. We can suggest selling of yen crosses as risk appetite decreases amid renewed concerns about Europe's debt problems. We do not expect any major U.S. data for today as the U.S. bond market is closed for Columbus Day holiday.

Preference:
Short positions below 78.65 with targets at 78.05.

Support Levels:
78.27 (Friday's low),
78.05 (Wednesday's low),   
77.97 (Tuesday's low),
77.79 (Oct. 1 low). 

Alternative scenario:
Above 78.65 look for further upside with 78.85 and 79 as targets.

Resistance Levels:
78.88 (Friday's high)
79 *** intraday resistance
79.23-79.32(Sept. 19 high-200-day moving average)
79.66 (Aug. 20 reaction high).   

Comment:
The pair is under pressure and is approaching its new support.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

---

EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 8 - 2012

2012-10-08 14:55:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 1.5820                    R1: 1.5911

S2: 1.5770                    R2: 1.5966

S3: 1.5710                    R3: 1.6000

 

Technical Overview:  

 

We now have the first five wave rally since the 1.5453 low. This five wave rally only marks black wave i as we should look for much higher levels longer term. However, for now it is time to correct this first five wave rally, so what should we expect? As we are in the dynamic and strong wave 3 higher correction tend to be relatively small, and therefore we should not expect this correction to go below the 50% correction target at 157.10. But even the 38.2% correction target at 1.5770 could be enough for black wave ii and propel the next rally higher in black wave iii.
As this is wave ii we should expect a simple A-B-C zigzag correction from the 1.5966 high. Until now we have most likely seen the A-wave and should expect wave B to move up to 1.5910 before we will see the final leg lower in wave C towards 1.5770 and maybe even 1.5710 before this correction is over.

 

 

Trading Recommendation:  

You should be long EUR from 1.5545. Book your profit at this level or at 159.00 and re-buy EUR at 1.5785 or a break back above 1.5966 with a 1.5680 stop. We can not recommend you to try and sell into this correction as we are in wave 3 and correction in this wave can be very small and almost unpredictable.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

---

EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 8 - 2012

2012-10-08 14:48:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 101.29                    R1: 101.86

S2: 100.93                    R2: 102.55

S3: 100.68                    R3: 102.97

 

Technical Overview:  

 

Wave 5 higher is progressing nicely and we have seen blue wave iii of wave 5 topped out at 102.97, where blue wave iii was almost exactly 4.236 times longer than blue wave i. We will now be looking for blue wave iv, which we expect will bottom around 101.29, where it will have corrected 50% of blue wave iii. As this corrective target already has been tested we could already have seen the low and should be looking for blue wave v higher. To confirm that blue wave v is ongoing we need a break above 102.08, but a break above the minor resistance will confirm a new rally towards 104.41 where the entire rally from 94.10 will find its peak and the largest correction since this rally began should be expected.
What if we break below the 50% correction target at 101.29? That would extent the correction from 102.97 towards 100.93, but we should still expect a new rally higher thereafter as we only have three waves in the rally from 99.63. That said at no point can a break below 100.36 be accepted, as that would cause an overlap between blue wave i and blue wave iv, which is not allowed under the Elliott Wave Principle and will force a recount.

 

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be long EUR from 100.20 with a stop at 100.70. If you are long EUR already you should buy close to support at 101.29 with the same stop and in both cases take profit should be set at 104.25.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com