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USD/CHF : Technical Analysis

2012-10-05 14:41:16 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:

USD/CHF is to consolidating in lower range as markets await U.S. non-farm payrolls report. USD/CHF is undermined by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD as risk appetite improves. But USD/CHF losses are tempered by positions adjustment before weekend.

Preference:
SHORT positions below 0.935 with 0.928 and 0.925 in sight.

Support Levels:
0.9291-0.9281 band (Thursday's low-Sept. 21 low)
0.925 
0.9235 (Sept. 14 reaction low)
0.9191 (May 8 low). 

Alternative scenario:
The upside penetration of 0.935 will call for a rebound towards 0.9395 and 0.9415.

Resistance Levels:
0.9394-0.9399 (hour chart-Wednesday's high, matching 200-day moving average)
0.9415
0.9438 (Monday's high)
0.9473 (Sept. 11 high).    

Comment:
As long as 0.935 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias. Daily chart mixed as MACD bullish, but stochastics in bearish mode.   

Ahsan Aslam:
E-mail: ahsan.aslam@analytics.instaforex.com

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY intraday Technical Analysis

2012-10-05 14:34:53 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:

 

USD/JPY is consolidating after hitting two-week high of 78.72 on Thursday, as markets await 12:30 GMT U.S. September non-farm payrolls (expected +118,000) and Unemployment rate (seen staying at 8.1%). Focus also on Bank of Japan monetary policy decision: Central bank is not expected to announce new easing measures today although pressure is likely to continue mounting for more action in the run-up to its next policy board meeting scheduled for Oct. 30. USD/JPY underpinned by reduced safe-haven appeal of yen and yen-funded carry trades amid positive global risk sentiment (VIX fear gauge eased 5.7% to 14.55; S&P rose 0.72% overnight) on lower-than-expected latest U.S. weekly jobless claims (came in at 367,000 vs. 370,000 forecast) and smaller-than-expected 5.2% fall in U.S. factory orders in August (vs. minus 6.0% forecast), while FOMC meeting minutes reminded investors of the do-what-it-takes mindset behind Fed policy to support a fragile economy. USD/JPY is also supported by higher U.S. Treasury yields, demand from Japan importers, and investment trusts. But USD/JPY is upside limited by Japan exporter sales, positions adjustment before weekend.

LONG positions above 78.3 with 78.7 and 78.85 as next targets.

Resistance Levels:
78.72-78.81 band (Thursday's high -- 100-day moving average)
78.85 *** intraday resistance
79.23-79.31 band (Sept. 19 high -- 200-day moving average)
79.66 (Aug. 20 reaction high). 

Alternative scenario:
The downside penetration of 78.3 will call for a slide towards 78.10 and 77.95.

Support Levels:

78.10 (Wednesday's low) 
77.97 (Tuesday's low)
77.79 (Monday's low)
77.43 (Sept. 28 low).  

Comment:
USD/JPY daily chart still positive-biased as MACD and stochastics in bullish mode, five-day moving average staged bullish crossover against 15-day MA.The RSI lacks downward momentum.

Ahsan Aslam 
E-mail: ahsan.aslam@analytics.instaforex.com

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Continues To Trade Within The Defined Range of 34.30/50 and 35.10/20

2012-10-05 13:46:30 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setup:

The structure here remains very simple. Buy the support around 34.30/40 and sell the resistance at 35.10/20 levels. It should be noted that a very short price trading range is being developed here and as usual a powerful breakout should be underway. Similar situation was depicted last month when prices range traded between 27.50-28.50 levels. This time we are on the top side of the swing, so do not be surprised if prices break out on the south side. Keep it simple at the moment, buy the support and sell the resistance.

Trade Recommendations:

Buy support (34.30/40) and sell resistance (35.10/20)

 

Good  Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Gold Structure Breaking Resistance Level... Exercise Restraint To Buy At Current Levels.

2012-10-05 13:43:29 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

Prices seem to have broken the resistance channel passing through 1780/80 levels for now. Trading above 1790.00 level at the moment prices are expected to fall back towards at least 1780/85 region which should act as Resistance Turned Support. It is recommended to enter long positions around that region. Strong support shall be provided by 1770.00, but a break there would shift sentiment to bearish for the short time. It is recommended to buy after a healthy retracement materializes as usual; this could be a false breakout before retracement. A confirmed test of 1780/85 levels should instill confidence in buying, rather than entering at current levels.

Trade Recommendations:

Flat for now. Look to buy around 1780/85, stop 1765.00.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EurJpy Reversing From 102.20/30, Resistance.

2012-10-05 13:37:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setup:

A Daily Chart view has been depicted above, and as we can see prices are giving in at the 0.618 resistance placed around 102.20 levels. Intermediary resistances are lined up at 103.00 and just below 104.00, whereas intermediary support/low is at sub 99.00 level. In the event of 102.20 levels hold for now, it is safe to assume that prices are headed south towards minimum extension placed at 98/97 levels. It should be noted that 98.00 is also the 0.618 retracement of rally between 94.00 and 104.00. 97/98 region should provide an excellent swing buying opportunity if reached.

Trade Recommendations:

Stay short for now, stop above 102.50, target 98.00.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com