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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-10-02 13:17:50 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term trading range at 101.00 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators do not provide sell signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. The spot rate evolves into the levels of the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its trading range, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 101.00 with the 1st objective at 100.40 and then at 100.20. A breakthrough of 101.20 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop”. It means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 101.00 with the 1st objective at 101.60 and then at 101.80. A breakthrough of 100.80 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-10-02 13:05:41 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Gold approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1.792 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels initiates a more violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Gold approaches the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.792 with the 1st objective at 1.782 and then at 1.780. A breakthrough of 1.795 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we recommend a “buy stop” which means to buy the gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.792 with the 1st objective at 1.802 and then at 1.805. A breakthrough of 1.789 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 2 - 2012

2012-10-02 12:33:18 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5508                    R1: 1.5627

S2: 1.5453                    R2: 1.5702

S3: 1.5383                    R3: 1.5752

 

Technical Overview:  

 

The break above 1.5565 has eased the downside pressure considerably. It is the first indication of the correction of 1.5902 might have found its bottom with the small spike down to 1.5453. That was just slightly above our first target at 1.5437. However, we need a break above 1.5627 to ease pressure and have a more serious indication of a bottom.
Looking at the rally from 1.5453 we can see that it has impulsive character. It makes us even more alert to the fact that the correction from 1.5902 should be over. If it is so, it is most likely we would see a continuation higher towards 1.5633 (just above our warning line). It should set the stage for a minor setback towards the 1.5521 - 1.5542 area from where the next rally lifts us higher towards 1.5752 and above 1.5902.
In the long term, we should look for a continuation higher towards at least 1.6390 and more likely towards the top at 1.6969 before wave 3 might end.

 

 

Trading Recommendation: 

Our stop at 1.5570 was taken out. Now we will be focused on the upside and buy EUR at 1.5545 with a 1.5453 stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Technical Analysis for October 2, 2012

2012-10-02 12:25:22 (читать в оригинале)

  

Weekly Pivot Points:

R3: 0.8550
R2: 0.8453
R1: 0.8377
PP: 0.8280
S1: 0.8204
S2: 0.8107
S3: 0.8031

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8200. Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8200. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above this strong support (0.8200) with the first targets at 0.8300 and 0.8380 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 1 (0.8377). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8380, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8323 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level 0.8280.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (October 2, 2012)

2012-10-02 12:22:39 (читать в оригинале)

The major instruments in the currency markets generally made indecisive movements yesterday. Today they could, however, be different because some economic figure releases are expected to cause considerable volatility in the markets.

EURUSD: It can be safely said that indicator levels would have to determine what might happen on this pair. Right now, it is advisable to stay away from trading the pair. A clearer signal would be generated during the course.

 

USDCHF: What is true on EURUSD, is also true on USDCHF - stay away from this market until a clearer signal is generated. While it is easy to predict what could happen in the near-term, one may not figure out what the market will do in the long-term (at least for the moment).

 

GBPUSD: The signal on the Cable is bearish. The price is below the EMA 21, while the Stochastic is in the oversold region. This means that there could be some bullish correction on the price before further bearish momentum occurs.

 

EURJPY: If anything could be done on this cross, it could be short-selling. The only time when this would not be valid is when the EMA 11 crosses the EMA 56 to the upside. The Williams’ % Range is now heading downwards from the overbought territory, which could herald a bearish run.

 

USDJPY: The price on USDJPY threatens to start a bullish move, but the signal is ambiguous. One way of dealing with this is to wait for the EMA 11 to cross the EMA 56 to the upside. Otherwise, the price would have to fall back below the EMA 11.

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com