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Fundamental Analysis, for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 20:02:32 (читать в оригинале)

 

A day of great amount of economic data in the main financial center is giving rhythm to the currency market since the beginning of the European session with strong prospects for major moves during the American one.
The UK GDP fell by 0.4%, which is a tenth better than expected, although, such dissapointing news supported the sterling strength in this hour, and technically generated a bankrupt line of short-term downtrend against the dollar.
In its turn, the data on durable goods from the USA demonstrated a sharp drop of 1.6%. GDP, meanwhile, fell to 1.3%, which is already somewhat diluted because it is a second and final revision.
However, the Dow Jones index futures begin to recover and follow the trend leaders.
The euro zone did not leave a slight lateralization which is demonstrating the twists and turns and outrages of European politicians.
The pound is growing, while the recovery is strong within the Australian dollar, which is approaching a crucial 1.0435, confluence one trend line and another bullish in 4 hours charts. Passing both of them opens the way to the Aussie for 1.0480 in the coming hours.
The strong oil recovery from these hours (nearly $2 per barrel WTI), was short-term to give strength to the Canadian dollar without moving too far from their highs of two weeks ago. The Mexican peso rate is upward, seeking support at 12.80 which it could reach even early in the U.S. session.
Still remains to be published the figure of pending home sales in the United States at 10:00 Eastern, the last report of the day.
Everything given by the pairs is determined by the dollar and the Dow Jones futures, and it is not the best for the dollar today. After several days of downtrends the same currency rivals take air.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Buy Above 1.2820 for September 27, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-27 18:59:15 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro is quoted below 1.2945 fractal which now serves as a resistance and above the moving average of 200 periods around 1.2820, which serves as support. This is a level of uncertainty; if you want, you can buy over the daily fractal above 1.2945, or enter support levels around 1.2820 and set the stop-loss below the 200 EMA around 1.2760.
At the fundamental level, market sentiment remains fragile; the Europeans have added austerity measures with the help of which the leaders try to contain the debt crisis in the region. Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy may submit fifth package of budget cuts and protesters gathered near the parliament in Madrid yesterday, while in Athens Greek police dispersed protesters with tear gas.
It is likely that the euro optimism comes to an end and we can observe the beginning of a new sequence bassist, so we must expect the euro traded below 1.2750.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Bullish Outlook for September 27 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-27 18:56:38 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Australian dollar demonstrates a recovery after having confirming the strength of the 200 period moving average, now it is trading around 1.0420 very close to the resistance of 1.0460, a daily close above this level would increase the probability of a new bullish move up 1.0650 level. Investors should be cautious with this pair and closely monitor the latest developments in Japan and China, Australia's largest trading partner.
The trend continuation pattern is showing that for the medium-term, we can see that the Aussie is strengthened more and maybe will reach levels of 1.0650 and 1.08.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 18:54:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview
The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver takes an upward movement after bouncing from the Support level of 33.30. Presently silver is trading between the Support level of 33.90 and the Resistance level of 34.25. If silver continues the upward movement and manages to break this Resistance level, it will provide a good opportunity to buy above the Resistance level as well as make it possible to reach the Resistance level of 35.00 as the level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Resistance level to continue the bullish move. In case silver is able to break the Resistance level of 35.00 and close 4H above, we will get a bullish strength which will provide new buy signals and enable the Resistance level of 35.60 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bullish move and takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level of 34.25, it will be a strong indicator for the bearish move after closing 4H below the Support level 33.90 enabling the Support level 33.30. In this case we should wait for breaking this Support level to continue the bearish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 34.25 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected and invalidating the upward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(35.60)
R2(35.00)
R1(34.25)

S1(33.90)
S2(33.30)
S3(32.50)

Trading Recommendations

According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying in case of closing 4H above the Resistance level 34.25 with TP 34.90; SL closing 4H below the Resistance level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 18:36:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview
Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair continues its rebound from the support level of 125.30. Currently, the pair is trading above the Resistance level of 125.80. Given that the pair continues its bullish move and manages to close 4H above the Resistance level, we will receive a strong indicator for more bullish signals which will enable the Resistance level of 126.30 as the level target. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the upward move and open the way towards the Resistance level of 126.85.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Resistance level of 125.80 and bounces from it, it may reverse the bullish move taking a downward move which will enable Support level of 125.30 again. Then we should wait for breaking this Support level in order to get new bearish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Support level and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength providing new sell signals which will enable the Support level of 124.75 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 125.80 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels
R3(126.85)
R2(126.30)
R1(125.80)
S1(125.30)
S2(124.75)
S3(124.15)

Trading Recommendations
According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying after breaking the Resistance level 125.80 and closing 4H above with TP 125.25; SL closing 4 hours below the Resistance level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com