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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 14:10:46 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis, the USD/CHF pair was trading in a upward move developing corrective (4) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (A) (coloured orange). Yesterday during the European and first half of the New York sessions, we could observe an ascending movement from 0.9736 towards the 0.9417 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave (4). Therefore, during the second half of the NY session this major pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing lower when development of the final (5) wave (coloured green) started. At the moment, the USD/CHF pair is trading around 0.9400 level and we are expecting to see the price at 0.9140 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with Take Profit at 0.9140 (100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9500 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor U.S. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods Orders m/m, Final GDP q/q and Pending Home Sales m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9343 (S2) 0.9362 (S1) 0.9374 (PP) 0.9393 (R1) 0.9412 (R2) 0.9424 (R3) 0.9443
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9380 with Stop Loss 0.9500 and Take Profit at 0.9140 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD Wave Analysis for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 14:09:19 (читать в оригинале)

NZD/USD Elliott Wave
For the last few days the NZD/USD pair was trading in a downward move, developing corrective wave (C) (coloured orange) of the bigger wave 2 (coloured purple). Yesterday during the European session, we could observe a descending movement towards the 0.8183 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave 2 (coloured purple). Therefore, during the early New York session, we could observe a strong bullish mood that bring price to the new daily high at 0.8247 level when developing of the wave (1) (coloured green) starts. At the moment, the NZD/USD pair is trading around 0.9270 level and we are expecting to see the price lower when wave (1) finish 5 smaller waves. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 2 should retrace 61.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Retracement (0.8183-0.8280), with Take Profit at 0.8220 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 0.8300 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor NZD NBNZ Business Confidence and U.S. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods Orders m/m, Final GDP q/q, Pending Home Sales m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.8160 (S2) 0.8185 (S1) 0.8200 (PP) 0.8224 (R1) 0.8249 (R2) 0.8264 (R3) 0.8288
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.8265 with Stop Loss 0.8300 and Take Profit at 0.8220 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 14:08:04 (читать в оригинале)

The USD/CAD pair found resistance around the price level of 0.9915 corresponding to the upper limit of the bearish channel breaking down the lower limit of the consolidation range at 0.9845 which previously acted as support level.

After breakdown of 0.9845, the market went to the downside reaching the price level of 0.9635 testing the lower limit of the depicted bearish long-term channel which expressed a considerable bullish strength.

The USD/CAD pair reacted strongly towards the upper limit of the depicted channel pushing the pair to the downside testing the intraday Support zone 0.9720-0.9700 (neckline of a possible bullish H&S reversal pattern)

It's important to notice that the USD/CAD pair is probably establishing an ascending bottom around 0.9777 which may act as intraday support to be watched.

Price level of 0.9840 still should be watched for price action at retesting as it will probably offer a valid SELL entry with target at the lower limit of the channel around 0.9650. However, fixation above 0.9845 threatens again the bearish view confirming the possible bullish Head & Shoulders pattern depicted on the chart which will be targetting around 0.9920.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 27, 2012

2012-09-27 13:51:43 (читать в оригинале)

After having few indecisive movements last week, the pair reacted strongly towards the price level of 1.6160 pushing the pair to test 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone.

On Friday, the GBP/USD pair almost reached the price level of 1.6300 when the market reacted strongly bearish which was manifested in the daily bearish Hammer candlestick which strongly suggests an upcoming bearish retracement towards retesting of the broken long-term trend line around 1.6150-1.6100.

The GBP/USD pair has been trapped within consolidation range 1.6160-1.6300 which was broken down yesterday after showing a possible bearish Head & Shoulders reversal pattern on the 4H chart which enables 1.6060 in the short-term as long as the pair is trading below 1.6200.

Support: 1.6230, 1.6200, 1.6180, 1.6150, 1.6125 and 1.6075.

Resistance: 1.6250, 1.6285, 1.6300, 1.6350 and 1.6390.

Intraday support is seen around 1.6160. However, an obvious break below that level could lead the price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6130-1.6050, while a longer-term support is seen around price level of 1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level).

The long-term view remains bullish as long as we have daily closure above the broken long-term trend line depicted on the chart.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-27 13:07:48 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 100.40 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a violent bullish channel.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the intermediate resistance of the channel supporting the hypothesis of a decline.

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 100.40 with the 1st objective at 99.80 and then at 99.60. A breakthrough of 100.60 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance then we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 100.40 with the 1st objective at 101.00 and then at 101.20. A breakthrough of 100.20 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com