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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-25 18:43:24 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bullish channel at 1.6250 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.6330.

Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the inferior band strengthens the lower limit of the channel supporting the hypothesis of a rebound.

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenario: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.6250 with the 1st objective at 1.6190 and then at 1.6170. A breakthrough of 1.6270 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6250 with the 1st objective at 1.6310 and then at 1.6330. A breakthrough of 1.6230 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-25 18:40:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bullish channel at 1,775 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 1,788.

Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the gold evolves on the levels of the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a decline.

Gold is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1,775 with the 1st objective at 1,765 and then at 1,762. A breakthrough of 1,778 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,775 with the 1st objective at 1,785 and then at 1,788. A breakthrough of 1,772 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-25 18:34:41 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate broke the intermediate resistance of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2940 leading to an acceleration. A pull back on these levels is expected before reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.3020.

Technical indicators provide sell signals supporting the assumption of a pull back in a short-term. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the spot rate evolves on the levels of the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a pull back where we recommend a buy at the level of 1.2940 with the 1st objective at 1.3000 and then at 1.3020. A breakthrough of 1.2920 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support then we recommend a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.2940 with the 1st objective at 1.2880 and then at 1.2860. A breakthrough of 1.2960 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 18:15:21 (читать в оригинале)

 

On Tuesday evening little changes can be observed on currency markets. European currencies remain slightly bullish on the short-term charts, while oil is slowly recovering from the lows it reached early Monday.
The presentation of the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will start from 9:00 East Berlin on the occasion of the Day of German Industry. His words, without the scope of a figure like Ben Bernanke, for example, will be followed by the markets, waiting for definitions in several respects.
The ECB, as the representative of Europe in recent times, laid the groundwork for a ransom of troubled economies with Spain and Italy on the top. But there are several problems in the environment.
The ECB announced several days ago that it will buy bonds in perpetuity to States that so request. In this regards, it is a more than positive news. It is the way for a government to be funded without paying usurious rates. But we know the announcement about "bond purchase unlimited" means a ransom demand, which implies for governments politically not completely stabilized, as Rajoy and Monti in Spain and Italy respectively.
The other question is to know what are the conditions imposed by the ECB bond purchases. Such purchase was announced, but did not require any changes, and that it is dangerous. Too well it adresses to the euro in these circumstances, closer to its record high. Of course, the euro gained some positions in this view. The weak dollar is all that explains the current 1.30 euro.
The stillness of the market, however, has its origin in a similar behavior of the New York Stock Exchange. Except some papers, such as Apple (the day that Apple's strong buyers take profits, the great bubble burst and flooded market rivers), the rest of the moves remained without clear trends in both the Nasdaq and the index Dow Jones thermometers, major indicators of the world's leading financial center. The Dow Jones index futures have only made a pullback against the neck line figure of short-term trend (triple top), which could trigger a decline in the index leading roles.
If this happens, the major currencies will soon fall during the U.S. session, although, again, both the euro and the British pound and the Swiss franc moved shyly in an upward direction right now. In the case of the euro, the overcoming of 1.2965 would lead to 1.30 without breaks, but the currency will pass through 1.2930 high of the single currency several years ago.
The pound has a clearer upward movement, although the area of ​​1.6250 can be challenging. And the yen, which is again very strong, approaches its maximum of 14 September, when it touched 77.10, where it began a sharp decline, accentuated by the semi BOJ intervention with the so-called "stimulus plan" of the last week.
The publication of consumer confidence index from the United States is expected at 10:00, ending the reporting calendar date. So far, we anticipate no significant changes in trend. Unless Draghi prepared a surprise.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 16:07:02 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

The H4 chart shows today that silver is still trading between the Support level 33.90 and the Resistance level of 34.25. In case that silver continues its bearish view and manages to break this Support level, it will provide a good opportunity to sell below the Support level as well as will make it possible to reach the Support level of 32.50 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Support level to continue the bearish move. In case silver is able to break the Support level of 32.25 and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength which will provide new sell signals and enable the Support level of 32.65 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bearish move and takes an upward direction after its rebound from the Support level 33.90 , this will be a strong indicator for the bullish move after closing 4H above the Support level enabling the Resistance level 34.25 again. In this case, we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the bullish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level of 33.90 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the downward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(35.60)
R2(35.00)
R1(34.25)
S1(33.90)
S2(33.25)
S3(32.65)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support level 33.90 with TP 33.35; SL closing 4H above the Support level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com