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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 14:54:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

The H4 chart demonstrates today that the pair continues its bearish move till reaching the Support level 126.15. Currently, the pair is trying to break the Support level of 126.15 . Given that the pair manages to break this Support level and closes 4H below, we will receive a strong indicator for more bearish signals which will enable the Support level of 125.70 as a level target. Then we should wait for breaking of this Support level to continue the downward move and open the way towards the Support level of 125.30.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Support level of 126.15 and bounces from it, it may reverse the bearish move taking an upward move enabling the Resistance level of 126.85. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to provide new bullish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Resistance level and close 4H above, we will get a bullish strength providing new buy signals enabling the Resistance level of 125.75 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level 125.80 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected invalidating the bearish outlook.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(128.40)
R2(127.75)
R1(126.85)
S1(126.15)
S2(125.70)
S3(125.30)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling after breaking the Support level 126.15 and closing 4H below with TP 125.75; SL closing 4 hours above the Support level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 14:16:24 (читать в оригинале)

The USD/CAD pair found resistance around the price level of 0.9915 corresponding to the upper limit of the bearish channel breaking down the lower limit of the consolidation range at 0.9845 which previously acted as support level.

After breakdown of 0.9845, the market went to the downside reaching the price level of 0.9635 testing the lower limit of the depicted bearish long-term channel which expressed a considerable bullish strength.

The USD/CAD pair reacted strongly towards the upper limit of the depicted channel pushing the pair to the downside testing the intraday Support zone 0.9720-0.9700 (neckline of a possible H&S reversal pattern)

It's important to notice that the USD/CAD pair is probably establishing an ascending bottom around 0.9777 which may act as intraday support to be watched.

Price level of 0.9840 still should be watched for price action at retesting as it will probably offer a valid SELL entry with target at the lower limit of the channel around 0.9650. However, fixation above 0.9845 threatens again the bearish view confirming the possible bullish Head & Shoulders pattern depicted on the chart which will be targetting around 0.9920.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 14:13:58 (читать в оригинале)

The GBPUSD had one more indecisive movement on Tuesday manifested in the Doji daily candlestick which was followed by a bearish candlestick on Wednesday. However, the pair reacted strongly towards the price level of 1.6160 pushing the pair to test 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone.

On Friday, the GBP/USD pair almost reached the price level of 1.6300 when the market reacted strongly bearish which was manifested in the daily bearish hammer candlestick which strongly suggests an upcoming bearish retracement towards retesting of the broken long-term trend line around 1.6150-1.6100.

The GBP/USD pair is now trapped within consolidation range 1.6160-1.6300.

The view remains bullish in short-term with the test of 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone as long as we have daily closure above the broken long-term trendline depicted on the chart .

Support: 1.6230, 1.6200, 1.6180, 1.6150, 1.6125 and 1.6075.

Resistance: 1.6250, 1.6285, 1.6300, 1.6350 and 1.6390.

Intraday support is seen around 1.6160. However, an obvious break below that level could lead the price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6130-1.6050, while a longer-term support is seen around price level 1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level).

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for September 25,2012

2012-09-25 14:10:41 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
For the last few days the USD/CHF pair was trading in a upward move, developing corrective (4) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (A) (coloured orange). Yesterday during the European session, we could observe an ascending movement towards the 0.9390 level. Therefore, during the early New York session this major pair did not manage to hold this level and price retraced back to 0.9354 level. At the moment, the USD/CHF pair is trading around 0.9370 level and we are expecting to see the price lower in the next few days, when development of the 5 impulsive wave starts. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring 1 wave, with Take Profit 1 at 0.9176(100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 0.9450 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the CHF SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks and U.S. S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9283 (S2) 0.9311 (S1) 0.9328 (PP) 0.9355 (R1) 0.9383 (R2) 0.9400 (R3) 0.9427
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9330 with Stop Loss 0.9450 and Take Profit at 0.9176 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 14:08:17 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis, the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move, like we expected developing impulsive 1 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (3) (coloured green). Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, we could observe a strong descending movement from 1.0450 towards the 1.0386 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave 1 (coloured blue). Therefore, during the New York session, the AUD/USD pair started pushing higher when developing of the corrective wave 2 (coloured blue) starts. Today during the Asian session, the AUD/USD finished developing of the 2 wave at 1.0444 level and we are expecting to see price around 1.0230 soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0518-1.0386-1.044), with Take Profit 1 at 1.0229 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.0445 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor AUD RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks and U.S. S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0352 (S2) 1.0378 (S1) 1.0395 (PP) 1.0422 (R1) 1.0448 (R2) 1.0465 (R3) 1.0492
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0395 with Stop Loss 1.0445 and Take Profit at 1.0229 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com