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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 13:45:11 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:

• Strong level (Resistance) will be formed at 0.9420 providing a clear signal for sell deals with the target seen at the 0.9310 level. Stop loss is to be placed above 0.9475.

• Strong level (Support) will be formed at 0.9257 providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at the 0.9403 level. Stop loss is to be placed below 0.9200.

 

 

 

Overview:

USD/CHF:

It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9320 and 0.9375, i.e. above the strong resistance level of 0.9420. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9420 and is presently approaching it to the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.9420 level. Sell deals are recommended below 0.9420 with the first target seen at the 0.9370 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.9310 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9257. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9257. Therefore, it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behavior. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 0.9260 with the first target seen at the 0.9345 level and further at the 0.9403 level.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 13:33:34 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave Analysis:
During yesterday’s trading session the EUR/USD pair resumed an upward move and could test the level of 29 figure in the afternoon. Thus, the wave structure of the current correctional descending move, unfolding from the highs, reached September 17 maximum, and now looks like a downward-pointing triangle. At the same time, as the pair tests the correctional level of 38.2%, the triangle looks completed to a large extent. If it is so, we can expect the growth of quotes staring from the lows of the previous day towards new targets which are higher 1.3200. At the same time, there is nothing to hinder the price to move towards the next correctional level (50.0%).
Targets for Down Wave e:
1.2915 – 38.2% of Fibonacci
1.2836 – 50.0% of Fibonacci

 

Targets for First Wave of New Uptrend:
1.3011 – 23.6% of Fibonacci
1.3092 – 11.4% of Fibonacci

Summary and Trading Recommendations:
The most probable scenario is prolongation of the correctional trend. Wave e continues possibly building a downward trend now, where the descending move to 1.2915 and 1.2836 levels can be observed, 38.2 and 50.0% of Fibonacci respectively. After wave e is worked out, we may observe a growth in the terms of wave 1 of the new ascending movement towards 1.3011 and 1.3092 which is equal to 23.6% and 11.4% of Fibonacci.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 25, 2012)

2012-09-25 13:32:24 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: The EURUSD pair continued to lose its positions as the price stays below the EMA 21. The Stochastic reached the oversold territory and may spend sometime there.

 

USDCHF: This market is trying its slow and steady northward correction, or could we call it a new bullish bias? The price stays above the EMA 21 as the Stochastic is heading towards the overbought region.

 

GBPUSD: On this market, the bears are still trying to pull down the Cable, but the bulls are resisting it desperately. The Williams’ % Range is almost going into the oversold region - something that may cause a brief rally.

 

EURJPY: This could be rightly called a new bearish wave. The EMA 11 has crossed its EMA 56 counterpart to the downside, therefore signaling the end of the previous bullish propensity.

 

USDJPY: The bullish attempt that occurred last week on USDJPY was void. The EMA 11 has crossed the EMA 56 to the downside - SELL.

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD: Technical Analysis for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 13:24:43 (читать в оригинале)

 

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.6234.

 

 

Weekly Pivot Points:

 

R3: 1.6449
R2: 1.6379
R1: 1.6304
PP: 1.6234
S1: 1.6159
S2: 1.6089
S3: 1.6014

GBP/USD "Pound-Dollar":
• Resistance: 1.6303 (sell below this level).
• Support: 1.6160 (buy above this level).

Trading Recommendations:

According to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.62013 and 1.6275.

 

• The descending movement will probably be lower than 1.6303 level with the first target at 1.6237 and 1.6163 levels.
• Buy deals are recommended above the 1.6160 level with targets at 1.6257 and 1.6300 levels.

 

Overview:

It should be noticed that the market showed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in the narrow sideways channel. Due to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.6213 and 1.6303, so it is recommended to be careful while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably show the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 1.6160 level with their first target at the level of 1.6210. From this point, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to the point of 1.6260 and further to the level of 1.6300. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6303, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.6303. In this regard, sell deals are recommended lower than the 1.6303 level with the first target at 1.6267. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.6212 then 1.6159 (the weekly support 1).

 

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Candlestick Analysis for September 25, 2012

2012-09-25 13:02:07 (читать в оригинале)

Daily

The EUR/JPY rate has fixed below the correctional level of Fibonacci 50.0% and fell towards correctional level of 38.2% - 100.73. No candlestick formation was built during the week. From correctional level of 38.3% the rebound is possible. If this happens, the rate will try to grow towards Fibonacci 50.0% - 102.79. Quotes fixation below 38.2% Fibonacci will intensify the expectations of quotes drop towards Fibonacci 23.6% - 98.21. Bullish formation will support the probable EUR/JPY rebound from Fibonacci 38.2%. We should note that it is not clear now if there is going to be a rebound from 38.2% Fibonacci or not.

4h

On 4H time frame EUR/JPY ignored Fibonacci 100.0% - 101.61 once again. After bearish formation Hanging Man was built, the quotes dipped below Fibonacci 100.0%. Thus, the rate may fall further towards correctional level of 76.4% - 99.83. Bearish formation Absorption indicated the likelihood of rate drop on Thursday. Bullish candlestick formation may help the pair to return to Fibonacci 100.0%. Now we should pay more attention towards candlestick formations that signify about growth change and quotes fall.вок.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com