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EUR/USD Analytical Review with the Forecast for September 24, 2012

2012-09-24 12:45:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

The single currency fixed its positions against the greenback on Friday after the news that Spain is negotiating the terms of next tranche of financial aid with the European Commission appeared on market.
The session closed in good to the euro which climbed 13 points against the dollars, trading volatility was 93 points.
Fundamental review:
We did not get any fundamentals on Friday.
Technical Analysis:
Despite fierce attempts of the pair to resume uptrend, the trading is still in downward price channel. The lower limit of this channel is placed at Friday’s low at 1.2955 and today’s minimum of 1.2927. The upper limit of the channel crosses Friday’s high at 1.3047.
1.2927 level, which was tested last week and managed to outstay bears’ pressure, is supporting the pair. In case of its overcoming, the EUR/USD downtrend will continue to 29 figure from which the bears can target 1.2871 level.
20-day moving average, which tried to fix above 60-day moving average on Friday, is heading downwards and indicates a possible EUR/USD fall in short-term. 60-day moving average which is placed in the area of 1.2086, may serve as additional resistance in case of correctional growth of the pair.
In case the ascending movement resumes, the first resistance level will be placed at 1.2961 from which the pair may head to 1.2985 and then may test again 1.3013. The main target for bulls is 1.3048.
Bollinger Bands are parallel to each other, although, they maintain market’s volatility which is good for the bears. The trading is performed mainly in the lower part of the channel and the average line placed at 1.2977 serves as dynamic resistance level.
MACD indicator, which came closer to zero level during the Friday’s trading, moved to the sell area today which shows the presence of bears on the market. In case of further decline together with the breakthrough of support level and confirmation of this breach on the indicator, I recommend to open short positions.

 

 

 

Key support and resistance levels for today:
Support levels: 1.2927, 1.2903, 1.2871
Resistance levels: 1.2961, 1.2985, 1.3013
60-day Moving Average (yellow line) - 1.2986
20-day Moving Average (green line) - 1.2977

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-24 12:27:48 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium-term bearish channel at 100.80 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the lower limit of its channel at 99.80.

 

Technical indicators provide sell signals. But until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 100.80 with the 1st objective at 101.40 and then at 101.60. A breakthrough of 100.60 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we recommend a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 100.80 with the 1st objective at 100.20 and then at 100.00. A breakthrough of 101.00 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-24 12:21:30 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the lower limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1,758 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bearish channel.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals and until the support is not broken, the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the gold evolves at the levels of the inferior band supporting the hypothesis of a rebound.

As gold is currently testing the lower limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenario: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy at the level of 1,758 with the 1st objective at 1,768 and then at 1,770. A breakthrough of 1,755 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we recommend a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1,758 with the 1st objective at 1,748 and then at 1,745. A breakthrough of 1,761 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-24 12:20:15 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2980 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.3030.

 

Technical indicators provide buy signals. But until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days, showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the spot rate evolves on the levels of the inferior band supporting the hypothesis of a rebound.

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.2980 with the 1st objective at 1.2920 and then at 1.2900. A breakthrough of 1.3000 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we recommend a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2980 with the 1st objective at 1.3040 and then at 1.3060. A breakthrough of 1.2960 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-24 12:18:16 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1.6190 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bearish channel.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the support is not broken, the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the inferior band strengthens the lower limit of the channel supporting the hypothesis of a rebound.

As the spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy at the level of 1.6190 with the 1st objective at 1.6250 and then at 1.6270. A breakthrough of 1.6170 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.6190 with the 1st objective at 1.6120 and then at 1.6100. A breakthrough of 1.6210 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com