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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-21 12:24:19 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold bounced off on the lower limit of its medium term bullish channel and tests now the upper limit of its short term trading range at 1,780 and seems to decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the intermediate resistance of its medium term channel.

Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band evolves on the levels of the upper limit of the trading range supporting the assumption of a violent movement in case of failure.

As gold is currently testing the upper limit of its trading range, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline then we recommend a sell at the level of 1,780 with the 1st objective at 1,770 and then at 1,765. A breakthrough of 1,783 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,780 with the 1st objective at 1,790 and then at 1,795. A breakthrough of 1,777 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-21 12:22:57 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate broke yesterday the intermediate resistance of its medium-term trading range leading to acceleration. It tests now the upper limit of this one at 1.6270 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will release good potential and initiate a bullish channel.

 

Technical indicators provide buy signals but approach an oversell zone supporting the hypothesis of a decline. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band evolves at the levels of the spot rate supporting the assumption of a decline.

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its trading range, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.6270 with the 1st objective at 1.6210 and then at 1.6190. A breakthrough of 1.6290 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we recommend a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6270 with the 1st objective at 1.6330 and then at 1.6350. A breakthrough of 1.6250 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD. Forecast for September 21, 2012

2012-09-21 12:19:51 (читать в оригинале)

 

The hopes for the positive fundamentals were not realized. The descending movement continued after the Asian session. Manufacturing PMI in the Eurozone was above expectations (46.0 against 45.6), services PMI demonstrated worse results: 46.0 against 47.6. 10Y bonds auction was quite successful, the yield made up 5.67% against 6.65%, however, the stock yields grew from 5.69% to 5.77%. There were rumors that the yield rose as the result of speculations in order to make Spain ask for bailout. Same evening, the market got the news that Spain will ask for financial aid next week. After this information the euro reversed its downward movement despite poor jobless claims index from the USA and Markit manufacturing PMI.
We do not expect any macroeconomic data from the Eurozone and the USA today.
Technically, the growth is possible towards 1.3028 (but first we should see a breakout of 1.3002), 1.3081. However, due to yesterday’s fall, 1.2930 area can be tested once again.

 

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-21 12:00:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate bounced off yesterday on the lower limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2930. It tests now the upper limit of this one at 1.3010 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bullish channel.

 

Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band evolves on the levels of the spot rate supporting the assumption of a decline.

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.3010 with the 1st objective at 1.2950 and then at 1.2930. A breakthrough of 1.3030 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance then we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.3010 with the 1st objective at 1.3070 and then at 1.3090. A breakthrough of 1.2990 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 21, 2012)

2012-09-21 11:38:18 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: This week, EURUSD saw a significant bearish correction, though it seems this is coming to an end. The price is now testing the resistance level at 1.3000, and may continue going up if it succeeds in breaking it upwards.

 

USDCHF: Here, the bullish correction that started this week is not that noteworthy, but it is vivid. Further bullish correction was rejected at the accumulation level of 0.9350. The price would go down further if the price violates the accumulation level at 0.9300.

 

GBPUSD: This week, the equilibrium activity that happened on this pair was not that serious. The price has resumed its northward journey as the price has gone beyond the resistance level at 1.6250.

 

EURJPY: This cross fell by over 180 pips this week while correcting lower. The price has found a bottom at 101.00 and is trying to go up from there.

 

USDJPY: The bullish scenario that was formed earlier this week is now invalid. It looks as though this pair is poised for further bearish run. I would prefer to stay out of this market right now.

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com