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GBP/USD. Forecast for September 20, 2012

2012-09-20 11:46:58 (читать в оригинале)

 

Despite the hints about QE expansion, it will not be performed in short-term. According to the BoE minutes released, all nine members of the Committee on monetary policy voted for the interest rate to be left at the level of 0.5% and the bond purchase volume at 375 bn pounds.
At 12:30 (GMT +3) we are waiting for retail sales with auto fuel for August. Forecast – 0.4% against 0.3% in June. Retail sales excluding auto fuel is expected to hit -0.4% against 0.0% in July.
At 14:00 CBI industrial order expectation is due for September. The analysts anticipate the index to hold -14 against -21 in August.
Taking into account that the negative retail sales statistics has already been offset by the Olympics, the British pound will probably follow the euro growth.
Technical targets for growth: 1.6298, 1.6317.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Gold Fails At Resistance, Look Lower Now

2012-09-20 11:38:31 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

We have again presented the 4H chart view for a closer look. As we were discussing yesterday, a failure at resistance of 1775.00 levels have triggered a selloff. At the moment, it would still remain as a retracement of the latest upswing from 1720 to 1775. As depicted above, the short-term trend line support will come at 1750.00 level; and a bounce from there would resume a rally towards 1800 and higher. On the other hand a break here would expose the lined up supports at 1720, 1690 and lower. Aggressive traders can remain short targetting at the moment at 1750.

Trading Recommendations:

Aggressive: short now, stop at 1780, target 1740/50, exit shorts and go long on a bounce at the trend line.

Conservative: flat for now.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EurJpy Shorts Still Have Room Left

2012-09-20 11:24:36 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

Finally, our shorts have materialized. We again present the 4H chart to study the waves more careful. As depicted above, we were at R1 yesterday, and the extension of the primary downswing could possibly bring the prices down towards the 100.00 mark. It should be noted that the short-term support line is travelling towards the same price region at the moment. A bounce there would resume rally again but a clear break would indicate further weakness ahead towards the 99.00 region and lower. Please note the lined up supports as well.

Trading Recommendations:

Remain short, move stop to break even, target at 100.10.

 

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 20, 2012)

2012-09-20 11:21:31 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: The price is now clearly below the EMA 12 as the pullback still holds its positions. If this continues, the price would re-test the level of 1.3000 (the next resistance level is placed at 1.3050).

 

USDCHF: This pair continued to move sideways as it began this week. There is no clear direction right now: the support level is at 0.9250 and the resistance level is at 0.9300.

 

GBPUSD: Despite the correction in the market, the bullish bias are still relevant. The price is trying to move below the EMA 21, but it would merely give a new long signal as the Stochastic falls into the oversold region.

 

EURJPY: There could be a  possibility for long order at 102.00 if the price touches that level, especially as the Williams’ % Range has gone into the oversold territory. The bias still points at the upwards direction.

 

USDJPY: What is happening with USD/JPY is a serious threat to the newly created ‘Buy’ signal on the pair. The EMA 56 is trying to thwart further bearish attempts. But if the price touches the support level at 78.00, it would render any bullish outlook invalid.

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for September 20, 2012

2012-09-20 11:11:39 (читать в оригинале)

Today's Technical Levels:

Resistance 3: 78.77.

Resistance 2: 78.62.

Resistance 1: 78.46.

Support 1: 78.27.

Support 2: 78.12.

Support 3: 77.96.

 

Description:

Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (77.96) and resistance 3 (78.77). In general, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.
 

 

 

Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com
Email : Arief.jakarta@indo.instaforex.com

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com