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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 13:48:39 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move like we expected, developing final (C) wave (coloured orange)of the bigger E wave (coloured purple).Yesterday during the Asian session, we could observe a descending movement from 1.0556 towards the 1.0515 level. Therefore, during the European and New York sessions, this major pair continued trading in a bearish mood and the price reached a new 2 days low at 1.0455 level. At the moment, the AUD/USD pair is still trading in a downward move and we are expecting to see the price around 0.9824 level in the next few weeks. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave E should retrace 61.8% of the wave C, we can define the potential targets with measuring C wave, with Take Profit 1 at 0.9974(50% of wave C) and Take Profit 2 at 0.9824 (61.8% of wave C). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1.0620 level as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0394 (S2) 1.0433 (S1) 1.0457 (PP) 1.0495 (R1) 1.0534 (R2) 1.0558 (R3) 1.0596
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0410 with Stop Loss 1.0620 ,Take Profit 1 at 0.9974 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9824 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 13:47:26 (читать в оригинале)

EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Last week the EUR/USD pair was trading in an upward move, developing impulsive 3 wave (coloured green) of the bigger (5) wave (coloured orange). Yesterday during the Asian and European sessions, we could observe a descending movement towards the 1.3083 level. Therefore, during the early New York session, this major pair did not manage to hold this level and price reached a new daily high at 1.3171 level. We can consider this move as the end of the (3) wave (coloured green). At the moment the EUR/USD pair is testing 1.3080 support level and we are expecting to see the price around 1.3235 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring 1 wave, with Take Profit at 1.3234 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.3344 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use support at 1.3000 level as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.3034 (S2) 1.3068 (S1) 1.3089 (PP) 1.3123 (R1) 1.3157 (R2) 1.3178 (R3) 1.3212
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.3100 with Stop Loss 1.300 , Take Profit at 1.3234 and Take Profit 2 at 1.3344 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 13:26:22 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, silver is still stabilizing between the Support level of 33.90 and the Resistance level of 34.25 and is trying to break the Support level to continue its bearish move. If silver takes a bearish move and manages to break the Support level, this will be a strong indicator for the downward move and open the way towards the Support level of 33.25, then we should wait for the breakout of this level to continue the bearish move.
On the other hand, if the pair doesn't break the Support level of 33.90 and reverses its downward move, it may be a good opportunity for a bullish signals enabling the Resistance level of 34.25. The breakout of this Resistance level will denote a bullish strength providing new buy signals from this level till reaching the Resistance level of 35.00 then 35.60.
Based on the given H4 chart, technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level 33.90 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the bearish outlook. Therefore, we should wait more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(35.60)
R2(35.00)
R1(34.25)

S1(33.90)
S2(33.25)
S3(32.65)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of breaking the Support level of 33.90 with TP 33.45; SL closng 4 hours above the Resistance level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 13:21:38 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair is going to take a downward move and currently, the pair is trading below the Resistance level of 127.75 and testing the upward trend line. Given that the pair manages to break this Resistance level and closes 4H above, we will receive a strong indicator for more bullish signals which will enable the Resistance level of 128.40 as a level target. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the upward move and open the way towards the Resistance level of 128.80.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Resistance level of 127.75 and bounces from it, it may reverse the bullish move taking a downward move which will enable Support level of 126.85. Then we should wait for breaking this Support level in order to get new bearish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Support level and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength providing new sell signals which will enable the Support level of 126.30 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 127.75 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(128.80)
R2(128.40)
R1(127.75)

S1(126.85)
S2(126.30)
S3(125.75)

Trading Recommendation

According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying after breaking the Resistance level 127.75 and closing 4H above with TP 128.35; SL closing 4 hours below the Resistance level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Волновой анализ валютной пары EUR/USD за 18 сентября 2012 года

2012-09-18 12:56:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair was trading in a narrow price range and failed to get over the Friday’s high. Taking this into account, inner 5 wave structure is now almost finished which may enable the beginning of the longer correctional movement. At the same time, considering the previous dynamics of the uptrend there is a great opportunity that 5 wave may bу longer and of more complex structure.
Targets for down wave, probably 1 or a:
1.2993 – 523.6% Fibonacci
1.2876 – 423.6% Fibonacci
Targets for wave 5 in 5 (may be more complex):
1.3184 and higher – 685.4% Fibonacci
Summary and Trading Recommendations:
It is most probable that the upward trend will extend. Now we can see that wave 5 in 5 continues its building in the terms of which we may observe acceleration towards 1.3184 and higher which is equal to 685.4% Fibonacci. This wave is constantly extending. After wave 5 in 5 is finished, the downward are with the targets of 1.2993 and 1.2876 will probably start forming which coincides to 523.6% and 423.6% Fibonacci in the terms of wave one. An ascending channel lost its applicability as the price went far above it which proves once again the strength of the current trend.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com