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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 17, 2012)

2012-09-17 12:45:59 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: In this bullish market, EURUSD rose by over 350 pips last month. It is expected to continue this week, though with some pullbacks.

 

USDCHF: This is a bearish market, and the pair fell by more than 200 pips last week. It is also expected to continue such move as the price might reach the support level at 0.9200.

 

GBPUSD: Last week, the GBPUSD rose by roughly 250 pips. This is a bullish market, and it ought to continue moving upwards except some fundamentals change some things.

 

EURJPY: Despite some precarious bearish threats, EURJPY rose by about 300 pips last week. The resistance level at 103.00 has already been tested, and the price will go further if that level is broken this week.

 

USDJPY: As it was said earlier last week, this pair, which was formerly weak, was ultimately forced to correlate positively with other JPY pairs. The change in the trend would be confirmed this week when the EMA 11 crosses the EMA 56 to the upside.

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD.Forecast for September 17, 2012

2012-09-17 12:42:49 (читать в оригинале)

 

Rightmovehouse price index showed 0.6% decline against 2.4% fall in August.
Many economists think that after QE3 was announced, the BoE will increase the purchase of bonds and may be even reduce the interest rate at December meeting.
Airbus (EADS corporate group) and BAE Systems negotiations about possible merging initiated the UK market growth on Friday.
Locally, we do not have any news from the UK. The pound will not follow the general market direction.
After 1.6240 level is broken, the possible targets for growth will be 1.6285, 1.6301/06. Correction is possible towards 1.6180.

 

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Candlestick Analysis for September 17, 2012

2012-09-17 12:42:26 (читать в оригинале)

Daily

EUR/JPY demonstrated a noticeable rally on Friday. Probably we observed Hammer candlestick formation but it was ambiguous and we could not see any other formations. As the result, the quotes finished their rally above the correctional level of Fibonacci 50.0% - 102.76. Thus, on Monday two scenarios are possible: if the quotes do not fix below the correctional level 50.0%, the acceleration may extend towards 61.8% - 104.80. If the rate fixes below Fibonacci 50.0%, the quotes may fall towards 38.2%- 100.71 of Fibonacci. Bearish candlestick formation may result in significant rebound from the correctional level of 50.0%.

4h


On 4H time frame the pair began its growth after bullish candlestick formation Harami was built and it fixed above the correctional level of 100.0% - 101.61 Fibonacci. Thus, the growth may continue till the correctional level 161.8% of Fibonacci – 106.26. Building of bearish candlestick formation may signify quotes reverse towards the Japanese currency and initiate a modest rebound towards correctional level of 100.0%. Bullish candlestick formation may result if quotes growth.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 17, 2012

2012-09-17 12:05:59 (читать в оригинале)

The GBPUSD pair continued its bullish movement last week  recording a high at 1.6254.

As seen on the daily chart above, the price broke through a long-term trendline resistance suggesting a further bullish scenario at least towards 1.6315 corresponding to 78.6% Fibonacci.

The view remains bullish in short-term testing 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone.

Intraday support is seen around 1.6160. However, an obvious break below that level could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6130-1.6050, while a longer-term support is seen around price level  1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level).

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for September 17 - 2012

2012-09-17 11:54:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5791                    R1: 159.02

S2: 1.5705                    R2: 1.5974

S3: 1.5592                    R3: 1.6053

 

Technical Overview: 

The base channel support line held on Friday and the break above 1.5802 indicates that wave 2 ended at 1.5578 and we should now look for the powerful wave 3 higher. The first target for wave 3 will where it equals wave 1 in length, which will be at 1.6513, but we will normally expect wave 3 to be the wave, that extends and therefore we would not be surprised to see wave 3 higher towards 170.91.

Even though we expect wave 2 to have finished at 1.5578 it could still turn into a more complex correction, if we do not break above 1.5902, but the odds for wave 2 to turn into a more complex correction is very low, so we will focus on the upside and a break above 1.5902 soon.

 

Trading Recommendation:

We bought EUR against JPY at 1.5805 and will place our stop at 1.5575. As soon as we get a chance to move our stop higher we will do that. If you have not bought EUR already you could buy a break above 1.5902 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com