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GBP/USD Bullish Outlook for September 14, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-14 20:00:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

Amid the Fed’s announcement about monetary easing program expansion, the British pound gained strength.
As the currency was appreciated yesterday, it reached the record high of 1.6250. According to Fibonacci sequence, we expect a decline to 23.6%; buy when the level of 1.6012 is met. Indicators are showing an overbought position. The targets are to be placed at 1.6250 and higher at 1.65.

 

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for September 14, 2012

2012-09-14 19:09:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

The H4 chart shows today that silver takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level of 35.00 and presently it is testing the Support level of 34.50. If silver continues its bearish view and manages to break this Support level, it will provide a good opportunity to sell below the Support level as well as will make it possible to reach the Support level of 33.90 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Support level to continue the bearish move. In case silver is able to break the Support level of 33.90 and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength which will provide new sell signals and enable the Support level of 33.25 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bearish move and takes an upward direction after its rebound from the Support level 34.50, this will be a strong indicator for the bullish move after closing 4H above the Support level enabling the Resistance level 35.00. In this case, we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the bullish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level of 34.50 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the downward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(36.00)
R2(35.60)
R1(35.00)

S1(34.50)
S2(33.90)
S3(33.25)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support level 34.50 with TP 34.05; SL closing 4H above the Support level might be appropriate.

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EUR/USD Bullish Outlook for September 14, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-14 18:24:35 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Fed announced a new plan in order to stimulate the U.S. economy at the meeting that ended on Thursday. This should continue to keep rates exceptionally low in the United States until the end of 2015 and go on well after economic recovery.
At the technical level, we note that the euro is above 200 day moving average period, which that the rate is going to maintain an upward trend for a long time until the next target of 1.35 and reach 1.40 at the end of the year. Everything depends on how good the situation is in the Eurozone countries, here the euro appreciated only by a weak dollar, but still the problems are not solved.
In the short-term we recommend buying a return to the 200 day moving average around 1.2880 periods with goals at 1.32 and above at 1.35.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

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Fundamental Analysis, for September 14, 2012

2012-09-14 17:59:31 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Federal Reserve announced a new plan in order to stimulate the U.S. economy at the meeting that ended on Thursday.
This plan involves the purchase of mortgage assets by 40 billion dollars every month, a cash injection that anticipates major dollar devaluation on all fronts which actually happened on currency market on the eve.
The U.S. currency reached multi-month lows against major currencies in the terms of the moves that even extended to these hours prior to Friday's U.S. session.
The euro, thus, overcame just the level of 1.31 and the pound is far from 1.62, the area we had seen as the main goal for this week.
The yen reached the maximum of more than one year late on Thursday, but fell rapidly during the Asian session, and approached to 78 units per dollar for the second time during the day.
The Swiss franc rose more slowly than other leading currencies. It’s trading range of 1.20 against the euro has been left out, and now the franc is heading towards 1.21 which means that the euro has strengthened against the dollar at a much faster speed than the Swiss currency.
In its turn, Dow Jones index is still above records of almost four years. On Thursday it closed at 13539.86 points, and now maintains a very strong uptrend on the short-term charts.
What might happen on Friday's session? In either case it will change the landscape. European currencies maintain a strong uptrend, even with the expected corrections. But dollar’s sentiment has turned bearish and will change neither in the next few hours, nor in the coming days.
Just some decisions regarding the crisis in the European countries could change the situation (weak dollar).

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USD/JPY Wave Analysis for September 14, 2012

2012-09-14 17:45:12 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave Analysis:
During yesterday’s trading session, the USD/JPY met the estimated target in a narrow price range of 77.55 practically without being delayed and broke through the price range of 77.50; it could stop only on the lower line of an uptrend, which started in October last year. Thus, expected wave C is now more complicated. At the same time in the situation of dollar’s descending move in every sphere on the Foreign exchange market it is possible to suggest that the pair may continue its downward move and the price will reach the level of 76.65.

 

Targets for Down Wave (5 into C):
77.17 and lower – 127.2% of Fibonacci

Targets for the First Wave of New Uptrend:
77.57 – 100.0% of Fibonacci
77.91 – 76.4 of Fibonacci

Summary and Trading Recommendations:
At the moment the descending trend of wave C is forming, it is rather complicated and mixed. The fall towards 77.57 level and lower is also possible which is equal to 127.2% of Fibonacci in terms of wave 5 in C, the inner wave structure of the wave is complicated. After this wave is finished, the quotes may grow towards 77.57 and 77.91 which correspond to 100.0% and 76.4% of Fibonacci in the terms of first waves. MACD convergence is indicative of the beginning of a new uptrend practically starting from the current price, which probably began but it could be forming of wave 4 in C (transformed after complication of wave C).

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