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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-14 11:24:32 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate broke yesterday the intermediate resistance of its long term bearish channel at 1.5840 leading to an acceleration. It tests now the upper limit of this one at 1.6210 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bullish channel.

Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the assumption of a violent movement in case of failure.

As the spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.6210 with the 1st objective at 1.6150 and then at 1.6130. A breakthrough of 1.6230 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6210 with the 1st objective at 1.6270 and then at 1.6290. A breakthrough of 1.6190 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-14 11:20:00 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate broke yesterday the intermediate resistance of its long term bearish channel at 1.2800 leading to an acceleration. It tests now the upper limit of this one at 1.3040 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bullish channel.

Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the assumption of a violent movement in case of failure.

As he spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell at the level of 1.3040 with the 1st objective at 1.2980 and then at 1.2960. A breakthrough of 1.3060 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.3040 with the 1st objective at 1.3100 and then at 1.3120. A breakthrough of 1.3020 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for September 14 - 2012

2012-09-14 11:18:02 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5570                  R1: 1.5687

S2: 1.5544                  R2: 1.5759

S3: 1.5434                  R3: 1.5802

 

Technical Overview: 

The failure to overcome resistance at 1.5802 and the fact that we have seen a break below the base mid-line channels  and now are testing the base channel support line is of concern. A break below the channel of support line will change our count, but as long as the support line stays intact, we will keep the bullish count as seen above, but we are very cautious with this count.

If we do see a break below the support line channel at 1.5570, we will conclude that the first impulsive rally from 1.4968 ended at 1.5902 and that we are now looking for a correction in wave 2, which could fall to 1.5434 where it would have corrected 50% of wave 1 and maybe even continue down to 1.5323, where it would have corrected 61.8% of wave 1.

 

Trading Recommendation:  

As we are facing strong support at the base channel support line here at 1.5570, it would be tempting to buy EUR against NZD, but the indicators tell us that the risk of a break below the support line is too big and, therefore, we will wait to see if it holds and then buy a break above 1.5802 or if the support line breaks then buy EUR at 1.5350 (one orden done cancels the other).

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for September 14 - 2012

2012-09-14 11:10:56 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 100.74                   R1: 101.30

S2: 100.59                   R2: 101.62

S3: 100.20                   R3: 102.12

 

Technical Overview:

We saw a decline to 99.48 yesterday which could have been the start of a larger correction, but the following rally higher does look impulsive in nature and, therefore, we must assume that red wave 5 is extending itself. This definetly changes the technical picture to a much more bullish one than intitially anticipated. With the new more bullish picture in mind, the first target we should be looking for as a possible target for blue wave iii is at 101.95, but it's more likely, that blue wave iii is an extended wave, which would call for at least 103.46.

In short-term we are now looking for a move towards 101.28 before a correction down to support at 100.74 and maybe even 100.52 before the next rally higher sets in. 

 

Trading Recommendation:

With the much more bullish picture in mind, we will again tune our focus towards buying EUR against JPY. We will buy EUR at 100.65 with a 99.48 stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for September 14, 2012

2012-09-14 11:08:43 (читать в оригинале)

Today'sTechnical Levels:

Resistance 3: 77.97.

Resistance 2: 78.82.

Resistance 1: 77.66.

Support 1: 77.48.

Support 2: 77.33.

Support 3: 77.17.

 

Description:

Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (77.17) and resistance 3 (77.97). In general, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.
 

 

 

Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com
Email : Arief.jakarta@indo.instaforex.com

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com