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GBP/USD Buy Above 1.5905 For September 06, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-11 18:44:42 (читать в оригинале)

 The pound sterling is trading inside the bullish channel and, according to technical analysis, it is tend to have an upright tilt. So it's probably a consolidation at current price levels or a correction to 1.5905 support. Since the trend is up, we recommend buying at support levels with objectives to weekly resistance 1.6087.

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EUR/USD Bullish Outlook for September 11, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-11 18:20:33 (читать в оригинале)

The EUR/USD pair fell during the European session below the 200 period moving average, which is around 1.2835. If the pair exceeds this level and closes above it, the road will be free until the 1.2956 fractal level and even more up to the psychological level of 1.30. Furthermore, it is likely that some weak data will put additional pressure to the euro, in particular to the fractal support around 1.2679. We recommend buying at this level with objectives at the 200 day moving average periods and objective end at the fractal formed at 1.2945.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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-Expectation of Fed Meeting - Fundamental Analysis, for September 11, 2012

2012-09-11 18:15:49 (читать в оригинале)

 

Market demonstrates modest movements amid the lack of concrete news from Europe.
The Prime Minister of Spain Rajoy had to admit that the ECB conditions, imposed last week, are likely a ransom demand by the presiding state.
French president Hollande had to announce about spending cut by over 30 bn euro which shows that only Germany is doing really well on the old continent. It is known that it is not good when just one does well where many are involved. The same situation is happening in the Eurozone. Such imbalance may be dangerous for the single currency block.
The euro, however, has not changed its course in the last hours. The currency failed to reach 1.28 but it still holds the level of 1.2730. It seems to lose its upward pace when the market’s attention is drawn towards the Fed meeting which will take place on Wednesday and Thursday. At the end of the 2-days session, the decision on monetary policy (with or without QE3) will be announced.
The rest of the coins have a similar behavior with some nuances. The Australian dollar hardly covers the gap left in the Asian session at 1.0395 on Monday, although it seems to be much stronger than it was in these hours to meet a trend continuation flag in 4 hours charts. Only overcoming of this level could stretch their 1.0410 1.0430 rally.
The pound hit a new high since 15 May, after the UK trade deficit figures for August were better than expected. This is a rare phenomenon that occurs when markets go to celebrate the figures that are very bad, but not as much as the previous expectation. Not a good sign for an economy.
The yen continues to show signs of strength, and bankruptcy support of 78 per dollar. The intervention airs again begin to blow in the markets. The Bank of Japan has already taken action in this regard, although, far from the actual values. However, this probability increases when the time passes by and is not easy to buy yen right now. It is known that the yen often works opposed to the other leading currencies, driven by waves of confidence or pessimism in the markets. However, the yen now behaves in accordance to the euro, pound, etc. On Thursday, the Fed statement will shed light on the future of the traditional coin.
As the Canadian dollar remains strong in these times, it is already close to 0.97, highest value since August 2011. The strength of the oil, and the very core of the Loonie in Canada maintain high levels, but its kicks are usually too strong. It better, in this instance, to search for crossing bullish positions of USD/CAD, knowing that there may be an imminent major correction.

 

 

If you need  personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 11, 2012)

2012-09-11 17:09:18 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: This pair has been experiencing some difficulties in upwards movement. The price is still above the EMA 21 as the Stochastic is trying to head upwards: which means that the price can break out to the upside.

 

USDCHF: USDCHF trading range also finds it difficult to plunge further downwards. The price is below the EMA 21 as the Stochastic is also trying to head up. The price would possibly continue to go lower.

 

GBPUSD: This market has continued to showcase its northward bias as the price remains far above the EMA 21. The Williams’ % Range is in the overbought region which may cause some pullback before the price continues its northward journey.

 

EURJPY: Since the EMA 11 still stays above the EMA 56, it is possible for the price to continue going up. In spite of the present pullback in the price, the Williams’ % Range in the oversold territory may allow bulls to enter at a cheaper price.

 

USDJPY: This pair has continued its weakness as the price has broken down, testing the support level at 78.00. The EMA 11 is below the EMA 56, showing a downward bias. The next target in the price may be 77.50. 

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for September 11, 2012

2012-09-11 16:21:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, silver is still stabilizing between the Support of 33.30 and the Resistance level of 34.00 after its failture to break the Support level 33.30. If silver continues its bearish move and manages to break this Support level , this will give a strong indicator for the downward move and open the way towards the Support level of 32.40, then we should wait for the breakout of this level to continue the bearish move.
On the other hand, if the pair doesn't break the Support level of 33.30 and reverses its downward move, it may be a good opportunity for a bullish signals enabling the Resistance level of 34.00. The breakout of this Resistance level will denote a bullish strength providing new buy signals from this level till reaching the Resistance level 34.40 then 35.00.
Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level 33.30 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the bearish outlook. Therefore, we should wait more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(35.00)
R2(34.40)
R1(34.00)

S1(33.30)
S2(32.40)
S3(32.00)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of breaking the Support level of 33.30 with TP 32.50; SL closng 4 hours above the Resistance level might be appropriate.

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