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EUR/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for September 6 -- 7, 2012

2012-09-06 11:14:23 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.2558

Time Frame: H1

 

Weekly Pivot Points:

R3: 1.2824
R2: 1.2730
R1: 1.2652
PP: 1.2558
S1: 1.2480
S2: 1.2386
S3: 1.2308
 

Trading Recommendations (long term):

According to the previous events, the price is still located between 1.2450 and 1.2650.

• Buy deals are recommended above 1.2460 with the targets seen at 1.2590 and 1.2675 levels.
• Look for further downward movement below 1.2760 with the first target seen at 1.2710 and 1.2603 levels.

Overview (long term):

The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two week point of 1.2465 (August 22, 2012). Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.2465. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.2465 (which became a weekly pivot point for August 27 - 31, 2012), the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H1 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.2460. So, the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.2460. This can be a good sign for buy deals above 1.2460 with the first target at 1.2590 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.2650 and further to 1.2700. If the trend breaks the weekly resistance 1 (1.2635), then the pair will go upwards in these targets. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.2450 and 1.2650, as the last strong resistance level (1.2760) is still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.2760 on H1 chart with the first target 1.2710 and continues towards 1.2603.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is ascending, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.
  

 

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for September 6, 2012.

2012-09-06 11:11:37 (читать в оригинале)

 

Weekly Pivot Point:

R3: 0.8273
R2: 0.8199
R1: 0.8116
PP: 0.8042
S1: 0.7959
S2: 0.7885
S3: 0.7802
 

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.7853 (11% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H4 chart and the weekly pivot point at 0.8042). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.7853. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above 11% point of Fibonacci retracement level on the H4 chart or at the level (0.7853 / 0.79) with the first targets at 0.7970 and 0.8045 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly pivot point (0.8042). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8042, the market will show a further decline to the 0.7900 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Bearish Pattern - September 05, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-05 19:34:39 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Euro recovered again this morning and now is trading above 1.26. This optimism won’t last long though. If you've been reading my reports, you know that I find the level of 1.27 as a strong resistance zone for this currency pair. I remain bearish for this pair because the European Union is an absolute mess. If the two weeks close above 1.27, the rate could go upward to 1.30, at least.
On a technical level we note that the euro has formed a bearish roof, so we recommend selling at 1.26 until tomorrow, given that tomorrow will be a very volatile day, so we recommend be cautious. We will place our goal in the next fractal near 1.2512 support level, if this level is broken, our ultimate goal will be at 1.2380 dollars per euro.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for September 05, 2012

2012-09-05 19:26:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

The US dollar demonstrated a significant recovery during the European session on Wednesday, contributed to the greenback’s strength against other major European currencies ahead of the U.S. session.
The euro seemed to lose its dominant upward direction in recent days after the break of 1.2520 trend line on the 4 hour chart, but did not reach the 1.25 support, at least until the day time. From that point we can see a rapid recovery, and the single currency is trading in a bullish mood now above 1.2600.
The pound is more stable with a moderate uptrend, but with a strong resistance at 1.5910 which was not clearly could not overcome in recent days. The RSI and momentum indicators show significant bullish signals.
As the Australian dollar leaves the gap created on Monday at 1.0330, and breaks 1.02, support level seems to be difficult to beat. Strong pessimism in Australia due to of the Chinese economy slowdown, and even as the fact that the Reserve Bank of Australia did not cut the interest rate saved the Aussie bearish force.
The Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso are closely connected to oil prices. The yen has no changes of any kind; it is anchored to 1.20 to the euro.
There are not many changes. The ISM manufacturing shed 49.6 points, which hit hard after the actions of Wall Street (the Dow Jones index futures recover right now, before the opening of the American session on Wednesday).
The most interesting part of the week starts tomorrow with data that will move the entire market: the ECB monetary policy, Mario Draghi’s speech later; the Bank of England monetary policy (which will have an impact on the pound mostly).

 

 

If you need  personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, at the portal MT5.com please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Wave Analysis for September 5,2012

2012-09-05 14:28:34 (читать в оригинале)

GOLD Elliott Wave
Yesterday gold was trading in a sideways move, developing final 5 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger impulsive (3) wave (coloured green). During the Asian and European sessions we could observe a descending movement towards the 1688.85 level. Therefore, during the early New York session this commodity found support at 1687.35 and the price reached a new high at 1698.18. We can consider this move as the end of the impulsive (3) wave (coloured green) and we are expecting to see the price around 1655.05 soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 4 should retrace 38.2% of the wave 3, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci retracement (1547.61-1698.18), with Take Profit at 1655.05 (38.2% of wave 3). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 1704.80 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q and Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1676.3 (S2) 1681.9 (S1) 1690.3 (PP) 1695.9 (R1) 1704.3 (R2) 1709.9 (R3) 1718.3
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1685.95 with Stop Loss 1704.80 and Take Profit at 1655.05 are recommended.

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