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EUR/USD Sell Bellow 1.2558 For September 04 /2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-04 18:41:24 (читать в оригинале)

 

The EUR/USD pair could not overcome the strong resistance of 1.2630. At this moment it is showing a slight correction with the next target at weekly pivot of 1.2558, the break of this level will indicate the beginning of a new bearish sequence until the nearest support of 1.2480.
We, therefore, recommend selling below 1.2558 pivot, only if the pair closes the 4 hours charts with objectives to 1.2480 and 1.2390. The stop loss will place it above the high of 1.2630.
MACD indicator is entering an overbought area, bearish correction is imminent.
Given that this week there will be announced a lot of fundamental data, we recommend being careful with the size of our positions.

 

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GBP/USD Sell Bellow 1.5905 for September 04, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-04 18:37:32 (читать в оригинале)

 

The pound sterling failed to exceed 1.59 area and had today a negative impact of the construction PMI index which was below 49 points.
This pair will continue demonstrating a strong upward trend, given that it is above the 200 day moving average. It is likely that many currencies are now closing their positions waiting for the meeting of the ECB. The daily close above 1.5900 will initiate an upward sequence until 1.61.
Furthermore, the pair is possible to demonstrate a pullback to 1.59 and then will fail to exceed it. In this case we recommend selling to strong support level 1.5780.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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- Expectation for ECB Press Conference - Fundamental Analysis, for September 04, 2012

2012-09-04 18:12:43 (читать в оригинале)

 

Strong investors’ expectations ahead of the ECB meeting next Thursday are giving strength to the euro against the dollar and other leading currencies in these hours.
Although the president of the entity, Mario Draghi, avoided giving clues about the following actions taken this week in terms of bond purchases (we know that Germany is opposed to it at least until the last few hours), the presumption is finally carried out such a measure.
Under such circumstances the euro rate accelerated, however, it has failed to break the strong resistance of 1.2630 against the dollar, which was surpassed only on Friday amid Ben Bernanke's speech in Jackson Hole.
The other currencies demonstrated no major changes in the beginning of this week. The pound failed to overcome the 1.59 area, and today construction PMI data gave negatively affected the currency, below the expansion line (49 points).
The Australian dollar continues to show signs of decline with amid weak manufacturing statistics from China, Australia's main market. However, the cross AUD / USD on Monday left a gap during the Asian session at 1.0330, which could be covered in the coming hours. In order to validate this scenario, the price should exceed 1.03 downtrend line on 4-hour chart.
The currencies linked to oil are without significant changes, like price for barrel which grows very slowly.
The gold again demonstrates bullish dynamics. The ounce broke the top of a trend continuation figure in the weekly chart (a triangle), and meets the overall objective of the same price which could reach $ 2,000 in the coming months.
The day's news agenda, the U.S. ISM manufacturing, expected to hit 50 points, elevation is dangerous if broken down.

 

 

If you need  personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (September 4, 2012)

2012-09-04 16:06:22 (читать в оригинале)

Now let’s see the recent developments within the markets:

EURUSD: Despite what is happening right now, the bias on this pair remains bullish. The price is currently above the SMA 21 as the Stochastic itself is heading upwards. As long as the price stays above the SMA, the bullish propensity is valid.

 

USDCHF: Here too, the USDCHF pair is in a downtrend: it is under the SMA 21 as the Stochastic is heading downwards. Only a break of the price above the SMA could render this scenario as invalid. The nearest resistance is at 0.9550.

 

GBPUSD: This pair is winding its way upwards, although, with considerable difficulties. The bulls could experience some challenges as the price is near the resistance level at 1.5900. The Williams’ % range is in the overbought region, i.e. above -20. No wonder the price is experiencing some difficulties right now.

 

EURJPY: This market has been flat so far, although it is consolidating to the upside. The Williams’ % range is hovering around the overbought territory as the resistance lines at 99.00 pose a threat to further bullish pressure. The nearest support line is at 98.50.

 

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GOLD Wave Analysis for September 4 - 2012

2012-09-04 15:39:29 (читать в оригинале)

GOLD Elliott Wave
For the last few weeks gold was trading in a strong upward move, developing impulsive (3) wave (coloured green) of the bigger (3) wave (coloured orange). Yesterday during the Asian and European session we could observe the price trading in a sideways move developing final 5 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger (3) wave (coloured green). Therefore, during the New York session this commodity started pushing higher and the price reached 1694.35 level. At the moment gold is trading around 1689.40 level and we are expecting to see the price lower today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 4 retraces 100% of the wave 2, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 2, with Take Profit at 1663.00 (100% of wave 2). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1696.45 level as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1678.1 (S2) 1682.8 (S1) 1688.9 (PP) 1693.6 (R1) 1699.7 (R2) 1704.4 (R3) 1710.5
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1688.60 with Stop Loss 1696.45 and Take Profit at 1663.00 are recommended.

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