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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-04 11:52:47 (читать в оригинале)

 

As we predicted yesterday, the spot rate bounced off on the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 98.30 and approaches now the upper limit of its channel at 99.00 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate violent bullish channel.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of the channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.

As the spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell on the level of 99.00 with the 1st objective at 98.40 and then at 98.20. A breakthrough of 99.20 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 99.00 with the 1st objective at 99.60 and then at 99.80. A breakthrough of 98.80 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-04 11:51:07 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1,698 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will release a good potential and initiate a more violent bullish trend.

Technical indicators provide sell signals and evolve in overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a decline. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.

As gold is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell at the level of 1,698 with the 1st objective at 1,687 and then at 1,685. A breakthrough of 1,701 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,698 with the 1st objective at 1,708 and then at 1,710. A breakthrough of 1,695 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-04 11:49:24 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate bounced off to the lower limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1.5770 and tests now the intermediate resistance of this one at 1.5910 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.6030.

Technical indicators provide buy signals but approach an overbuy zone and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, spot rate evolves at the level of the superior band supporting the assumption of a violent movement in case of failure.

As the spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we auggest a sell at the level of 1.5910 with the 1st objective at 1.5850 and then at 1.5830. A breakthrough of 1.5930 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.5910 with the 1st objective at 1.5970 and then at 1.5990. A breakthrough of 1.5890 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-09-04 11:47:13 (читать в оригинале)

 

As we predicted yesterday, the spot rate bounced off to the intermediate support of its medium term bullish channel at 1.2560 and approaches now the upper limit of its channel at 1.2660 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate more violent bullish channel.

Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. Furthermore, the superior band strengthens the upper limit of the channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.

As the spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell at the level of 1.2660 with the 1st objective at 1.2600 and then at 1.2580. A breakthrough of 1.2680 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2660 with the 1st objective at 1.2720 and then at 1.2740. A breakthrough of 1.2640 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD. Forecast for September 4, 2012

2012-09-04 11:45:01 (читать в оригинале)

 

At 13:00 (+3 GMT) we are waiting for the Eurozone PPI for July. Analysts forecasted 0.3% growth against 0.5% fall in June.
At 18:00 The US ISM manufacturing index will be released. The economists are anticipating the indicator to hit 50.1 against 49.8 in July. Thus, positive mood will be supported until Thursday when the ECB will announce its decision on monetary policy. The Bank is working on it so hard that regulator’s representatives failed to visit the conference in Jackson Hole. Also Germany’s finance minister Wolfgan Schauble has expressed confidence that Germany’s highest court will not rule against Germany participation in the ESM.
Price fixation above the downward trend line (which was built by highs of October 27, 2012 and May 1, 2012 0 1.2630, red thick line) will be of much significance. Such outcome will indicate the end og bearish trend which started a year ago. The nearest target after the breakout is 1.2630 – 1.2670 which is also has a great importance and marked on the chart. The further target will be placed at 1.2718.

 

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com