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GBP/USD. Forecast for August 31, 2012

2012-08-31 12:48:21 (читать в оригинале)

 

Yesterday’s fall of the US markets resulted in today’s fall of Asian ones amid weak industrial output data from Japan: in July the index declined -1.2% against expected 1.7% growth and after 0.4% increase in June. Nikkei 225 lost 0.76%, Shanghai Composite fell -0.03%. As for the currency market, such disappointing data did not affect the dynamics.

 

Today at 10:00 Moscow time we will receive the main news – Bernanke’s speech at the annual bankers’ Сonference in Jackson Hole. To our mind, there will be a hint of QE3.
In case the Fed’s president will mention QE, the probable target for growth will be the resistance of 1.5915 on intraday chart. In case nothing is said about the easing policy, we can think of the probable fall towards 1.5709. Note, that Bernanke’s speech may also affect the movement range: growth to 1.5872 and decline to 1.5733.

 

  

Юрий Зайцев участвует в конкурсе "Аналитик года", проголосуйте за него, если вам понравилась данная статья.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for August 31 - 2012

2012-08-31 12:27:30 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5630                   R1: 1.5688

S2: 1.5583                   R2: 1.5706

S3: 1.5545                   R3: 1.5740

 

Technical Overview:  

We are still looking for a minor correction in maroon wave iv towards 1.5583 and maybe even 1.5545 to set the stage for the next rally higher in maroon wave v towards 1.5764 which will also mark the top of green wave iii. As we are looking for a series of waves three's and four's to the series of waves one's and two's we saw from 1.4968 to 1.5483, we expect the final red wave 5 in the area of 1.5942 to 1.6090 and the correction in between should be rather small.

 

Trading Recommendation:

We are still looking for an opportunity to buy EUR against NZD 1.5565 with a 1.5465 stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-31 12:26:02 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate broke yesterday the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 98.40 leading to acceleration. It made a pull back to these levels and accelerated again. It approaches now the lower limit of its channel at 97.80 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a more violent bearish channel.

 

Technical indicators provide sell signals but approach an oversell zone supporting an assumption of a rebound. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the spot rate evolves at the levels of the inferior band supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
As the spot rate approaches its support, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we suggest a buy at the level of 97.80 with the 1st objective at 98.40 and then at 98.60. A breakthrough 97.60 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” that’s means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 97.80 with the 1st objective at 97.20 and then at 97.00. A breakthrough 98.00 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-31 12:21:58 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Gold has tested the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1,678 and declined. It approaches now the intermediate support of this one at 1,647 suggesting a rebound. However a break of these levels will release large potential and reach the lower limit of its channel at 1,575.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and evolve in overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a decline. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore the superior band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
As gold tests its intermediate support, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy at the level of 1,647 with the 1st objective at 1,657 and then at 1,660. A breakthrough 1,644 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we recommend a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1,647 with the 1st objective at 1,637 and then at 1,635. A breakthrough 1,650 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-31 12:19:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate tested yesterday the intermediate resistance of its medium term bullish channel and declined. It tests now the lower limit of this one at 1.5780 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a violent bearish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals and until the support is not broken, the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the inferior band strengthens the lower limit of its channel supporting the assumption of a rebound.
As the spot rate tests its support, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy at the level of 1.5780 with the 1st objective at 1.5840 and then at 1.5860. A breakthrough 1.5760 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we recommend a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.5780 with the 1st objective at 1.5720 and then at 1.5700. A breakthrough 1.5800 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com