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NZD/USD Candlestick Analysis for 29 August

2012-08-29 13:55:25 (читать в оригинале)

Daily

Having formed bearish Shooting Star candlestick, the pair managed to fix below the correction level of 61.8% - 0.8084 Fibonacci. That is why the quotes fall may extend during the upcoming days towards correction level of 50.0% - 0.7963. We did not see any new candlestick formations. In case there is a bullish one, the trend may reverse to the good of NZD and start its growth towards correction of 61.8%. From 50.0% level the pair may rebound with the following rise in the same direction. If the quotes fix above 61.8%, they may grow until 76.4% - 0.8228 Fibonacci.

4h

We can see the daily fall on the 4-hour time frame as well. The trend is fixed below Fibonacci correctional level of 76.4% - 0.8049. However, there is a possibility that this breakthrough is false. If the pair makes a turn and fixes above this level, such concerns will not be proved. In this case the quotes may continue to grow towards 100.0% - 0.8232. Here we also have Bearish Harami which affects the candlesticks and allows fixing above 76.4%. A new candlestick formation may prevent the pair from overcoming 76.4% level. While if we see a bullish formation, the growth is most probable. In case the quotes are left below 76.4%, they may fall further towards 61.8% - 0.7935.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for 29 August 2012

2012-08-29 12:47:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave Analysis:
Amid the expectations of the next round of QE in the USA and in the respect of the ECB’s promises to purchase Spanish bonds, yesterday’s EUR/USD sessions were positive for the single currency. Having tested the correction level of 38.2%, the price resumed its upward move and gained about 100 points at the end of the day. Thus, taking into account this situation, we can consider the yesterday’s low as the end of wave 5. If it is so, such uptrend can be a sign of the beginning of the wave 5 where the probable target will be the level of 1.2615.
Targets for the Down Wave 1 or a:
1.2521 – 23.6% Fibonacci
1.2478 – 38.2% Fibonacci
Targets for Building Wave 5 into 5:
1,2568 - 161,8% Fibonacci
1,2613 – 200,0% Fibonacci
Summary and Trading Recommendations:
Continuation of the uptrend, which transformed into 5-wave, is the most probable scenario. Wave 5 into 5 may continue its building now with the help of which the acceleration towards 1.2568 and 1.2613 which is equal to 161.1% and 200.0% Fibonacci is possible. Upward channel indicates the upward trend area, fixing below which will demonstrate a stronger downward move. After forming wave 5 into 5, the currency pair may form a new downtrend area in the terms of wave 1 or a which can push the pair towards 1.2521 and 1.2478 which is equal to 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-29 12:27:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is actually testing the upper limit of its short term bearish channel at 98.80 suggesting a decline. However, a break of this level will free a large potential and initiate violent bullish channel.

 

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the hypothesis of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase of these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
As the spot rate tests the upper limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell on the level of 98.80 with the 1st objective at 98.20 and then at 98.00. A breakthrough of 99.00 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 98.80 with the 1st objective at 99.40 and then at 99.60. A breakthrough of 98.60 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-29 12:24:02 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Gold has tested the upper limit of its short term bearish channel for the 3 time and seems to initiate a decline. It approaches to the intermediate support of its channel at 1,662 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will result in a return to the lower limit of its channel at 1,652.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, the inferior band strengthens the intermediate support supporting the hypothesis of a rebound.

As gold tests its intermediate support, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we suggest a buy at the level of 1,662 with the 1st objective at 1,675 and then at 1,680. A breakthrough of 1,659 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means selling the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1,662 with the 1st objective at 1,652 and then at 1,649. A breakthrough of 1,665 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-29 12:20:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Yesterday the spot rate bounced off to the lower limit of its short term bearish channel at 1.5760 and broke the intermediate resistance of this one leading to acceleration. It is testing now the upper limit of its channel at 1.5840 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free good potential and initiate a bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
As the spot rate tests the upper limit of its channel, we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell at the level of 1.5840 with the 1st objective at 1.5780 and then at 1.5760. A breakthrough of 1.5860 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means buying the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.5840 with the 1st objective at 1.5900 and then at 1.5920. A breakthrough of 1.5820 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com