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EUR/USD Bearish Outlook for August 28 /2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-28 19:10:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

The EUR/USD pair managed to recover from the downward pressure again, because Spain contrived to sell more debts than the market expected, affirming the idea that the European Union by the means of the European Central Bank should take a series of measures to ease the crisis engulfing the country and some of its regions.
As a result the euro quickly surpassed the 1.2480 and 1.25. Currently, it is close to monthly maximum, according to the indicators we note that the pair is close to the overbought level and approaches strong resistance at 1.2630. On the other hand, the euro is at the top of the uptrend channel, which suggests a negotiation range or a bearish reversal.
Adding all these details, we recommend selling at 1.2580, or strong resistance level and fractal level very close to 1.2620, with objectives to 1.2475 and further down to 1.2345.
Our long-term perspective is to remain bearish below 1.2700.

 

 If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Strong Support 1.5765 - For August 28, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-28 19:00:55 (читать в оригинале)

 

The British pound remains above the 200 day moving average periods (blue) and above the daily fractal. Both levels add strength to the upward movement. Today the pair just had a rebound to that level, testing the strength of this support.
Given that, the sentiment remains bullish in the short term and we recommend buying at 1.5770, with objectives at 1.5920.
There is some doubt that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy in September, but the interest rate differential is safe within this currency pair and people will take it as such. The British pound should be further strengthened against the U.S. dollar for the foreseeable future.
Therefore, our outlook remains upward on this pair above 1.5700.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for August 28, 2012

2012-08-28 18:51:25 (читать в оригинале)

 

The breathing space that currency market took on Monday ended with the placement of Spanish debt on Tuesday morning.
Spain managed to sell more debts than the market expected, affirming the idea that the European Union by the means of the European Central Bank should take a number of immediate steps to ease the crisis engulfing the country and several of its neighbors.
The euro with disregard of other leading currencies, took hold immediately, leaving the area of ​​1.2480 / 1.25. The the single currency trend is bullish for the next few hours, in case it manages to overcome 1.2570, which is the maximum time of the day, it will achieve a stronger consolidate movement in that direction.
The European currency is gaining strength against the yen, which remains stationary at 78.60 to the dollar, while it grows against sterling. The British currency was affected by the speculation that house prices in the UK will fall again, which will result in longer the recession on the island. Unusual crossing of EUR / GBP showed an upward movement of 50 points in a few hours, and peaked last August 7.
The euro outlook turns to the positive for the next few weeks when taking into account two important factors: first, the actions taken by the European Central Bank in order to find the solution to the problem of sovereign debt of Spain, Italy, Greece, etc. Furthermore, the expected stimulus to the U.S. economy, about which the Fed is likely to announce during its next meeting in mid-September.

 

Indeed, the dollar will have a test today: the index of consumer confidence will be released at 10:00 ET, being the most important report of the day.
The Dow Jones index futures operate with a slightly bullish trend, while European stock markets move with no specific direction.
As for other currencies, the Australian dollar is below 1.04, although the short-term trend favors a rebound. The Canadian dollar price range is narrow. The yen is unchanged and the Swiss franc is fully anchored to the euro.
Oil demonstrates a slightly upward trend, and gold is going to exceed $ 1,680 per ounce, in which case, it could hit $ 1700 immediately.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for Aug 28 , 2012

2012-08-28 17:25:07 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver takes an upward movement after bouncing from the Support level of 30.50. Presently silver is testing the Resistance level of 31.00 and trying to break it through in order to continue its bullish view. If silver continues the upward movement and manages to break this Resistance level, it will provide a good opportunity to buy above the Resistance level as well as make it possible to reach the Resistance level of 31.40 as the level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Resistance level to continue the bullish move. In case silver is able to break the Resistance level of 31.40 and close 4H above, we will get a bullish strength which will provide new buy signals and enable the Resistance level 32.00 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bullish move and takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level 31.00, it will be a strong indicator for the bearish move after closing 4H below the Support level 30.50 enabling the Support level 30.00. In this case we should wait for breaking this Support level to continue the bearish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 31.00 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected and invalidating the upward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(32.00)
R2(31.40)
R1(31.00)

S1(30.50)
S2(30.00)
S3(29.50)

Trading Recommendations

According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying in case of closing 4H above the Resistance level 31.00 with TP 31.45; SL closing 4H below the Resistance level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for Aug 28, 2012

2012-08-28 17:23:45 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair is going to take an upward move after its rebound from the support level of 123.75. Currently the pair is trading between the Support level of 123.75 and the Resistance level of 124.50. Given that the pair manages to break this Resistance level and closes 4H above, we will receive a strong indicator for more bullish signals which will enable the Resistance level of 125.00 as the level target. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the upward move and open the way towards the Resistance level of 125.50.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Resistance level of 124.50 and bounces from it, it may reverse the bullish move taking a downward move which will enable Support level of 123.75 again. Then we should wait for breaking this Support level in order to get new bearish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Support level and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength providing new sell signals which will enable the Support level of 123.20 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 124.50 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(125.80)
R2(125.30)
R1(125.00)

S1(124.50)
S2(124.00)
S3(123.50)

Trading Recommendations

According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying after breaking the Resistance level 124.50 and closing 4H above with TP 125.15; SL closing 4 hours below the Resistance level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com