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AUD/CAD Wave Analysis for August 23,2012
2012-08-23 13:08:05 (читать в оригинале).png)
AUD/CAD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the AUD/CAD pair was trading in an upward move, developing corrective (B) wave (coloured green) of the bigger (2) wave (coloured orange). Yesterday during the European and New York sessions we could observe strong ascending movement from 1.0332 towards the 1.0430 level where this currency pair found resistance and the price started pushing lower at the end of the NY session. At the moment, the price is trading around 1.0410 level and we are expecting to see it around 1.0480 soon .In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave B retraces 61.8% of the wave A, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci retracement (1.0593-1.0292), with Take Profit at 1.0481 (61.8% of wave A). To reduce the risk, we can use support at 1.0375 level as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0198 (S2) 1.0293 (S1) 1.0351 (PP) 1.0389 (R1) 1.0446 (R2) 1.0484 (R3) 1.0579
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.0415 with Stop Loss 1.0375 and Take Profit 1.0481 are recommended.
EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-23 11:51:59 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate has tested yesterday the upper limit of medium term bullish channel and demonstrated a decline. It is currently testing now the intermediate support of its channel at 98.10 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the lower limit of its channel at 96.40.
Technical indicators provide buy signals and approach overbuy zone supporting a decline and until the support is not broken, the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase of these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the upper band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
As the spot rate tests its support, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 98.10 with the 1st objective at 98.70 and then at 98.90. A breakthrough of 97.90 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop”. We recommend to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 98.10 with the 1st objective at 97.50 and then at 97.30. A breakthrough of 98.30 will invalidate this scenario.
GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-23 11:43:25 (читать в оригинале)
As we predicted yesterday, the gold broke the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel and initiated a more violent medium term bullish channel. It tests now the upper limit of this one at 1,671. A break of these levels will release good potential and initiate a more violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signal but approach overbuy zone supporting a decline and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the gold broke the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a break of its resistance.
As gold tests the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend selling on the level of 1,671 with the 1st objective at 1,660 and then at 1,657. A breakthrough of 1,674 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,671 with the 1st objective at 1,682 and then at 1,685. A breakthrough of 1,668 will invalidate this scenario.
GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-23 11:39:22 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate broke yesterday the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel initiating a more violent bullish channel and currently is testing the intermediate resistance of this one at 1.5930. A break of these levels will allow it to reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.6020.
Technical indicators provide sell signal and approach overbuy zone supporting a decline and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase of these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the spot rate broke the superior band supporting the hypothesis of a break of its resistance.
As the spot rate tests its resistance, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend selling at the level of 1.5930 with the 1st objective at 1.5870 and then at 1.5850. A breakthrough of 1.5950 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.5930 with the 1st objective at 1.5990 and then at 1.6020. A breakthrough of 1.5910 will invalidate this scenario.
EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-23 11:36:05 (читать в оригинале)
After violent bullish movements of these days the spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2560. A break of these levels will release good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and approach overbuy zone supporting a decline and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase of these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term. Furthermore, the upper band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
As the spot rate tests its resistance, we suggest 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend selling at the level of 1.2560 with the 1st objective at 1.2500 and then at 1.2480. A breakthrough of 1.2580 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2560 with the 1st objective at 1.2620 and then at 1.2640. A breakthrough of 1.2540 will invalidate this scenario.
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