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GBP/USD Buy Above EMA 200 for August 22, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-22 18:54:17 (читать в оригинале)

 

The pound has marked the upward trend. The level of 1.57 has served as a very strong resistance, which the currency was trying to overcome but failed to do so. Now it is located above that level and above 200 moving average period. This tells us that the pound can go up to the level of 1.60 in the medium term.
Since the pair is above the moving average 200 (blue), it is possible that it will return to this level, and then will be a strong support for the British pound. We, therefore, recommend buying at the 1.5710 level with targets at 1.5950 in the short term.
The trend and MACD indicators are showing bullish signs in the medium term.

 

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-Today FOMC Meeting Minutes- Fundamental Analysis, for August 22, 2012

2012-08-22 18:39:55 (читать в оригинале)

 

European currencies drop slowly against the dollar just before the meeting between the Prime Ministers of Luxembourg, Greece, Germany, and France, which will take place on Wednesday - Thursday.
The euro hit its highest since July 5 last Tuesday during the American session, boosted by an annual maximum of the Dow Jones. With little merit and amid weak dollar, the euro managed to get closer to 1.25, but was unable to overcome it.
The pound was also above the 1.58 area, and the short term trend does not seem to overcome it.
Today the attention should be paid to oil related currencies such as the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso. Both of them are losing strength but not too steep as oil firm after reaching its highest since May 10, yielded $ 1.5 per barrel in a few hours. However, this drop seems to be a good correction after two successive upward movements of both of them. This correction could be extended during the American session, with USD / CAD reaching 0.9950, and USD / CAD approaching to 13.25, in both cases, first resistance of these junctions.
As for the other news, Japan's trade balance showed a deficit lower than expected in July. The yen barely moved in upward direction, but did not change its downward trend of recent days. Notably, the Bank of Japan did not take any action to weaken the yen. Given that, from April 2011, the trade balance shows severe deficits, the currency product is getting more expensive with every day. BOJ carried out short term intervention measures, and investors, in case of crisis, take refuge in assets such as the yen, as it made in due course to the Swiss franc, prompting an intervention in the exchange rate to 1.20 against the euro by the Swiss National Bank.
At 10:00 the United States will announce data on sales of existing homes, and at 10:30 will release information on oil inventories. 2:00 PM is the highlight of the day: the FOMC minutes. Officials will explain in detail why they refuse to implement a plan for economy stimulation, stock market investors are anxiously awaiting for this announcement. It is recalled that in the previous two meetings the markets were expecting such kind of measures, but the hopes were in vain and the stocks plummeted immediately. The main actions of Wall Street are benefited by mass of dollar liquidity with little precedent, then the peak was obtained in the evening but failed to fix it, closing the day with a loss of 0.52% of the Dow Jones.

 

 

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 22, 2012

2012-08-22 16:52:23 (читать в оригинале)

 

The GBP/USD pair has expressed a wide range movement which was expected considering the wide Linear Regression Yellow channels expressed on Monday.
The GBP/USD pair has resumed its bullish movement after hitting 1.5777 yesterday after recording a higher high today at 1.5816 after breaking down the lower limit of the Blue channel.
The lower limit of the Blue channel as well as the midline of the Yellow channel are located around the price level of 1.5767 which is considered to be an intraday Support level which needs to be broken in order to allow the GBP/USD pair to make retracement towards the lower limit of the Yellow channel around 1.5725.
The pair has an important intraday Resistance level located around 1.5810 which is being tested today corresponding to the upper limit of the Yellow channel which is expected to demonstrate a further resistance of the bullish movement in short term. Otherwise, the pair is going to make another bullish swing targeting at 1.5850 initially.

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 22, 2012

2012-08-22 16:49:06 (читать в оригинале)

 

The USD/CAD pair was trading in oversold position within a wide range bearish channel which is depicted on the chart in red.
Recently, the USD/CAD pair broke through the upper limit of the short term bearish channel which is depicted on the chart in Blue indicating a possible bullish retracement towards price level of 0.9970 initially.
Breakout above the bearish Blue channel opens the way for the USD/CAD pair to visit the upper limit of the longer-term channel around the price level of 1.0025 as long as the pair is trading above the most recent low around 0.9840.
Price level of 1.0025 not only corresponds to Fibonacci levels of 50% and 78.6% of the most recent two bearish swings, but also corresponds to the upper limit of the long term bearish channel depicted on the chart. That's why price action should be watched there for a possible SELL entry with SL located above 1.0080.

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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for August 22, 2012

2012-08-22 15:03:39 (читать в оригинале)

 

Weekly Pivot Point:

R3: 0,8220
R2: 0,8175
R1: 0,8125
PP: 0,8080
S1: 0,8030
S2: 0,7985
S3: 0,7935
 

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8058 (23.6% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart and the weekly pivot point). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8058. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above 23.6% point of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart or at the level (0.8058) with the first targets at 0.8110 and 0.8130 (it will act as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide 100% of Fibonacci retracement (0.8131). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level 0.8130, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8080 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at 0.8040.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

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