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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-21 11:22:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate evolves in the short term bearish channel and in the medium term bullish channel. It is actually testing the upper limit of its short term bearish channel at 98.40 and seems to decline. However, a break of these levels will release good potential and will reach the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel at 99.00.
Technical indicators provide buy signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement. Furthermore, superior band strengthens the upper limit of the short term bearish channel supporting the assumption of a violent movement in case of break.
The spot rate tests its resistance that is why we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell at the level of 98.40 with the 1st objective at 97.80 and then at 97.60. A breakthrough 98.60 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 98.40 with the 1st objective at 99.00 and then at 99.20. A breakthrough 98.20 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-21 11:18:23 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

After the bullish acceleration of Thursday, gold has stabilized and is currently testing the upper limit of its channel at 1,624 supporting the hypothesis of a decline. However, a break of these levels will release good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
Gold tests the upper limit of its channel that is why we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell at the level of 1,624 with the 1st objective at 1,614 and then at 1,610. A breakthrough 1,627 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance then we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,624 with the 1st objective at 1,635 and then at 1,640. A breakthrough 1,621 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for August 21 - 2012

2012-08-21 11:14:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5210                    R1: 1.5301

S2: 1.5187                    R2: 1.5335

S3: 1.5170                    R3: 1.5386

 

 

Technical Overview:
We do not think that blue wave ii is finished yet and do expect a little more downside pressure towards 1.5157 from where the more dynamic and powerful blue wave iii is expected to take over for a rally towards strong resistance near 1.5500. In the larger picture a break above resistance at 1.5500 will be the first good indication that we have seen an important bottom with the test of 1.4968 and much higher levels should be seen longer term. But for now let us concentrate on blue wave ii and where it will finish.

Trading Recommendation:
Buy EUR against NZD at 1.5180 with a stop at 1.5090 and consider taking profit at 1.5485.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-21 11:12:20 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate bounced off to the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2290 and is testing now the upper limit of this one at 1.2370 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. In addition, the upper band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure
The spot rate tests its resistance that is why we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we advise a sell at the level of 1.2370 with the 1st objective at 1.2430 and then at 1.2450. A breakthrough 1.2350 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance where we suggest a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2370 with the 1st objective at 1.2430 and then at 1.2450. A breakthrough 1.2350 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for August 21 - 2012

2012-08-21 11:08:50 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 97.73                      R1: 98.18

S2: 97.47                      R2: 98.38

S3: 97.43                      R3: 99.42

 

 

Technical Overview:
We most likely have seen the end of the blue wave iv at 97.73 and expect a break above minor resistance at 98.40 soon for a move towards 99.42 in blue wave v and red wave 3. From 99.42 we expect red wave 4 to take over. As red wave 2 was a deep and simple correction, we should expect red wave 4 to be shallow and complex in its structure. That proves that there is a possibility that the entire rally since the 94.09 low is a leading diagonal, if this is the case, we will not see a break above 98.68, but instead we will see a break below support at 97.47. A break below support at 97.47 will call for a bigger correction towards the 95.35 - 95.75 area in wave 2 before the more dynamic and powerful wave 3 takes over towards 101.63.

Trading Recommendation:
You should be long EUR against JPY from 95.85 with a 97.45 stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com