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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-20 12:41:36 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate bounced off to the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2290 and tests now the upper limit of this one at 1.2380 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a bullish trend.
Technical indicators provide buy signal but are approaching overbuy zone supporting a decline and until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. In addition, the upper band strengthens the upper limit of its channel supporting the hypothesis of a violent movement in case of failure.
The spot rate tests its resistance that is why we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we suggest a sell on the level of 1.2380 with the 1st objective at 1.2440 and then at 1.2460. A breakthrough 1.2360 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is the hypothesis of a break of its resistance and here we advise a “buy stop”. We recommend to buy the spot rate as soon as it has broken through its resistance of 1.2380 with the 1st objective at 1.2440 and then at 1.2460. A breakthrough 1.2360 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for August 20 - 2012

2012-08-20 11:14:20 (читать в оригинале)

 

EUR/NZD Daily

EUR/NZD 4 Hourly

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 1.5210                    R1: 1.5301

S2: 1.5187                    R2: 1.5335

S3: 1.5170                    R3: 1.5386

 

 

Technical Overview:
Looking at the larger picture we expect that an important bottom is in place with1.4968 low and that a new long term uptrend is developing. The first good indicator that an important bottom is indeed in place, will come from a break above resistance in the 1.5543 - 1.5504 area. A break above 1.5504 will confirm much higher levels in the longer term.
Zooming in on the rally from the 1.4968 low is the best count at this point which proves that we have seen a series of waves one's and two's. In short term we are looking for a minor setback to near 1.5170 before the next more powerful rally in blue wave iii sets in for a rally towards 1.5500 and maybe even higher.

Trading Recommendation:
If you are not long EUR against NZD already, buy EUR at 1.5180 with a 1.5090 stop and consider taking profit near 1.5485.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for Aug 20 , 2012

2012-08-20 11:09:10 (читать в оригинале)

Overview

 

The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver takes an upward movement after bouncing from the Support level of 28.00. Presently silver is approaching to the Resistance level 28.30 and trying to break it through in order to continue its bullish view. If silver continues the upward movement and manages to break this Resistance level, it will provide a good opportunity to buy above the Resistance level as well as make possible to reach the Resistance level 27.65 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Resistance level to continue the bullish move. In case silver is able to break the Resistance level of 28.60 and close 4H above, we get a bullish strength which will provide new buy signals and enable the Resistance level 29.10 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bullish move and takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level 28.30, this will be a strong indicator for the bearish move after closing 4H below the Support level 28.00 enabling the Support level 27.65. In this case we should wait for breaking this Support level to continue the bearish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 28.30 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected and invalidating the upward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(29.10)
R2(28.30)
R1(28.60)

S1(28.00)
S2(27.65)
S3(27.30)

 

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend buying in case of closing 4H above the Resistance level 28.30 with TP 28.60; SL closing 4H below the Resistance level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for Aug 20, 2012

2012-08-20 11:06:18 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

Overview

 

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair is trading between the Support level of 124.50 and the Resistance level of 125.00. Given that the pair continues its bullish move and manages to break the Resistance level of 125.00 and closes 4H above, we will receive a strong indicator for more bullish signals which will enable the Resistance level of 125.30 as a level target. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the upward move and open the way towards the Resistance level of 125.80.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Resistance level of 125.00 and bounces from it, it may reverse the bullish move taking a downward direction which will enable Support level of 124.50. Then we should wait for breaking this Support level in order to get new bearish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Support level and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength providing new sell signals which will enable the Support level of 123.75 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level of 125.00 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(125.80)
R2(125.30)
R1(125.00)

S1(124.50)
S2(123.75)
S3(123.20)

Trading Recommendations

According to the previous analysis, we recommend buying after breaking the Resistance level of 125.00 and closing 4H above with TP 125.55; SL closing 4 hours below the Resistance level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for August 20 - 2012

2012-08-20 11:04:31 (читать в оригинале)

 

EUR/JPY - Daily

EUR/JPY 4 Hourly

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 97.75                       R1: 98.18

S2: 97.57                       R2: 98.38

S3: 97.43                       R3: 99.42

 

 

Technical Overview:
Looking at the larger picture we expect that a major long term bottom is in place with the test of 94.09 and that a new long term uptrend has begun. The first major upside target is near 101.63 which marked wave 4 in the decline from 111.43. A break above 101.63 will be the first good long term indication that a long term bottom is in place at 94.09.
Zooming in on the rally since 94.09 low, we have two possible scenarios. The first, which is shown above, is that we have seen a series of wave one's and two's and should soon see a break above 98.68 for a move towards 99.42. However, if resistance at 98.68 protects the upside for a break below 97.47, the best fit will be in case there is leading diagonal like wave 1 and we should see wave 2 towards support in the 95.35 - 95.75 area before the next dynamic rally can be expected.
As for now, the favorite scenario is the one shown, but a break below support at 97.47 will shift the favor towards the leading diagonal view.

Trading Recommendation:
You should be long EUR against JPY from 95.85 and lift your stop to 97.45 leaving you with a nice profit no matter which scenario is the correct one.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com