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EUR/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for August 20 - 24, 2012

2012-08-20 10:11:23 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

 

Tip (s):

 

• R3 and S3 are considered as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
• Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
• Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
• In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Fibonacci retracement uses to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance, and playing according to in this kind of period.
• Fibonacci in a range trader (it is looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down, if you sell or buy for a long term in this period you'll go sure for losing your profit.
• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for August 17, 2012

2012-08-17 18:42:02 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro seems to break its weekly high and approach the area of ​​1.24 which has become a strong resistance in recent days. The single currency demonstrated an interesting recovery on Thursday, after the German leader Angela Merkel supported the European Central Bank in their intention to start solving the issue of sovereign debt of countries with serious payment difficulties.After meeting the French leader Hollande, and the Greek Prime Minister Samaras, Merkel made some remarks concerning steps that Europe is going to take in order to cope with the economic challenges.
However, the major currency pairs do not leave narrow price ranges. The euro and the pound sterling as well as the Swiss franc move in very sharp bands without getting investors’ confidence in those currencies. Nor is favored the dollar, although the retail sales data and inflation account for a new, though warm, recovery of the U.S. economy.
The Dow Jones index futures demonstrated an uptrend which may extend to the rest of the day.
Returning to the leading currencies, the Australian dollar lost its dominant uptrend in the last hours after the Reserve Bank of Australia was set to perform another cut in interest rates in the near future. The Aussie benefited from interest rates that are well above those offered by major central banks, and also by the high level of trade between Australia and China. However, the slowdown of the Asian giant for the past two months has a great impact on the Australian economy which anyway has a very still solid core.
The Canadian dollar remains very strong, now below 0.99, favored by the stability of oil prices. Presently there is no threat for short term uptrend. Meanwhile, the yen is away from highs in recent weeks, and after the break of a trend line in the medium term, it accelerates downward direction (upward in the figures), seeking the 80.10 area with strong resistance.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Bearish Outlook for August 17, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-17 18:28:11 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro traded yesterday above weekly support of 1.2324 which can be regarded as the relief from downward pressure. However, we are in the price range of 1.2440 and 1.2206, and the pair may fluctuate within these levels.
As you know, there are a lot of problems in Europe at this time, which prevented me from buying this coin. Furthermore, we must admit that the problem is so complex that it is easy to understand. This is one of the worst scenarios for investment.
The fact that the euro is doing very well could have a lot to do with the fact that almost no volatility at the moment.
So our long term outlook remains bearish. We may see a recovery of the euro if it comes out at the mentioned above price range. 1.26 may be a strong level of resistance.
In the short term we recommend selling at 1.2408 strong resistance level with targets at 1.2324 and 1.2210, the stop loss is placed above 1.2450.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Technical analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

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GBP/USD Sell Below 1.5740 for August 17, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-17 18:22:17 (читать в оригинале)

 

The pound sterling failed to hold above 1.5740 resistance, currently it is quoted below this level and it is likely that the downward pressure will bring it to 1.5640 next support level. It is possible that the currency will try to break this level again. If the attempt is unsuccessful, we recommend selling on the return 1.5732, with targets at 1.5646, the stop loss is placed above the highs of 1.5770.
The indicators are showing negative divergence.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Technical analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for Aug 17 , 2012

2012-08-17 16:11:55 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

Overview

 

The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver takes an upward movement after breaking the Resistance level of 28.05. Currently, silver is testing the Resistance level of 28.30 and trying to break it through in order to continue its bullish view. If silver continues the upward movement and manages to break this Resistance level, it will provide a good opportunity to buy above the Resistance level as well as make possible to reach the Resistance level of 28.50 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Resistance level to continue the bullish move. In case silver is able to break the Resistance level 28.30 and close 4H above, we get a bullish strength which will provide new buy signals and enable the Resistance level 29.10 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bullish move and takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level 28.30, this will be a strong indicator for the bearish move after closing 4H below the Support level 27.90 enabling the Support level 27.65. In this case we should wait for breaking this Support level to continue the bearish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide buy signals, but as long as the Resistance level 28.30 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected and invalidating the upward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(29.10)
R2(28.50)
R1(28.30)

S1(27.90)
S2(27.65)
S3(27.30)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend buying in case of closing 4H above the Resistance level 28.30 with TP 28.65; SL closing 4H below the Resistance level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com