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AUD/USD Bearish Outlook for August 15, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-15 18:04:26 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Australian dollar demonstrates a downward sequence, and we expect it to reach the moving average of 200 periods (blue).
At this point, the pair may have a bullish rebound; as the pair was stopped by the fractal at 1.0440, it is possible that the pair will reach the 1.0545. This level will give us the opportunity to sell the pair at resistance level, with objective at 1.0288.
Our medium term perspective is bullish for this pair, and we expect levels of support for purchase.
Any news from China would not affect the Australian dollar.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for August 15, 2012

2012-08-15 17:36:54 (читать в оригинале)

 

The sharp rise in the U.S. retail sales in July was unexpected on Tuesday; stocks on Wall Street went up sharply.
Thus, the Dow Jones ended the day with just two points of profit, and all this was reflected in the exchange rates of currencies, especially it affected the dollar.
These movements extend to the European session on Wednesday, in which the euro becomes bearish in the short term charts and begins to seek a strong trend line at 1.2240. The British pound, meanwhile, remains a little bit stronger than after the Minutes of the Bank of England, where a decision was taken to leave the interest rates unchanged.

 

Moreover, at 9:00 they will release the data on foreign capital in June and at 9:15, on indices of industrial production and capacity utilization. Close the book inventory of oil is expected at 10:30 which can give motion to the still Canadian dollar, which for now is at 0.9920 with no signs of any kind in the short term.
Nothing new happens in Europe as the markets are expecting the publication of such data. At the beginning of the American session the most relevant movements of Wednesday may affect the market.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 15, 2012

2012-08-15 16:03:36 (читать в оригинале)

The USD/CAD pair movement was sluggish bearish during the previous days of consolidation which is manifested within the transverse direction of the Yellow & Blue channels depicted on the chart. In fact, still there was no significant price action until Friday when the USD/CAD pair has broken its Resistance level around 0.9920 which was followed by another sluggish movement during this week.
Price zone of 0.9920 which corresponds to the midline of the Yellow channel is regarded as an intraday Support level for the pair. If it is retested successfully, this will probably allow the USD/CAD pair to make a bullish movement towards 0.9995 initially.
The USD/CAD pair has a significant intraday Resistance level around 0.9940 corresponding to the upper limit of the Blue channel which needs to be broken in order to resume the bullish movement aiming at higher targets.
Bearish breakdown of 0.9880 currently invalidates the bullish scenario.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 15, 2012

2012-08-15 16:01:14 (читать в оригинале)

 

On May 15, the GBP/USD pair managed to break down the lower limit of the bullish BLUE channel depicted on the chart. Since then, the pair has been moving within the triangle pattern after having a quick bearish swing between 1.6300 and 1.5260.
Price level of 1.5767 which corresponds to the upper limit of the symmetrical triangle, constituted an intraday resistance for the pair as expected.
Recently, the GBP/USD pair has found a significant support at the lower limit of the triangle pattern around 1.5490 showing obvious bullish price action which is manifested in the bullish engulfing daily candlestick followed by days of indecision as depicted on the chart.
Yesterday, GBP/USD tested the upper limit of the depicted triangle around the price level of 1.5730 showing a significant bearish price action manifested in the inverted hammer daily candlestick which enhances the bearish view of the pair in the mid-term.

 

During the last week, GBP/USD was moving within the bullish 4H channel depicted on the chart after finding support around price level of 1.5490.
On Friday, price level of 1.5577 expressed a significant bullish action pushing the GBP/USD pair higher towards 1.5730 which is a significant intraday Resistance level mentioned yesterday.
The market still offers a SELL entry around the price level of 1.5730 with tight Stop Loss located above 1.5750.
Breakdown of support level 1.5666 opens the way for the GBP/USD pair to resume its bearish movement towards 1.5630 and 1.5580.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for Aug 15 , 2012

2012-08-15 14:40:32 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

 

The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver is trading between the Resistance level of 28.05 and the Support level of 27.65 after breaking the Support level of 27.90. Currently it is testing the Support level of 27.65. If silver continues its bearish view and manages to break this Support level, it will provide a good opportunity to sell below the Support level as well as will make it possible to reach the Support level of 27.30 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Support level to continue the bearish move. In case silver is able to break the Support level of 27.30 and closes 4H below, we will get a bearish strength which will provide new sell signals and enable the Support level of 27.00 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bearish move and takes an upward direction after its rebound from the Support level 27.65, this will be a strong indicator for the bullish move after closing 4H above the Support level enabling the Resistance level 28.05 again. In this case, we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the bullish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level of 27.65 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the downward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels

R3(29.10)
R2(28.30)
R1(28.05)

S1(27.65)
S2(27.30)
S3(27.00)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support level 27.65 with TP 27.25; SL closing 4H above the Support level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com