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AUD/CAD Weekly Wave Analysis

2012-08-09 13:19:50 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/CAD Elliott Wave
During last month the AUD/CAD pair was trading in an upward move until Monday when impulsive (5) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (1) (coloured orange) finished and we could observe the price going lower for the last few days when the development of the corrective (2) wave starts. Yesterday during the European and New York sessions we could see a strong descending movement towards the 1.0498 level (new 4 days low). At the moment, the price is trading around 1.0510 level and we are expecting to find it around 1.0200 in the next few weeks. In compliance with our wave rules and keeping in mind that the wave 2 retraces 61.8% of the wave 1, we can specify the potential targets with Fibonacci retracement (0.9952-1.0593) ,Take Profit 1 at 1.0351 (38.2% of wave 1), and Take Profit 2 at 1.0200 (61.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.0590 as Stop Loss. Moreover, it is necessary to monitor the AUD Unemployment Claims, Unemployment Rate and CAD Housing Starts, NHPI m/m, Trade Balance data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0484 (S2) 1.0496 (S1) 1.0503 (PP) 1.0516 (R1) 1.0528 (R2) 1.0535 (R3) 1.0548
Trading Forecast
On the basis of Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is tend to begin the downward movement. For this reason short positions at level 1.0500 with Stop Loss 1.0590, Take Profit 1 1.0351, and Take Profit 2 1.0200 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for August 9,2012

2012-08-09 12:32:17 (читать в оригинале)

EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis, the EUR/USD pair was trading in a downward move developing corrective wave A (coloured purple) of the bigger 2 wave (coloured blue). Yesterday during the Asian and European sessions we could observe a descending movement from 1.2400 towards the 1.2325 level and we can consider this move as the end of the A wave. Therefore, during yesterday's New York session and today ‘s Asian session this major pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing higher when the development of the B wave (coloured purple) started. At the moment the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.2345 level and we are expecting to see the price around 1.2260 level today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave C retraces 100% of the wave A, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.2441-1.2326-1.2385) with Take Profit at 1.2261 (100% of wave A). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.2400 as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU ECB Monthly Bulletin, Italian Trade Balance and U.S. Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2288 (S2) 1.2317 (S1) 1.2335 (PP) 1.2364 (R1) 1.2393 (R2) 1.2411 (R3) 1.2440
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.2340 with Stop Loss 1.2400 and Take Profit 1.2261 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD - Elliott Wave Analysis for August 9 - 2012

2012-08-09 11:40:33 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 0.8131                    R1: 0.8154

S2: 0.8112                    R2: 0.8167

S3: 0.8101                    R3: 0.8181

 

 

Technical Overview:
We have now seen the first minor five wave decline from the 0.8223 high, which first of all confirms that the corrective rally from 0.7458 is over, but at the same time it warns us, that we shall see more declines once the correction from 0.8120 is over. As we know that the minor rally from 0.8120 is a correction, we will try to pin-point the end of this correction to our best. The first point we will look for is the ending point of wave four of a lesser degree, which is at 0.8164 and then the common Fibonacci retracement points. Wave two retraces more often between 50 - 61.8% of wave one which will make the next levels 0.8167 (50% retracement of wave i) and 0.8181 (61.8% retracement of wave i). Once this wave ii is over, we expect a powerful and dynamic wave iii down to at least 0.8060 (where wave iii will be equal to wave i) and more likely 0.7993 (where wave iii will 1.618 times wave i).

Trading Recommendation:
You should be short NZD against USD from 0.8155 with 82.25 stop. If you are not short NZD already then sell at 0.8165 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for August 9 - 2012

2012-08-09 11:36:44 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 96.95                      R1: 97.28

S2: 96.84                      R2: 97.40

S3: 96.76                      R3: 97.80

 

 

Technical Overview:
We have now seen the expected decline to just below 96.70 with a low at 96.58 and now we should focus again towards the upside for a break above 97.40, which will indicate a new test of 97.80 on the way to 100.30 and likely even 101.52.
If red wave iii has begun as we expect, the coming rally will be dynamic and powerful. Third wave nature is commonly described as wonder-waves, they can become almost vertically and most of the time cover most of the price-action in an impulsive wave.

Trading Recommendation:
You should be long EUR against JPY from 95.85 with a stop at 94.95. Lifting the stop to 96.55 upon a break above 97.80, will provide you with a profit no matter what happens. If you are not long EUR already and did not buy just below 96.70 yesterday, you can buy EUR here or upon a break above 97.20 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Readies To Clear Resistance

2012-08-09 11:32:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:
There is no change in the above structure we have discussed yesterday. We remain bullish on the counter for a break higher towards 30.00. Fresh buying can be made on intraday dips as well. Support remains strong near the 26.50 region and resistance is well placed at 28.90 level. Stay long for now, breakout is expected at anytime.
Trading Recommendations:
Hold on to long positions for now, target 30.00

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com