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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for August 9, 2012

2012-08-09 10:10:15 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Pivot Point:

R3: 0,8364
R2: 0,8281
R1: 0,8234
PP: 0,8151
S1: 0,8104
S2: 0,8021
S3: 0,7974
 

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8150 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart and the weekly pivot point). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8150. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above the point 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart or at the level (0.8150) with the first targets 0.8203 and 0.8277 (it will act as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide at 161.8% of Fibonacci retracement (0.8277). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level 0.8300, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8300 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at 0.8150.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for August 8, 2012

2012-08-09 10:08:31 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.2307

Time Frame: H4

 

Weekly Pivot Point:

R3: 1,2753
R2: 1,2579
R1: 1,2481
PP: 1,2307
S1: 1,2209
S2: 1,2035
S3: 1,1937
 

Trading Recommendations:

According to the previous events, the price is still located between 1.2307 and 1.2480.

• Buy deals are recommended above 1.2303 with the targets seen at 1.2383 and 1.2555 levels.
• Look for further downward movement below 1.258 with the first target seen at 1.2403 and 1.2310 levels.

Overview:

The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two week point of 1.2307 (July 31, 2012). Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.2307. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.2307, the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H1 / H4 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.2307. So, the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.2307. This can be a good sign for buy deals above 1.23 with the first target at 1.2383 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.2453 and further to 1.2555. If the trend breaks the weekly resistance-1- (1.2420), then the pair will go upwards in these targets. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.2480 and 1.2307, as the Stochastic and the last strong resistance level are still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.2580 on H1 chart with the first target 1.2403 and continues towards 1.2310.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is ascending, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.
  

 

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Bearish Outlook for August 08, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-08 19:07:51 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The Australian dollar remains firm, and may continue rising to 1.0610 fractal daily and weekly resistance near 1.0620. Closing above these levels will increase the probability of a new rally to the 1.0820 level. On the other hand, most operators consider an upcoming correction for this pair and this could be the case soon, so we recommend selling on the level of 1.06 or we can sell only if the pair closes below 1.0547 weekly pivot. Target to 1.0380.
Both MACD indicators and trend are showing overbought position and an imminent bearish correction.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

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EUR/USD Sell Below 1.2395 - August 08, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-08 19:04:33 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro failed to overcome the resistance of 1.2440 and in is trading close to the 1.2307 support. Indeed, it seems that the level of 1.23 is the only thing that keeps this market right now.
So many promises can be of no use amid the crisis, it is necessary to act quickly. This seems to be something that the European authorities simply do not understand. Unfortunately, markets allow them to do this and we seem to be a bit of a cycle. However, it is almost impossible to look at this market and understand that every time pick is simply an opportunity to sell at higher prices.
Therefore, a return to the 1.2395 fractal level will be an opportunity to sell the pair back, with a first target 1.2307 and a break of 1.23, give a quick fall to 1.2210. Our stop loss is placed above the maximum of 1.2440.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

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Fundamental Analysis, for August 08, 2012

2012-08-08 18:59:35 (читать в оригинале)

 

Despite the economic data from Germany released during the beginning of the European session, which was not entirely negative, the euro back gained some of its losses against the dollar.
The single currency failed to settle with a slightly downward trend within the short term charts on Tuesday and Friday because of strong resistance of 1.2440, and has already dropped nearly 80 points from that level.
The situation with the pound sterling is completely different. The British currency gained positions against the dollar since the beginning of European time, after the trend line on the 4 hour chart and then began a bullish rally heading towards that direction for the next hours.
It will be difficult for this dichotomy between the two major European currencies to remain for long.
For the rest of the coins, there are no major changes. The yen does not leave a very narrow price range, and only break of 77.90 would provide a greater momentum at the time when monetary policy is defined by the Bank of Japan.
The Australian dollar, which had lost power earlier during the day, demonstrated an upward trend, although it is still not defined yet. The break of 1.0580 will give new force to search your area within 1.0610 and above 1.0625.
The Canadian dollar could find a stop its upward movement in the area of 0.9950. Its upward trend heads towards depletion zone, and if we do not expect an immediate change of the course, USD / CAD price will lateralize without breaking the support. The data on the US oil inventories will move to the loonie.
On Wall Street investors expect a coordinated signal from central banks in order to solve the problem of European countries with sovereign debt problems. So far put it could result in stock grows.
There is no significant news from Europe. Germany sets conditions, the ECB analyzes them, and Spain and Italy do not accept these terms.
The BoE warned that further cut of interest rates will not be good for the moment, which explains the rise of the pound. But again, this data is not sufficient for the market which expects much more.

 

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com