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USD/CHF: Weekly Technical Levels for August 6 -- 10, 2012

2012-08-06 15:50:49 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

 

 

R3 and S3 can be both regarded as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
Pivot lines can be applied well on the sideways markets, as prices will probably be located between R1 and S1 lines.
Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and will continue the movement.
In case of breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: USD is an uptrend and CHF is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
  

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-06 13:13:51 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Following the increase seen on Friday, the spot rate has tested the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel at 97.80. After that it demonstrated a decline. A return to the intermediate support of its channel to 96.10 is expected. Moreover this level represents a retracement of 62% of the increase between August 02th and August 05th.
Technical indicators provide sell signals supporting the assumption of a decline to its intermediate support. However, a break of these levels would lead to acceleration to the lower limit of its channel to 95.10. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase of these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
We recommend buying part of the positions on the level of 96.10. If the spot rate breaks its support level, we will buy the other part at the level of 95.10. Put a stop loss on the level of 94.80.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-08-06 13:10:50 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

After breaking the intermediate resistance of the medium term bearish channel at 1,585, the spot rate made acceleration to the upper limit of this one at 1,625. It is likely to demonstrate a pull back on the intermediate support now before reaching the upper limit of the channel again. A breakthrough these levels will release a good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clears signals, but until the resistance is not broken, the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility. Moreover, the superior band increased level of resistance up to 1,625.
We recommend a "buy stop" when buying gold as soon as it has broken through its resistance of 1,625 with the 1st objective at 1,635 and then at 1,640. A breakthrough 1,622 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for August 6,2012

2012-08-06 13:07:43 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
Last week the USD/CHF pair was trading in an upward move until Thursday when (2) wave (coloured green) finished and we could observe price going lower on Friday when the development of the impulsive (3) wave starts. During the Friday's European session we could observe a descending movement from 0.9870 towards 0.9770 level. Therefore, during the early New York session this major pair continued trading in a bearish mood and price reached a new low at 0.9695 level. Today price started pushing higher but we are expecting to see it around 0.9450 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (0.9972-0.9695-0.9897) with Take Profit 1 at 0.9620 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 0.9450 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use Resistance point at 0.9770 as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9578 (S2) 0.9646 (S1) 0.9688 (PP) 0.9756 (R1) 0.9824 (R2) 0.9866 (R3) 0.9934
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9700 with Stop Loss 0.9770, Take Profit 1 0.9620, and Take Profit 2 at 0.9450 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for August 6 - 2012

2012-08-06 13:04:17 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 96.70                      R1: 97.26

S2: 96.36                      R2: 97.80

S3: 96.01                      R3: 98.16

 

 

Technical Overview:
The decline from 97.33 went slightly lower to 94.92, but from that point we saw an impulsive rally to 97.80, which probably marked the first part of the wave iii higher towards at least 100.30. We have identified the rally from 94.92 to 97.80 as red wave i and are red wave ii, which will correct red wave i. The first target for red wave ii is at 96.70, where red wave will retrace 38.2% of red wave i, but the correction may be deeper and retrace from 50% to 61.8% of red wave i, which would mean a correction down to 96.36 or even 96.01.
In short term a break above 97.28 will indicate that red wave ii is over for a rally towards 99.60 and 100.30. A clear break above 100.30 will extend red wave iii towards 101.52.

Trading Recommendation:
You should be long from 95.85 with 94.95 stop. If you are not long EUR against JPY already you can buy EUR at 96.70 or upon a break above 97.28 with 94.95 stop. Upon break above 97.80 lift stop to break even at 95.85.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com