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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-06 12:56:57 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate has bounced off the lower limit of its medium term bearish channel at 1.5490 and is testing now the upper limit of this one at 1.5660. A breakthrough this level will release a good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clears signals but are approach overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a decline. Moreover, this resistance represents a rebound of 62% of the decline which was registered between July 27th and August 02th.
A decline is expected in the short term but most probable and less risky scenario is a break of this resistance. Taking this into account, we recommend making a "buy stop" and buy when the spot rate will break its resistance at 1.5660 with a target of 1.5720.
EUR/USD Wave Analysis for August 6,2012
2012-08-06 12:52:41 (читать в оригинале).png)
EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the EUR/USD pair was trading in an upward move as we expected, developing impulsive (3) (coloured green). During the Friday's European session we could observe an ascending movement towards the 1.2290 level (daily high). Therefore, during the New York session the EUR/USD pair continued trading in a bullish mood and price hit a new 4-week high around 1.2390 level. Today during the early Asian session this major pair found resistance at 1.2442 and the price is currently trading around 1.2350 level. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.2041-1.2390-1.2132) with Take Profit 1 at 1.2480 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.2695 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use support point at 1.2350 as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU Sentix Investor Confidence and U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2088 (S2) 1.2175 (S1) 1.2228 (PP) 1.2314 (R1) 1.2401 (R2) 1.2454 (R3) 1.2540
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is likely to begin the upward movement. For this reason long positions at level 1.2400 with Stop Loss 1.2350 Take Profit 1 1.2480 and Take Profit 2 at 1.2695 are recommended.
EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-08-06 11:30:38 (читать в оригинале)
On Friday the spot rate climbed up following the publication of positive U.S. economic indicators and reached the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel at 1.2450. Now it seems to initiate a decline. However, a break of these levels would release a large potential.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and approach overbuy zone suggesting a return to its intermediate support at 1.2280. However, the decline of the volume fears us false signals. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
We can consider two options: the first one is trying "short" and sell the spot rate on the level of 1.2450 with a target at 1.2390. The second one is waiting and trying a buy on the intermediate support at 1.2280 with a target of 1.2340.
Silver Upside Remains Intact. Bulls Targetting 30.00
2012-08-06 11:27:40 (читать в оригинале)
Technical Outlook and Chart Setup:
Last week we took into consideration that silver had bounced off the consolidation line support as depicted above and we have a Morning Star now. Immediate support comes just below 27.00 level while strong support is at 26.50 level. Bulls would now be targeting at 28.40/50 resistance levels and then at 30.00 level in the upcoming sessions. Intraday dips are opportunities to buy. We recommend holding to long positions for now targeting at 30.00 level.
Trading Recommendations:
Hold to long positions, buy intraday dips, stop at 26.50 and target 30.00
Good Luck!
Gold Produces An Engulfing Bullish Candle. Hold On To Long Positions.
2012-08-06 11:24:39 (читать в оригинале)
Technical Outlook and Chart Setup:
Gold is set to break through the resistance at 1640.00 level soon. We have been discussing the bullish scenarios and issuing buy recommendations on each dips since last 2 weeks for now, and continue to remain bullish on the counter. It is just a matter of time before gold breaks the resistance barriers set at 1640.00 level. 1580 level should provide strong support now, and buying on intraday dips remains very much intact.
Trading Recommendations:
Continue holding long positions, buy on intraday dips. Target 1650 and 1700.
Good Luck!
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