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EUR/USD Bullish Outlook for August 01, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-01 18:05:45 (читать в оригинале)

 

The EUR / USD has a resistance at 1.2330, break of which would increase the odds that the pair can quickly rise up the weekly resistance of 1.2450. In this regard, the market is waiting for the decisions that will be published tomorrow, and are likely to oscillate in a range from 1.2330 and 1.2280. A return to the fractal of 1.2250 will probably rebound from there, given that we noticed a bullish reversal pattern. In the long-term the objective is the level of 1.27.
Therefore, we recommend buying only if the pair closes above 1.2345 with target at 1.2450.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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AUD/USD 1.0610 Strong Resistance - for August 01, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-01 17:59:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

The overview of the Australian dollar is strongly bullish for the moment; there is a strong possibility that the pair reaches the level of 1.0610 daily fractal level. This is a strong resistance level, given that indicators show exhaustion in the upward force and there is overbought, technical correction is also possible, and so we must be very careful in our buying positions.
We, therefore, recommend selling the 1.0585 level below 1.0610 daily fractal with objective in the moving average of 200 (blue) sessions.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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-Thursday 02 August, the Day Expected--, Fundamental Analysis, for August 01, 2012

2012-08-01 17:35:22 (читать в оригинале)

 

Several announcements which are about to appear in the next few hours still keep the markets in suspense, they are moving very cautiously calculate every movement.
The Federal Reserve, through its designated national monetary policy, and the FOMC will announce this afternoon the next to be taken in order to give stimulus to the economy, which showed new signs of weakness in recent months.
The previous report added concern that it will be impossible to reach the unemployment rate of 8%, which remains on this level for over 3 years.
In order to do so, the markets expect the Fed to announce a new QE, a huge infusion of money, the third one since the ex post implemented the crisis in 2008. Sure, there are always doubts: in this case, the first question is whether the QE is finally announced, after it was expected at the last meeting. The second question is to see what scope should have a plan of this type.
Failing to implement the stimulus plan expected last month will cause a sharp drop on Wall Street, which will affect the European currencies, increasingly compromised by the debt crisis threatening the continent.
This time, the end of the chapter is completely open: the currency movements observed in the hours not only depend on what the Fed says, but also on what happens in the monetary policy meetings of the ECB and BoE, which end on Thursday morning.
As it is seen, a quite interesting scenario is the one that starts this August the foreign exchange market, with trends that, if everything goes as in previous calculations, could generate gains of the euro, the British pound, the Swiss franc and other currencies against the dollar. Why? If the Fed injects money, markets will be pleased, and launch waves of buyouts. The shares carry with them the currencies, driven by good spirits. And a solution of the ECB, so far theoretical and announced by the Chairman Draghi last week, could also give impetus to the euro itself.
Too many coincidences? Maybe, we will see it in 24 hours.
For now, what comes in addition to the Fed announcement is the U.S. manufacturing ISM, at 10:00. If you are fairly in line with expectations, it could be the beginning of a new upward movement of the main actions on Wall Street. But there is not much, until the Fed unveils its intentions for the immediate future. Thus, we must tighten our belts, because the market will give us one of those typical days of good moves.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, but first you must register at the portal MT5 for a vote to be valid. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 1, 2012

2012-08-01 17:06:49 (читать в оригинале)

 

Since June 4, the USD/CAD pair movement is maintained within the mid-term slightly bearish depicted channel with its upper limit located around 1.0245.
Fibonacci level 50% is located at the price level of 1.0120 and 61.8% is located at 1.0045 which were considered to be strong support levels. However, 1.0120 (50% Fibonacci) has been broken down last week after finding bearish rejection off the upper limit of the consolidation zone around 1.0230.
For two consecutive times, USD/CAD has been trapped within a narrow ranged price zone between 1.0170 -1.0230, the upper limit of which prevented further upside movement of the pair showing bearish price action which pushed the pair to the downside breaking down the lower limit of the consolidation range, the same price action took place on Wednesday towards 1.0230 pushing the USD/CAD pair towards 1.0170 which was broken down opening the way towards 1.0085 then 1.0045 as expected.
Price zone between 1.0045 -1.0015 corresponding to the lower limit of the mid-term bearish channel should be carefully watched while being tested today for bullish price action
4H closure back again above 1.0045 brings bullish strength into the market allowing bullish retracement to take place towards 1.0070, 1.0120 then 1.0150.
Bearish breakdown of 0.9950 invalidates the bullish scenario in short-term.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 1, 2012

2012-08-01 17:05:23 (читать в оригинале)

 

On May 15, the GBP/USD pair managed to break down the lower limit of the bullish BLUE channel depicted on the chart. Since then, the pair has been moving within the triangle pattern after having a quick bearish swing between 1.6300 and 1.5260.
Last week, the GBP/USD pair has found significant support at the lower limit of the triangle pattern around 1.5460 which pushed the pair to the upside for about 260 pips in one day.
Price level 1.5720, which corresponds to the upper limit of the symmetrical triangle, constituted an intraday resistance for the pair on the short-term as expected. However, breakthrough above it opened the way towards the stronger resistance zone 1.5773-1.5840 which expressed its bearish pressure quickly.
The GBP/USD pair has come back to consolidate within the depicted triangle again allowing the pair to make some bearish retracement which can be observed more clearly on the 4H chart.

 

 

 

This week after stepping above the price level of 1.5720, the GBP/USD pair was testing the backside of the broken limit of the triangle and the broken resistance level of 1.5720 which failed to hold price above.
Price zone between 1.5773-1.5840 constituted a supply zone which was expected to bring bearish retracement towards 1.5600 before further movements can take place.
Bearish retracement was expected especially after this quick bullish movement. This bearish retracement was confirmed with 4H closure inside the triangle again (below level 1.5667) which confirmed the reversal Head & Shoulders pattern depicted on the chart.
Now the GBP/USD pair has an important support zone located between 50% (1.5612) and 61.8% (1.5575) a Fibonacci level which is expected to bring a bullish move to the market. However, breakdown of 1.5570 extends the bearish retracement towards further target levels, that's why SL should be located below 1.5555.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com