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GbpChf Bearish View Intact. Hold On To Short Positions

2012-11-14 18:31:14 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

The single currency pair has retraced around 1.5100 level yesterday and is ready to take the down turn. Currently trading around 1.5030 level, the bears would want to break 1.4950 to accelerate further down. Intermediary supports are placed at 1.4950 and 1.4800 levels, followed by strong support at 1.4700. Resistance is fixed at 1.5150-1.5200 levels for now, while higher levels are at 1.5300 and 1.5400 respectively. It is still recommended to hold on the short positions taken earlier and further add on intraday rallies. Looking lower from here on.

Trading Recommendations:

Hold on to short positions. Stop at 1.5150/60. Target 1.4600.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Intraday: Under Pressure

2012-11-14 14:07:33 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating after hitting two-month high of 0.9515 on Tuesday. The rate is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD amid negative risk sentiment. But USD/CHF upside is limited by CHF demand on soft EUR/CHF cross.
Preference:
Sell below 0.9515 with targets 0.944 and 0.941 in extension.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.944
S2 - 0.941
S3 - 0.9374 (Nov. 7 low)  
Alternative scenario:
Buy above 0.9515. Above 0.9515 look for further upside with 0.9545 and 0.958 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9545
R2 - 0.958
R3 - 0.9591 (50% Fibonacci retracement of decline from July 24 high of 0.9972 to Oct. 17 low of 0.9210)   
Technical Comment:
The pair has validated a rising wedge and remains under pressure. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, 5- & 15-day moving averages are rising; but stochastics has turned bearish at overbought.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Forecast for November 14, 2012

2012-11-14 13:59:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

U.K. inflation accelerated more than economists forecast. Consumer Price Index rose 2.7%. It was expected to quicken to 2.3%. Retail prices increased by 3.2% vs. forecast 2.9%. The pound extended its gain after the data was published. Investors consider that interest rate will not decrease and probably it will rise in the short term.
At 13:30 (GMT+4) Claimant Count Rate is published. It is expected that there will be 0.5K decrease in the number of unemployed in October against -4.0K in August. ILO Unemployment Rate is forecast to be flat (7.9%).
At 14:30 (GMT+4) Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin will be issued.
Taking into account that the pound is stable amid U.K. inflation accelerated, it is expected that the currency will slightly slide due to weak jobs data. As the ECB President dropped a hint about the future bank’s policy it is expected positive outlook. On the H4 the drop is probable to the trendline support at 1.5857. It is likely to observe the growth if the rate consolidates above the trendline resistance above the level of 1.5904. The first target is 1.5934, it is trandline resistance on the daily chart, then 1.5954 is resistance on the H4.

 

  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-14 12:52:49 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate broke the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 101.40 leading to acceleration. A pull back on these levels is expected before the upper limit of its channel at 102.20 is reached.
Technical indicators provide sell signals supporting the assumption of a pull back in the short term. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a pull back where we recommend a buy on the level of 101.40 with the 1st objective at 102.00 and then at 102.20. A breakthrough of 101.20 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 101.40 with the 1st objective at 100.80 and then at 100.60. A breakthrough of 101.60 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-14 12:48:51 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1,735 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide sell signals and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1,735 with the 1st objective at 1,725 and then at 1,722. A breakthrough of 1,738 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,735 with the 1st objective at 1,745 and then at 1,748. A breakthrough of 1,732 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com