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GbpChf Bounces Off Just Shy Of 1.5150. Hold Short Positions

2012-11-09 12:36:18 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

 

The single currency pair threatened to take off 1.5150 level yesterday before pulling back just shy of it. There is no strong reason to turn bullish at the moment. Prices are trading at:

1. The downward sloping trend line resistance.

2. Between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci resistance of recent downswing. It is shown in purple color above.

3. The downside extensions of 1.5400/50 to 1.5080/90 is downswing.

Keeping the above facts in mind, it is recommended to stay short at the moment.

 

Trade Recommendations:

Hold on to short positions. Stop at 1.5150/60. Target at 1.4600.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Intraday: Upside Prevails

2012-11-09 12:32:21 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating with bullish bias after hitting two-month high of 0.9483 on Thursday. USD/CHF is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD amid negative global risk sentiment; rise in Swiss unemployment rate to 2.9% in October from 2.8% in September. But USD/CHF gains tempered by positions adjustment before U.S. long weekend.
Preference:
LONG positions above 0.941 with 0.9485 and 0.9515 in sight.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9483-0.9485 (Thursday's high-Sept. 10 high)
R2 - 0.9515
R3 - 0.9538 (100-day moving average) 
Alternative scenario:
The downside breakout of 0.941 will open the way to 0.938 and 0.936.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.938 
S2 - 0.936
S3 - 0.934 (Wednesday's low) 
Technical Comment:
The pair is facing a pull back on its support. Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD is bullish, stochastics stays elevated at overbought; five- & 15-day moving averages are rising.  

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Under Pressure

2012-11-09 12:29:42 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is consolidating with bearish bias after hitting seven-day low of 79.32 on Thursday. The rate is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid negative risk sentiment (S&P fell 1.22% overnight) as fears mount over U.S. politicians' ability to strike a budget deal to avoid the looming U.S. "fiscal cliff" and negative news out of the eurozone. USD/JPY is also weighed by lower U.S. Treasury yields; Japan exporter sales. But USD sentiment boosted by surprise contraction in U.S. trade deficit to $41.55 billion in September, its lowest level since end of 2010, from a downwardly revised $D43.79 billion the month before (vs. forecast for increase to $45.0 billion). USD/JPY losses also tempered by demand from Japan importers; positions adjustment before U.S. long weekend (U.S. markets shut for Veterans' Day holiday Monday). Yen crosses are vulnerable to 01:30 GMT China October CPI, PPI, and 05:30 GMT China October retail sales, industrial output, fixed assets investment data. Focus is also on once-a-decade transition of power in China as China Communist Party Congress continues.
Preference:
Sell below 79.8 with 79.25 and 79.1 as next targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.27 (Oct. 30 reaction low)
S2 - 79.10 (Oct. 19 low)
S3 - 78.84 (100-day moving average) 
Alternative scenario:
Buy above 79.8. The upside penetration of 79.8 will call for 80.1 and 80.3.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.03 (Thursday's high)
R2 - 80.3
R3 - 80.41-80.45 (Wednesday's high-Tuesday's high)
Technical Comment:

The pair is rebounding but stands below its resistance. USD/JPY daily chart is negative-biased as stochastics is falling from overbought; MACD staged bearish crossover against its exponential moving average; bearish parabolic stop-and-reverse signal hit at 79.36 on Thursday.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Elliott Wave Analysis of EUR/NZD for November 9, 2012

2012-11-09 12:17:42 (читать в оригинале)

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5619               R1: 1.5693

S2: 1.5575               R2: 1.5754

S3: 1.5549               R3: 1.5790

Technical Overview: 

 

The red wave iv rally has extended, but there should be no more room to the upside from here. Now we are be looking for a break below 1.5619, as the first indication that red wave iv is over and renewed downside pressure is building. A break below 1.5575 confirms that the end of red wave iv was seen and it calls for a continuation towards 1.5364 with the ideal target set at 1.5300.
However, if we break above 1.5693 we have an overlap between red wave i and red wave iv, which is not allowed under the Elliott wave Principle. The overlap will indicate that an important low is already in place and a continuation higher to 1.5836 should be seen

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be short EUR from 1.5615. Move stop down to 1.5700. If you are not short EUR already you should sell here at 1.5639 with a low risk stop at 1.5700. Take profit should be placed at 1.5325.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Elliott Wave Analysis of EUR/JPY for November 9, 2012

2012-11-09 12:12:43 (читать в оригинале)

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 101.19               R1: 101.96

S2: 100.61               R2: 102.23

S3: 100.12               R3: 102.51

Technical Overview: 

 

We saw a break below the base channel support line for a swift decline to 101.03 (just one pip below our target at 101.04). We should now expect resistance in the range 102.19 to 102.23 to protect the upside for the next decline towards 100.62 and likely even 100.15 as the next downside target. Our ideal target for this C-wave is at 99.35.
However, if we break above 102.23, then the downside pressure will be delayed for a move towards 102.51 before the next downside pressure should commence.

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be short from 104.50 with a 103.45 stop. If you are not short EUR already you should sell at 102.15 with the same stop.

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com