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USD/CHF: Technical Analysis for November 8, 2012

2012-11-08 17:10:22 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:
Strong level (Resistance) will be formed at 0.9500 providing a clear signal for sell deals with the target seen at 0.9390 level. Stop loss is to be placed above 0.9573.
Strong level (Support) will be formed at 0.9370 providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at 0.9475 level. Stop loss is to be placed below 0.9325.

Overview:
USD/CHF: It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9380 and 0.9420, i.e. above the strong resistance level of 0.9500. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9500 and is presently approaching to the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the structure which does not look corrective and indicating the bearish opportunity below 0.9500 level. Sell deals are recommended below 0.9500 with the first target seen at 0.9420 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards 0.9390 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9370. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9370/0.9314. Therefore, it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behavior. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 0.9314 with the first target seen at 0.9370 level and if the weekly pivot point (0.9364) is broken successfully, then the pair will go further at 0.9475 level. It should be noted that the resistance becomes a support after it is broken. 

Weekly Pivot Points:
R3: 0.9588
R2: 0.9501
R1: 0.9451
PP: 0.9364
S1: 0.9314
S2: 0.9227
S3: 0.9177

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (November 8, 2012)

2012-11-08 15:58:56 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: This is a bear market. The market has breached more and more support lines on the downside; threatening to go towards the support line at 1.2700. There is a vivid selling pressure as the greenback develops more stamina. It can be seen that the RSI 14 period is below the level 50.

 

USDCHF: This a bull market – as the price chart shows. The price above the support level at 0.9450 is going towards the upper level at 0.9500. The RSI 14 is above the 50 level. This is a bullish confirmation pattern, and a buy signal remains valid.

GBPUSD: The GBPUSD pair has already fallen by more than 80 pips this week. I have a sell signal on the chart, especially now that the bearish pressure is very potent. This is not a king of the market phase that respects any accumulation zone. Sell and sell short.

USDJPY: Finally, after much hesitation, the USDJPY pair finally provides a shorting possibility – though reluctantly. It should be noted that there have been many abortive bullish continuation attempts, and this may potentially signify the end of the recent northward determination.

EURJPY: The shorting signal here has long been in place; since the EMA 11 has crossed the EMA 56 to the downside, and the Williams’ % Range has perpetually been in the oversold condition, in spite of some notable pullbacks. The price seems to be determined to reach the demand zone eventually at 101.50. 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for November 8, 2012

2012-11-08 13:44:37 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
This week the USD/CHF pair was trading in an upward move, corrective (C) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (B) (coloured red) was developing. Yesterday during the Asian session we could observe descending movement from 0.9448 toward the 0.9380 level. Therefore, during the European and New York sessions this major pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing higher reaching a new high at 0.9471 level. We can consider this move as the end of the corrective (B) wave (coloured red). Today the USD/CHF pair is trading lower and we are expecting to see the price around 0.9150 level when development of the (C) wave (coloured red) starts. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 2 should retrace 78.6% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1 with take profit at 0.9153 (78.6% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use invalidation at 0.9471 level as stop loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9343 (S2) 0.9378 (S1) 0.9399 (PP) 0.9433 (R1) 0.9468 (R2) 0.9489 (R3) 0.9523

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9415 with stop loss 0.9471 and take profit at 0.9153 are recommended. 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Wave Analysis for November 8, 2012

2012-11-08 13:42:51 (читать в оригинале)

USD/JPY Elliott Wave
For the last few days the USD/JPY pair was trading in a downward movement, corrective wave (C) (coloured green) of the bigger wave (4) (coloured red) was developing. Yesterday after the bearish mood in the Asian session we could observe strong ascending movement from 79.80 towards the 80.39 level when European session stats. Therefore, during the early New York session the USD/JPY pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing lower reaching a new daily low at 79.75 level. At the moment this major pair is trading around 79.85 level and we are expecting to see the price around 81.80 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 should retrace 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1 with take profit at 81.81 (100% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use support at 79.50 level as stop loss.

Support and Resistance
(S3) 79.38 (S2) 79.64 (S1) 79.79 (PP) 80.05 (R1) 80.31 (R2) 80.46 (R3) 80.72

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 80.10 with stop loss 79.50 and take profit at 81.81 are recommended.  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: The Upside Prevails

2012-11-08 13:40:43 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating with bullish bias after hitting near-two-month high of 0.9473 on Wednesday. The USD/CHF pair is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD as risk aversion mounts.
Preference:
Buy above 0.941 with targets 0.9485 and 0.9515 in extension.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9485 (Sept. 10 high)
R2 - 0.9515
R3 - 0.9539 (100-day moving average)
Alternative scenario:
Sell below 0.941 .Below 0.941 look for further downside with 0.938 & 0.936 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9374 (Wednesday's low)
S2 - 0.936
S3 - 0.9309 (Friday's low)
Technical Comment: 
The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance. Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD is bullish, stochastics stays elevated at overbought, bullish outside-day-range pattern completed on Wednesday; five- & 15-day moving averages are rising.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com