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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-06 12:23:08 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.5990 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in the recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.5990 with the 1st objective at 1.5930 and then at 1.5910. A breakthrough of 1.6010 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.5990 with the 1st objective at 1.6050 and then at 1.6070. A breakthrough of 1.5970 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-06 12:21:15 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2760 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a more violent bearish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals, and until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.2760 with the 1st objective at 1.2820 and then at 1.2840. A breakthrough of 1.2740 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.2760 with the 1st objective at 1.2700 and then at 1.2680. A breakthrough of 1.2780 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for November 06, 2012

2012-11-06 12:18:36 (читать в оригинале)

Wave Analysis:

As it was expected, the EUR/USD pair continued its downward move and a breakthrough of figure 28 stopped further price drop. Thus, yesterday’s low is rather a completion of wave c (in d) in the inner wave structure of an expected wave B, which looks like an ascending triangle. If it is so, before the uptrend resumes the pair has to move in the area of figure 29; thus, it has formed wave e of the triangle.

Targets for Wave D in B of Downtrend (if it is not completed):

1.2767 – the minimum of wave c in d (current)

Targets for Up Wave E in B:

 

1.2855 – 200.0% of Fibonacci
1.2879 – 161.8% of Fibonacci

 

Summary and Trading Recommendations:

The descending three-wave pattern of the trend has transformed; the whole wave structure is revised. In terms of wave d in B the down move may continue towards targets, which are lower than 1.2767; it is corresponding to the current low of the wave c in d. After it the ascending wave e in B may start its building; it may raise the rate towards 1.2855 and 1.2879, which is corresponding to 200.0% and 161.8% of Fibonacci. Wave B transforms into an ascending triangle, wave d has presumably finished its formation. MACD is oversold, which points out that the pair is ready to start building of up wave e in B.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Intraday: Upside Prevails

2012-11-06 11:14:38 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating with bullish bias after hitting near-two-month high of 0.9448 on Monday as markets await results of today's U.S. presidential election. USD/CHF is supported by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD as risk appetite wanes.
Preference:
Buy above 0.9415 with 0.946 and 0.9485 as next targets.
Resistance aLevels:
R1 - 0.946
R2 - 0.9485 (Sept. 10 high)
R3 - 0.951
Alternative scenario:
Sell below 0.914.The downside penetration of 0.9415 will call for 0.939 and 0.9365.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9395 (Monday's low, near confluence of 55-day and 200-day moving averages)
S2 - 0.9365
S3 - 0.9309 (Friday's low)  
Technical Comment:
The pair stands above its support and remains on the upside. Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD & stochastics are in bullish mode. Resistance is at 0.9448 (Monday's high); breach would target 0.9485 (Sept. 10 high), then 0.9540 (100-day moving average), and 0.9608 (Sept. 5 high).  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Under Pressure

2012-11-06 11:12:45 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is consolidating in lower range as traders stay cautious ahead of today's U.S. presidential election. The USD/JPY pair is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid subdued risk appetite (VIX fear gauge rose 4.72% to 18.42, although S&P gained 0.22% overnight) as worries rise ahead of tomorrow's Greek vote on austerity measures which would determine whether Greece will get its next tranche of bailout money, while a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI to 54.2 in October (vs. 54.5 forecast) from 55.1 in September stoke concerns about U.S. economy. USD/JPY is also weighed by lower U.S. Treasury yields; Japan exporter sales. But USD/JPY downside is limited by demand from Japan importers. Data focus: 05:00 GMT Japan September indexes of business conditions (preliminary).
Preference:
Sell below 80.35 with targets 79.85 and 79.65.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.85
S2 - 79.65
S3 - 79.51 (Wednesday's low) 
Alternative scenario:
Buy above 80.35.The upside penetration of 80.35 will call for a rebound towards 80.55 and 80.8.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.57(Monday's high)
R2 - 80.8
R3 - 81.00  

Technical Comment:
The pair remains under pressure as the RSI is badly directed. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, 5- & 15-day moving averages are rising; but stochastics is turning bearish at overbought.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com