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EUR/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for November 5 - 9, 2012

2012-11-05 15:54:20 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):
R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
If the breaking news released may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 and R3 or S2 and S3.

Observation (s):
If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
Fibonacci retracement is used to determine accurate psychological levels of support and resistance. The period of time should be taken into account.
Fibonacci is in a range trade; it looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down. If you sell or buy for a long term in this period, sure you will lose your profit.
Stop loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
As a rule, the market has a high volatile if the last day had a huge volatility.


If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for November 5, 2012

2012-11-05 15:52:51 (читать в оригинале)

 

The pair has been trending down when a bullish breakout above the bearish daily channel took place. However, the potential downside move remains valid as long as the pair is trading below 1.0040 and below 1.0000 area, the psychological resistance.
On Friday, further downside movement was anticipated when the USD/CAD pair gave strong bullish reaction towards 0.9950 - 0.9925, a confluence of previous consolidation range acting as support.
The trading range for this week is between the key-support around 0.9660 and key-resistance around1.0130.

 

Support: 0.9950,0.9925,0.9875, and 0.9840.
Resistance:0.9990,1.0010,1.0040, and1.0095.

Recommendation

 

Obvious breakdown below 0.9925 is needed to support the bearish scenario in the short-term targeting 0.9860-0.9840 initially.
Bullish rejection and stabilization above 0.9950 - 0.9925 areas enhances presence of further bullish movements towards 0.9980.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for November 5, 2012

2012-11-05 14:33:03 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The GBP/USD pair has been fluctuating heavily within the past few weeks after the broken DAILY bullish channel was retested around the price zone of 1.6160 - 1.6180, failing to maintain a directional trend.
The false breakout above the short term descending resistance depicted on the chart was maintained at Daily Resistance Level 1.6160 activating the bearish scenario, which anticipates further downside pressure this week, possibly towards 1.5850 initially.
Price action should be watched carefully around 1.5960 which is considered to be the key-level of the coming movement. A breakdown below allows and confirms the bearish scenario in the short term.

Support: 1.5975 and 1.5920.
Resistance:1.6050,1.6075, and1.6125.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Monthly Wave Analysis

2012-11-05 13:30:57 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
For the last few weeks the AUD/USD pair was trading in a strong upward move, corrective (B) wave (coloured red) of the bigger E wave (coloured purple) was developing. During the early Asian session we could observe price reaching a new 2 weeks high at 1.0419 level and we can consider this move as end of the (B) wave (coloured red). Therefore, during the European and New York sessions the AUD/USD pair started pushing lower reaching a new daily low at 1.0330 level. The price is trading around 1.0364 level at the moment and we are expecting to see the price around 0.9944 level in the next few weeks. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave C should retrace 100% of the wave A, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave A with take profit at 0.9944 (100% of wave A). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 1.0476 level as stop loss.

Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0273 (S2) 1.0307 (S1) 1.0328 (PP) 1.0362 (R1) 1.0396 (R2) 1.0417 (R3) 1.0451

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0330 with stop loss 1.0476 and take profit at 0.9944 are  recommended.
 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Wave Analysis for November 5, 2012

2012-11-05 13:27:22 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CAD Elliott Wave
Last week the USD/CAD pair was trading in a downward move, impulsive (3) wave (coloured green) of the bigger (1) wave (coloured red) was developing. During the Friday's Asian and European sessions we could observe ascending movement from 0.9960 towards the 0.9984 level and we can consider this move as the end of the 2 wave (coloured blue). Therefore, during the early New York session the USD/CAD pair did not manage to hold this level and the price started pushing lower reaching a new 6 days low at 0.9921 level. This major pair is trading around 0.9940 level at the moment and we are expecting to see price around 0.9898 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 should retrace 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring wave 1, with take profit at 0.9898 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance at 0.9990 level as stop loss.

Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9889 (S2) 0.9913 (S1) 0.9928 (PP) 0.9952 (R1) 0.9976 (R2) 0.9991 (R3) 1.0015

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9935 with stop loss 0.9990 and take profit at 0.9898 are recommended.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com