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USD/CHF Intraday: Further Upside
2012-11-05 13:10:59 (читать в оригинале)Overview:
USD/CHF is consolidating with bullish bias after hitting three-week high of 0.9417 this morning. The pair is supported by positive USD sentiment; broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD as risk aversion mounts.
Preference:
Buy above 0.938 with targets 0.946 and 0.9485 in extension.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.946
R2 - 0.9485 (Sept. 10 high)
R3 - 0.9540 (100-day moving average)
Alternative scenario:
Sell below 0.938. Below 0.938 look for further downside with 0.9365 & 0.9345 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9365
S2 - 0.9345
S3 - 0.9309 (Friday's low)
Technical Comment:
The pair has broken above its resistance and remains on the upside. Daily chart is positive-biased as MACD is in bullish mode, stochastics has turned bullish.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com
USD/JPY: Turning Down
2012-11-05 13:08:28 (читать в оригинале)Overview:
USD/JPY is consolidating after hitting six-month high of 80.68 on Friday. The rate is underpinned by positive USD sentiment after bigger-than-expected 171,000 rise in U.S. October non-farm jobs (vs. +125,000 forecast). USD/JPY is also supported by demand from Japan importers and investment trusts. But USD/JPY upside is limited by Japan exporter sales; selling of yen crosses amid increased risk aversion (VIX fear gauge rose 5.39% to 17.59, DJIA fell 1.05% Friday) as the surprisingly high job gain fanned concerns that the Fed would rein in its easy money policies, and tip the balance in favor of President Obama in tomorrow's U.S. presidential election which may increase the political gridlock with Republican lawmakers and perpetuate the U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession. Yen crosses are vulnerable to 01:45 GMT China October services PMI data.
Preference:
Sell below 80.55 with targets 80.1 and 79.75 in extension.
Support Levels:
80.11 (Friday's low)
79.76 (Thursday's low)
79.51 (Wednesday's low)
Alternative scenario:
Buy above 80.55. Above 80.55 look for further upside with 80.68 and 81 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
80.68 (Friday's high)
81.00
81.20
Technical Comment:
The pair has broken below its bullish channel lower boundary and remains under pressure. The USD/JPY daily chart is positive-biased as MACD & stochastics are bullish, although latter is at overbought; five- & 15-day moving averages are rising.
EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-11-05 12:17:18 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 103.40. It seems that a decline was initiated. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and reach the upper limit of its channel at 104.00.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 103.40 with the 1st objective at 102.80 and then at 102.60. A breakthrough of 103.60 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 103.40 with the 1st objective at 104.00 and then at 104.20. A breakthrough of 103.20 will invalidate this scenario.
GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-11-05 12:15:05 (читать в оригинале).png)
Gold is currently testing the lower limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1,673 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a more violent bearish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals, and until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
Gold is currently testing the lower limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1,673 with the 1st objective at 1,685 and then at 1,687. A breakthrough of 1,670 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell gold as soon as it is broken through its support of 1,673 with the 1st objective at 1,663 and then at 1,660. A breakthrough of 1,676 will invalidate this scenario.
GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-11-05 12:13:12 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.6040 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in the recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.6040 with the 1st objective at 1.5980 and then at 1.5960. A breakthrough of 1.6060 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.6040 with the 1st objective at 1.6100 and then at 1.6120. A breakthrough of 1.6020 will invalidate this scenario.
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