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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-05 12:11:10 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2820 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will free a large potential and initiate a more violent bearish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals, and until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.2820 with the 1st objective at 1.2880 and then at 1.2900. A breakthrough of 1.2800 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.2820 with the 1st objective at 1.2760 and then at 1.2740. A breakthrough of 1.2840 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis For November 02, 2012

2012-11-02 19:21:05 (читать в оригинале)

With the world's largest economy mired in an electoral process that ends next week, the expectation of the markets is totally in this data set.
Because of that market participants are taking a risk aversion as markets await the outcome of the U.S. elections next week. Many are avoiding placing aggressive positions in the market.
In minutes you will know the jobs data from the United States. In this regard, it is expected that 123,000 jobs were created in October, more than in September. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate could remain unchanged.
Right now, the Dow Jones index futures show a rising trend in the short term.
Gold prices fluctuated between gains and losses and finally touched an intraday low of U.S. $1,729.4 to close at $1714.09 on Thursday.
Not much else at the moment, only the logic caution not to place positions in the first impulse of the price. Remember that no one saves an account or get rich putting in random positions.
Also, the most of the day prices end at the same level in which they are located before the jobs data is published.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Bearish Outlook For November 02, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-11-02 19:09:14 (читать в оригинале)

The euro fell again due to continued weakness in the eurozone.
As we mentioned earlier in our articles, 1.3050 is a strong resistance, because the euro failed to hold above this level. The main uptrend line kept the euro upward force from the beginning of September and was aligned with the level of 1.29 (key level).

You can see on the chart that the break of the trendline is likely to continue falling to 1.2850 weekly support or there may be a pullback to the trendline that was broken. Taking it into account, we are taking bearish positions on this pair, I may consider buying above 1.3050 below this level, the peaks look to sell this pair.

The situation in Europe has not improved at all. It just came out of the headlines. Currently the world is paying attention to the U.S. and it will be at least until the end of elections.

Therefore, we recommend selling the pair at resistance levels or levels that we have indicated on the graph with objectives in the medium term up to 1.2550.

If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Sell Below Fractal 1.6135. For November 02, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-11-02 19:01:39 (читать в оригинале)

The British pound tried to break the bearish channel but it was unsuccessful. Yesterday it fell below the 1.6135 fractal (key level) that we mentioned earlier in our articles; this level has exerted strong downward pressure since early October. Currently the pair is trading at 1.6070, above the moving average of 50 periods. If it falls below this level we recommend selling, with objectives to the next fractal of 1.5950, which serves as a very strong support.

On the other hand, a pullback to 1.6135 key level will be a chance to sell this pair with objectives to 1.60 psychological level.

The operators are very uncertain because next week will be key for the markets, so we recommend great caution, and do not risk, as it will be unpredictable movements.

If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Daily Trading Forecasts (November 2, 2012)

2012-11-02 17:24:05 (читать в оригинале)

EURUSD: The bullish attempts that happened this week have been rendered invalid. The price is coming down as the RSI 14 crosses the level 50 below. The EMA 11 has already crossed the EMA 56 on the downside – underlining this assumption. I have a sell signal here.

USDCHF: The bearish effort on the USDCHF pair has been rendered useless, as a new bullish confirmation is forming. The price now eyes the resistance levels at 0.9400. The RSI period 14 is now below the level 50 – sell.

GBPUSD: Even the seemingly powerful cable has given way to some gravity. From a high of 1.6169, the price has fallen by over 80 pips. If this scenario continues for a few more days, it would lead to a nice bearish trend.

USDJPY: This pair has maintained its strength tenaciously, even in this tricky week. The pair has maintained its predominantly bullish outlook. With a slow and steady upward journey, the price might reach the supply territory at 80.50.

EURJPY: The weakness in the euro is having an adverse effect on the bullish interest on the EURJPY cross.  A new long position would not be recommended until a clearer bias is established. The present scenario would not be a surprise, since the Williams’ % Range is reverting from the overbought territory.   

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com